All Commodities articles – Page 8
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White papersInflation: a stubborn beast to slay
As the war in Ukraine adds to pressure on prices, investors could be facing a prolonged period of high inflation and may need to adjust their strategies accordingly.
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White papersWar Distress Hasn’t Derailed Western Growth Yet
The U.S. announced a new list of penalties against Russian elites, lawmakers, and entities, and there are discussions about imposing sanctions on Russia’s gold reserves—though not yet passed. Meanwhile, the EU and G7 are expected to announce further restrictions on business in Russia.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2022
The first month of the Russia-Ukraine war has driven volatility up across the board, though with some recent signs of stabilisation in equity markets. Europe is the area most exposed to the war – in particular, through the effects of higher energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and geographic proximity, but the commodity squeeze goes far beyond energy to include agricultural commodities and metals.
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White papersIs the spike in commodity prices sustainable?
For a glimpse of just how volatile commodities currently are, look at nickel markets. Prices doubled in early March. Then they plunged. Then the London Metals Exchange halted trading. This week, the market for nickel — a key component in electric vehicle batteries and stainless steel products — reopened but with strict trading limits.
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White papersWar, Inflation, and Markets
Investors appear to be refocusing on pre-war concerns about economic fundamentals—but finding that this horrific conflict has exacerbated them.
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White papersAt a tipping point
Renewable energy from wind and solar may be clean and cheap, but they are also intermittent and unpredictable. Traditionally, thermal generation such as coal, gas or nuclear are used to offset the limitations of renewables, especially during hours that are not windy or sunny.
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White papersStrategies to navigate soaring inflation and rising rates
As central banks try to tame inflation without triggering a global recession, pockets of opportunity can still be found.
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White papersFed Ready to Tighten the Screws on Inflation
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points this week. The central bank also signaled that it’s likely to keep raising rates at every meeting well into the second half of the year, and made it clear that it will start paring its balance sheet soon.
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White papersA Time to Tighten
The military and economic responses to Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to garner attention, as ongoing disruptions in oil and agriculture flows will add to inflation pressures in much of the world.
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White papersEconomic Scenarios in the Midst of War
Numbing economic sanctions on Russia, the delivery of arms to the government of Ukraine to stiffen resistance, and the remilitarization of Europe mean there is no turning back. The world has now changed and it is a difficult task to sketch with any certainty the economic impact.
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White papersChina’s GDP Target: When Lower Means (Much) Higher
The unprecedented nature of the pandemic lockdowns has stretched the ability of standard macroeconomic statistics to properly reflect real-time economic trends.
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VideoIntroduction to the Neuberger Berman Commodities Fund
In this short video, Hakan Kaya introduces the Neuberger Berman Commodities Fund and gives an overview of the role commodities could play within portfolios.
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White papersA Thematic Approach to the Fog of War and Hawkish Central Banks
Our outlook heading into 2022 focused on the strength of global growth, especially in the developed world. In the U.S. and Euro area (EA), we projected above-trend growth of 3.6% and 4.3%, respectively.
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White papersThe Long View: Russia-Ukraine War Has Lasting Implications for Investing
When Russian president Vladimir Putin sent troops into Ukraine, he unraveled decades of efforts to cement peace in Europe after the Cold War. For investors, the new world order has shaken up broad issues that shape our analysis of asset classes and securities.
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White papersSeven Predictions Amid the Rising Unpredictability
As the Ukraine War spirals toward broader geopolitical conflict, some elements of the outlook are already coming into view.
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White papersA measured approach to volatile markets
Despite the uncertainty caused by the conflict in Ukraine, markets are still trading in an orderly, albeit volatile, manner with support and tentative buying at cheaper levels.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: a lot of bad news already priced in, but the outlook is deteriorating
The second week of conflict in the Ukraine was marked by additional market volatility. Equities are down across the board. The demand for safe-haven assets temporarily pushed the 10-year Treasury down to 1.7% before it retraced to 1.9% amid rising inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, gold has remained well supported, briefly moving above $2000/ounce.
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White papersBack to Basics: Commodities and Radical Uncertainty
When facing uncertainty in the markets, we find it helpful to frame our thinking within the four quadrants made popular by U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld: known knowns, known unknowns, unknown knowns, and unknown unknowns.
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White papersCentral Banks on Deck to Fight Inflation
The ECB was owlish—carefully hawkish. It further reduced asset purchases for Q2 below the €40 billion previously announced and left completely open the pace of asset purchases for Q3. This leaves room for great flexibility: the ability to hike or not in Q4.
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White papersMonths When Decades Happen
Europe enters this dangerous period on solid footing. Unemployment is at record lows. Wage growth remains subdued. Russia’s war in Ukraine adds a strong inflation headwind to the ongoing expansion.
