All Currency articles – Page 3
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White papers
Money to burn?
Reducing methane emissions this decade is probably the single most important action the world can take to reduce the rate of global heating. Diana Glassman explains how we are engaging with oil and gas producers and pipeline operators to tackle the problem.
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White papers
UK Leadership Change: Economic and market implications
After the resignation of Boris Johnson as prime minister, what is your outlook regarding British political development?
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White papers
Renminbi’s rise will not challenge dollar dominance
A sharp economic slowdown seems to be looming in both Europe and the US, which would make bond markets attractive again, especially in the US. Conversely, the Chinese economy is expected to reaccelerate. International monetary system set to become multipolar as geopolitical factors are likely to prevail.
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White papers
The ECB’s Trilemma
Are we seeing the start of another eurozone crisis, or can the ECB fashion an effective tool to manage volatile southern European bond spreads?
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The ECB Joins the Growing Circle of Hawks
The ECB officially joined the hawkish camp, announcing a more aggressive path of rate hikes, which led markets to reprice the euro curve higher. Meanwhile, despite a move higher in initial claims, a strong U.S. jobs report will keep the FOMC on its hawkish rate-hiking path.
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White papers
JPY: Structurally weak, cyclically blessed
Structural headwinds are strong for the yen, setting a fundamental background for the currency to stay weak. Yet a recessionary environment is a cyclical blessing – peaking growth and rates prove that the JPY is among the cleanest diversifiers – and officials may have lost their appetite for currency devaluation.
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Podcast
Mythbusting Crypto Investing
Cryptocurrency, or crypto, the so-called “wild west” of Wall Street, has been raising eyebrows for quite some time now. Since 2013, there have been over 12,000 different types of coins generated, leaving many wondering what is actually reliable in this market.
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White papers
A fireside chat about the renminbi – How far will it fall?
In recent weeks, the renminbi has depreciated significantly against the US dollar. Chi Lo, our senior market strategist in Hong Kong, explains what is happening and give his outlook for the Chinese currency.
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White papers
A fireside chat about the Hong Kong dollar as it revisits 7.85
For the first time since 2019, the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) has fallen to the lower end of the Convertibility-Undertaking threshold, under which the Hong Kong Monetary Authority limits the currency’s trading range against the US dollar. Chi Lo, our senior market strategist in Hong Kong, explains what is happening and discusses the mechanism in place to sustain the Hong Kong dollar peg.
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White papers
War Distress Hasn’t Derailed Western Growth Yet
The U.S. announced a new list of penalties against Russian elites, lawmakers, and entities, and there are discussions about imposing sanctions on Russia’s gold reserves—though not yet passed. Meanwhile, the EU and G7 are expected to announce further restrictions on business in Russia.
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White papers
Central Banks on Deck to Fight Inflation
The ECB was owlish—carefully hawkish. It further reduced asset purchases for Q2 below the €40 billion previously announced and left completely open the pace of asset purchases for Q3. This leaves room for great flexibility: the ability to hike or not in Q4.
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White papers
Uninvestable Russia
We survey the impact on worldwide fixed income markets of the devastation in Ukraine and the sanctions against Russia, and send our thoughts to those in the heart of the conflict.
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White papers
As COVID Cases Fade, Services Ready for Upgrade
January U.S. retail sales surprised to the upside, rising 3.8% M/M. The Omicron wave temporarily halted the shift in consumer spending from goods to services, as at-home sectors gained. Meanwhile, restaurant sales fell for a second-consecutive month.
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White papers
How Deep Is EUR Love?
Thursday’s 7.5% U.S. inflation print reintroduced some volatility, but we still think the euro is building a base for a long-term relationship with its admirers.
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White papers
Why US Rate Rises Highlight European Fixed-Income Opportunities
Recently, euro-based investors have been able to access higher-yielding US dollar bond markets while hedging their currency risk at low cost. Now, interest rates are set to rise in the US—and we think it’s time for US dollar investors to consider opportunities in euro fixed-income markets.
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White papers
Inflation in Turkey could very well reach 50% and more in the coming months
Because of unorthodox economic policies, Turkey will face a tough year ahead, with inflation peaking at a 20-year high… but we do see some lights at the end of the tunnel!
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White papers
Bitcoin, A Cornerstone Digital Asset: Part 4
Could Bitcoin options be the “picks and shovels” of the cryptocurrency Gold Rush, a way to convert Bitcoin from a “get rich” to a “stay rich” asset?
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White papers
The Most Important Rate in the Whole Wide World
Markets may be missing the importance of record-low real rates, and the potential impact if they start to rise.
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White papers
Bitcoin, A Cornerstone Digital Asset: Part 3
Our Option Group believes that Bitcoin is the most likely of all the cryptocurrencies to emerge as a durable new asset—and the difficulty of pinning down exactly what kind of asset it is could be a big reason why.