All Commodities articles – Page 8
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White papersRussian Gas Flows Face New Obstacles
The risk-off tone and heightened volatility in markets continued this week. Disruptions in European gas supplies (see page 2) led the euro to depreciate against the U.S. dollar, approaching 2016 lows. Meanwhile, elevated inflation data in the U.S. buoyed stagflation fears and expectations of an aggressive Fed tightening path, leading equities and the U.S. 10-year yield lower.
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White papersMarket snapshot: the ‘S-word’ looms into view
As investors grapple with the ongoing fallout from the Ukraine crisis and Covid-19, the risks posed by stagflation are growing.
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White papersWar and Net Zero offer opportunities across the commodity universe
Commodity trends are driven by four sets of factors: fundamental, geopolitical, structural and cyclical. Today, these are all supportive and underpin commodity price trends, especially for base metals and energy.
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White papersThe energy crisis heightens inflation fears - Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
Inflation was already running well above central banks’ targets as we entered the year. The war has put additional pressure on prices and supply chains and this could have repercussions not just on oil, but on other commodities as well. Furthermore, given these (intermediate) commodities are used in the production of other finished products, we are likely to witness more broad-based inflation, particularly in Europe, the region closest to the crisis.
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White papersThe renminbi’s creeping internationalisation
China has recently revived talks with Saudi Arabia on settling some oil trades in renminbi in a move that many market players see as a first step towards gradually shifting the global oil trade to the renminbi from the US dollar, creating the ‘petro-yuan’.
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White papersThe demise of ESG is much exaggerated
Far from being a casualty of the war in Ukraine, ESG investing is the key to security in energy, food and commodities, says Eoin Murray, Head of Investment, Federated Hermes
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - April 2022
We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month. The war in Ukraine could evolve in several ways over the coming weeks (see Ukraine crisis tree) with significant implications on economic and financial markets.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2022
The first month of the Russia-Ukraine war has driven volatility up across the board, though with some recent signs of stabilisation in equity markets. Europe is the area most exposed to the war – in particular, through the effects of higher energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and geographic proximity, but the commodity squeeze goes far beyond energy to include agricultural commodities and metals.
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White papersSenior Secured Loans: Why Now?
With further rate hikes on the horizon and volatility testing financial markets, loans are gaining traction for their potential to offer protection against both credit and interest rate risk.
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White papersA more fragmented Emerging Markets world amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis
Although it is still difficult to anticipate how macro fundamentals will be impacted through this crisis, because of the uncertainty of its evolution and final outcome, our perspective is that the crisis is negatively affecting the growth outlook and raising inflationary pressures.
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White papersInflation: a stubborn beast to slay
As the war in Ukraine adds to pressure on prices, investors could be facing a prolonged period of high inflation and may need to adjust their strategies accordingly.
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White papersWar Distress Hasn’t Derailed Western Growth Yet
The U.S. announced a new list of penalties against Russian elites, lawmakers, and entities, and there are discussions about imposing sanctions on Russia’s gold reserves—though not yet passed. Meanwhile, the EU and G7 are expected to announce further restrictions on business in Russia.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2022
The first month of the Russia-Ukraine war has driven volatility up across the board, though with some recent signs of stabilisation in equity markets. Europe is the area most exposed to the war – in particular, through the effects of higher energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and geographic proximity, but the commodity squeeze goes far beyond energy to include agricultural commodities and metals.
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White papersIs the spike in commodity prices sustainable?
For a glimpse of just how volatile commodities currently are, look at nickel markets. Prices doubled in early March. Then they plunged. Then the London Metals Exchange halted trading. This week, the market for nickel — a key component in electric vehicle batteries and stainless steel products — reopened but with strict trading limits.
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White papersWar, Inflation, and Markets
Investors appear to be refocusing on pre-war concerns about economic fundamentals—but finding that this horrific conflict has exacerbated them.
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White papersAt a tipping point
Renewable energy from wind and solar may be clean and cheap, but they are also intermittent and unpredictable. Traditionally, thermal generation such as coal, gas or nuclear are used to offset the limitations of renewables, especially during hours that are not windy or sunny.
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White papersStrategies to navigate soaring inflation and rising rates
As central banks try to tame inflation without triggering a global recession, pockets of opportunity can still be found.
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White papersFed Ready to Tighten the Screws on Inflation
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week. The central bank also signaled that it’s likely to keep raising rates at every meeting well into the second half of the year, and made it clear that it will start paring its balance sheet soon.
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White papersA Time to Tighten
The military and economic responses to Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to garner attention, as ongoing disruptions in oil and agriculture flows will add to inflation pressures in much of the world.
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White papersEconomic Scenarios in the Midst of War
Numbing economic sanctions on Russia, the delivery of arms to the government of Ukraine to stiffen resistance, and the remilitarization of Europe mean there is no turning back. The world has now changed and it is a difficult task to sketch with any certainty the economic impact.
