All Currency articles – Page 5
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White papers
Turkey: Inflation, Exchange Rate’s Pass-Through And Monetary Policy
Despite a huge collapse in activity, the Turkish inflation is still flirting with 20% yoy and the main monetary policy rate is stuck at 24% for 8 months.
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Factor Investing In Currency Markets: Does It Make Sense?
The concept of factor investing emerged at the end of the 2000s and has completely changed the landscape of equity investing. Today, institutional investors structure their strategic asset allocation around five risk factors: size, value, low beta, momentum and quality.
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The case for a core allocation to emerging market debt
A commonly held, but misplaced, belief that emerging market debt is an obscure and risky outpost of the fixed income universe has resulted in its under-representation in many portfolios.
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Indian elections: political continuity is positive but reform is what matters most
Prime Minister Modi led the NDA to a sweeping victory, with a full majority in Parliament and therefore significant political capital. There was some apprehension in the market ahead of the election and a clear majority will certainly soothe nerves.
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Adoption of SOFR and SONIA as Floating Rate Note Benchmarks
Read an update on adoption of SOFR and SONIA as benchmarks in the floating rate note (FRN) market.
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Gold/Silver Options Skews: Upside Risk Ahead?
U.S. monetary policy exerts a strong influence on the skewness of currency, gold and silver options. In a normal monetary environment where short-term interest rates are well above zero, investors tend to be more concerned about gold and silver prices rising abruptly than falling.
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Who Will Lead The World Economy?
When we talk about leadership, we also talk about rivalry… and 2018 was undoubtedly a particularly emblematic year of rivalry, especially between the United States and China, and to some extent, between the United States and Europe.
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Liquidity Insights: Euro FX Responds to Brexit, U.S. Inflation
There are many factors that can influence FX exchange rates, including event risk and fundamental economic data. To manage such risk, traders have often turned to futures and options. Recent events around the world have caused dramatic moves in exchange rates, particularly for currencies impacted by the chaos of Brexit.
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White papers
EM Debt: Investing with Cautious Optimism
Sovereign debt outperformed in Q1 as geopolitical headlines continued to garner attention and commodities rallied. Risks remain for the asset class but some notable headwinds have now become tailwinds.
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Fed's Five Critical Issues
The Fed is facing five issues that could play a key role in its forward guidance on monetary policy, chief among them being the trade war and the economy.
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EM Debt: Investing with Cautious Optimism
Sovereign debt outperformed in Q1 as geopolitical headlines continued to garner attention and commodities rallied. Risks remain for the asset class but some notable headwinds have now become tailwinds.
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Portfolios and Investing: If/When “Winter” is Coming?
Did the Fed over-tighten monetary policy with its nine rate hikes, paving the way for an investment ‘winter’ in equities and bond markets?
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Grain, Oilseed Prices Dance to a new Global Tune
As global crop production diversifies geographically, prices for corn, soybean and wheat are becoming more sensitive to currencies like the ruble and real.
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FX Leadership
Can the U.S. dollar maintain its leadership of global currencies amid a decelerating economy and the China trade war elevating risk in the United States?
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White papers
Brexit And UK Defined Benefit Funding
Immediately following the EU referendum, financial markets downgraded medium-term growth expectations for the UK. Sterling weakened, long-dated government bond yields fell, and UK equity assets fell relative to international equities. Two-and-a- half years on we can see that this weakness has not unwound.
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Market Perspectives Spring fever
It’s winter still, but the weather has been exceptionally warm; markets too have got spring fever. After a dismal last quarter 2018, global equities have recouped most of their losses. And thanks to a dovish U-turn by the Fed and falling core yields, fixed income assets have done rather well, too, despite the sharp rebound in risk sentiment.
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White papers
Risk-on for Southeast Asian bond markets
Local currency debt markets in Southeast Asia have enjoyed a sharp turnaround in fortunes and their upward momentum is supported by improving economic trends.
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White papers
Gold in Central Banks’ Asset Allocation
After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.
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White papers
H1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.
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White papers
FX Options Skews: Economics and Implications
Are FX options skews a useful indicator of whether a currency will rise or fall against the U.S. dollar? We looked at some out-of-the-money puts and calls.