All Currency articles
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White papersTime for the Yen to Blossom?
Strong forces still weigh on Japan’s currency, but its long, cold winter may be coming to an end.
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White papersHard and local currency bonds provide different routes to returns
Emerging market (EM) bonds are increasingly becoming a strategic holding for many investors but a key consideration in this is the different attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad sets of investments available in the asset class — and understanding the benefits each can bring to a portfolio.
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White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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White papersPlanning for long term success in emerging market debt
The fast-paced evolution of EMD as an asset class necessitates an investment approach that can adapt swiftly. In this Q&A, emerging market debt (EMD) portfolio manager Kirstie Spence discusses how to plan for the long-term success of managing the asset class.
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White papersLocal currency EMD – Why it might be time to reconsider an active allocation
An allocation to emerging market debt (EMD) can offer investors a range of potential benefits in the context of their broader portfolios – not least its low correlation with other sub-asset classes of fixed income. The growth dynamics and strengthening economic fundamentals of many emerging market (EM) countries are attractive to investors seeking growth, income and diversification.
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VideoThe dollar effect on emerging market corporates
Watch to find out what effect the dollar has on emerging market corporates
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White papersHow strong dollar dynamics impacts emerging markets
Years of strong dollar dynamics have had a far reaching consequences for emerging economies, much of it played out in the currency markets.
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VideoDollar Cycle - The Impact on Emerging Market Bonds
Watch to discover what the dollar cycle impact will be on EM bonds
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VideoEmerging Market Debt: After the Storm
Lyubka Dushanova, Portfolio Strategist, EMD, outlines why investors should reassess prospects for EMD right now. Along with a quick look back at 2022, Lyubka flags where opportunities lie in the asset class and explains why we believe an indexed approach makes sense.
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White papersRevisiting EMD: Brighter Days Ahead?
Although 2022 was volatile for EMD, a brighter outlook is developing against the backdrop of China’s reopening, peaking inflation and interest rates, and signs that US dollar strength could fade. Given current valuations, EMD merits renewed consideration by investors.
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White papersLocal-currency emerging market debt: A distinctive asset class
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income suggests that investing in local-currency and hard-currency emerging market debt has many similarities. In this paper they consider those factors and the opportunities available.
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White papersAre Cheap Burgers in Emerging Markets a Good Sign for Investors?
Investors in emerging markets (EM) have endured a decade of poor performance. But things may be changing. Based on The Economist magazine’s data comparing hamburger prices across countries, many EM currencies look cheap today—as they did 20 years ago before an extended rally of EM stocks and bonds.
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White papersCurrency hedging policy for institutions
“Investors should focus on currencies as a potential source of return and risk diversification for a portfolio.”
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White papersChina’s Reopening Bodes Well for Asian Fixed-Income Markets
Markets have responded warmly to China’s easing of its zero-COVID policy, although it’s not clear yet how quickly or smoothly the country’s economy will recover. While some bumps in the road are likely, we expect China’s reopening could lead to further gains in Asian credit and currencies in 2023.
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White papersEMs with stronger fundamentals should see inflows
Global ownership of EM bonds stands at its lowest point in close to a decade
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White papersEmerging markets debt: Valuations appear attractive despite uncertain macro backdrop
Emerging markets (EM) hard and local currency denominated sovereign bonds rose in the fourth quarter of 2022, as a softer-than-expected inflation print in the US and the potential end to China’s zero-COVID policy lured yield seeking investors.
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White papersWhy the outlook for bonds is improving
Bonds are poised to deliver better risk-adjusted returns than equities over the next 12 months.
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White papers2023 emerging market equity outlook: Several catalysts point to a potential rebound
In our analysis, emerging market (EM) equities may have an asymmetric return profile in 2023 given several catalysts, including peaking inflation, the potential for a weaker US dollar, recession risks in the United States and EU, and a shift in policies in China from zero-COVID toward growth. Get Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity 2023 outlook.
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White papersFTX fallout and the future of digital assets
The FTX fallout is creating a reckoning in digital assets and cryptocurrencies. However, there are three takeaways from this event that point toward continued progress for the industry, according to Franklin Templeton Head of Digital Assets and Industry Advisory Services Sandy Kaul.
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White papersCryptonite
The FTX collapse is a blow to the idea of finance industry disruption and a potential source of volatility, but we think systemic contagion into broader financial markets is unlikely.
