All Commodities articles – Page 11
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What is the Role of Gold in 2020?
The rise in gold in 2020 is due to “a perfect storm” of central bank actions and economic turmoil, according to market roundtable.
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Commodities in the wake of the pandemic: unlocking potential
Like all asset classes, commodities were severely impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic. As the crisis starts to recede and we move into the second half of 2020, now is the moment to take stock.
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Big oil – Staring down the barrel of an uncertain future
After three months of convulsions, the global oil industry appears to be stuck between a rock and a hard place when contemplating its future. Oil majors need to decide how best to tackle the factors that are raising an increasingly large question mark over their business model, explains Mark Lewis, Global Head of Sustainability Research at BNP Paribas Asset Management, in a new briefing paper.
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Global Supply & Demand Curves Shift to the Left
U.S. inflation came in soft for April amid low oil prices and weak global demand. The employment report saw leisure and hospitality with the highest job losses, and Saudi Arabia announced plans to cut oil production again, easing concerns over storage capacity limits worldwide.
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Three Reasons to Consider a Long-Term Allocation to Small-Caps
The volatility driven by COVID-19 and the fall in oil prices has created much uncertainty—but it has also provided a potential opportunity to make long-term investments at attractive prices.
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Market Commentary - Coronavirus shockwave hits oil complex
As we enter the final week of April the total number of coronavirus cases is growing at about 3% per day. This is a marked slowdown from the peak reached in late March, around 12%. Yet in absolute terms, the number of new daily cases has only been plateauing, at around 80,000 globally
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Oil demand – Over the hill and far away
Demand for oil may recover in line with the post-pandemic bounce-back in economic growth. However, longer term, it will resume the downtrend that was visible already amid the structural pressures on demand that look likely to be reinforced by the changes in behaviour resulting from the measures taken around the globe to contain the spread of COVID-19.
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Oil: Demand on Remand
Mark Lewis, Global Head of Sustainability Research and Richard Barwell, Head of Macro Research at BNP Paribas Asset Management discuss the potentially lasting impact that Covid-19 and global lockdown is having on oil demand:
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What Plunging Oil Prices Mean for Energy Bonds
On April 20, the price of oil skidded into negative territory for the first time in history, with the May futures contract on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude hitting a low of –US$37.63 per barrel before recovering to positive levels.
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EM Equity: A Return to Fundamentals, but a Long Road Ahead
Conrad Saldanha, Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio Manager, discusses April’s EM equity market rally and the impact of falling oil prices on EM economies.
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Oil Jumps, Jobs Slump, More Fiscal Help Coming
President Trump expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to cut oil production and prices surged ~25% on the news. Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits skyrocketed, doubling the previous week’s record and there is more talk of future fiscal packages.
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High Drama in High Yield
Coronavirus and the OPEC price war combine for a one-two punch to high yield markets.
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Why invest in African agriculture?
There is a compelling case for adding direct exposure to agricultural farmland and commodities for any real assets portfolio. With rising populations globally and increased urbanisation in emerging countries, there is increased importance placed on food security. In addition, trends have developed that have the potential to lead to further long-term price rises in agricultural markets.
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Sharpe Thinking
This week we launch a new monthly review that aims to make sense of the factors driving financial markets. Sharpe Thinking will include timely, active insights from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered to you by the Investment Office – our independent oversight body that ensures our strategies perform in the best interest of clients.
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Why solar energy’s prospects look bright for 2020
As the long-term transition towards renewable energy continues apace, we see a sunny outlook this year for solar energy companies, as well as onshore wind and energy storage.
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A U.S.-China Trade Deal Looms While Oil Prices Boomerang
Tensions are high around the world, global growth is low, while oil prices boomerang amidst the Iran clash.
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Trade is not the only drag on growth
Entering 2019, our main expectations were for slower growth, easier monetary policy globally and continuing pressure on bond yields. At a high level, that is how the year played out. But the path to those outcomes has at times surprised us.
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Trade war clouds the outlook
The effects of the US’s multiple confrontations with allies and adversaries over its terms of trade with the rest of the world have overshadowed commodity markets throughout 2019. At the beginning of this year we anticipated relatively swift progress towards a trade deal between the US and China. But as the year progressed it became clear that this confrontation would last much longer than we had initially expected. We now believe it will continue beyond the US presidential election late next year, irrespective of which candidate wins.
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Despite All The Focus on Trade, Inflation Remains Low
U.S. trade trouble continues with a “Phase One Deal” less than imminent, the IEA asserts how U.S. shale-oil production will reshape global energy markets and don’t hold your breath on a December Fed rate cut.
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Wells, Wires, and Wheels - EROCI and the tough road ahead for oil
Oil needs long-term break-evens of $10-$20/bbl to remain competitive in mobility. In this report we introduce the concept of the Energy Return on Capital Invested (EROCI), focusing on the energy return on a $100bn outlay on oil and renewables where the energy is being used specifically to power cars and other light-duty vehicles (LDVs). For a given capital outlay on oil and renewables, how much useful energy at the wheels do we get?