All Commodities articles – Page 12
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White papers
Infrastructure Debt: Steady Activity, Lingering Macro Doubts
Despite the expected seasonal summer slowdown, infrastructure debt financing deals remained steady overall in the third quarter of 2019—with strong activity in the U.S. and Canada, and slightly slowing activity in Europe, with a cautious eye toward Brexit.
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Is oil’s relationship with energy stocks slipping?
Our chart of the month shows that the link between energy stocks and oil appears to be on the slide. What’s happening?
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September Macro Dashboard
Global leading indicators ticked up slightly in August, but remain in contraction territory. While global growth has slowed, risks are tilted to the downside. The mounting toll of higher trade costs, decreased investment and dwindling confidence are weighing on growth.
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Counting the business cost of deforestation
The risk of brand damage and consumer boycotts from poor environmental corporate practice has never been higher. Some companies are changing their ways, others could do more.
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How do you invest in the global energy transition
Over the next 30 years, the world’s energy system will shift from one based on fossil fuels to one dominated by renewable electricity. We examine the investment opportunity.
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Asset Manager News
ECB Easing and Trade Deescalation Boost Markets
The three things you need to know this week: More signs are pointing to U.S.-China trade war de-escalation, ECB launches new stimulus and the PBOC cuts required reserve ratios.
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Measuring the market impact of geopolitics
Geopolitical risk is on the rise and investors will increasingly need to take it into account in the coming years. Our analysis looks at how it can impact portfolios and what investors can do about it in terms of strategy.
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Three Ways to Manage Liquidity Risk in Bond Markets
Liquidity risk has grabbed headlines recently after several high-profile funds imploded. The hunt is on to find ways to manage liquidity risk and protect portfolios against further setbacks—but not all investors will be up to the task.
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Rising U.S. farm debt and the implications for farmland investors
Three consecutive years of disappointing commodity prices has led to farmer incomes decreasing year after year. Low prices for soybeans, corn, milk and beef have reduced the level of farm income and 2019 is not expected to provide a deviation from this trend.
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Nuveen knows: alternatives
Beyond diversification: a geographical focus on farmland and real estate
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Will trade tensions reshape the world order?
The protectionist wave will almost certainly have a chilling effect on the global economy. But trade growth was slowing well before the US-China spat. In the latest Ahead of the Curve, we assess whether the tariff war is disruptive or merely accelerating trends already underway. And will we find opportunities in this fragmented global system, or only challenges?
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Flashforward: Drawing Parallels With 1999/2000
Investors in the UK and overseas are adopting extreme positioning in their hunt for defensive growth. In doing so the elastic has become very stretched and a sharp rotation could be overdue. This market dynamic is reminiscent of 1999/2000 whereby ‘old economy’ stocks are discarded in favour of ‘new economy’ ones.
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Is a New Front About to Open in the US-China Trade War?
Financial markets are focused on the ongoing trade war between the US and China—which goods and services are in play and what measures are being taken or threatened in each case. But the trade conflict could spill over into currency markets—and that’s a risk that bears watching.
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What We Know, What We Don’t Know, What We Think
It’s not even clear that central banks themselves understand what’s going on. Lower unemployment doesn’t seem to nudge inflation higher, as it once did. Commodity prices may, but not reliably.
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A Man, A Plan, A Canal – A Trade War
Trade flows, like water, ultimately find their path.
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Back to basics: a contrarian look at cyclicals in credit markets
The US bull run is the country’s longest on record. But we are in the latter stage of the global macroeconomic cycle and warning lights are flashing. We remain focused on corporate fundamentals, asking which high-quality cyclicals could successfully weather a slowdown.
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Indian elections: political continuity is positive but reform is what matters most
Prime Minister Modi led the NDA to a sweeping victory, with a full majority in Parliament and therefore significant political capital. There was some apprehension in the market ahead of the election and a clear majority will certainly soothe nerves.
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Evaluating the Effects of China’s Pork Crisis
African swine fever is ravaging China’s pork supply and having a global impact on protein prices. For equity investors, the crisis serves as a reminder that even amid trade-war uncertainty, research into domestic trends can help investors access the country’s vast stock market.
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Equity Options Skews: Why No Surprises?
Equity index options are the least surprising of options markets. According to data and the best of our knowledge, out-the-money (OTM) call options have never cost more than OTM puts on equity index options – reflecting the greater concern of a market slump than a rally.
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Gold/Silver Options Skews: Upside Risk Ahead?
U.S. monetary policy exerts a strong influence on the skewness of currency, gold and silver options. In a normal monetary environment where short-term interest rates are well above zero, investors tend to be more concerned about gold and silver prices rising abruptly than falling.