All Commodities articles – Page 14
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The future of energy
As we approach ‘peak oil’, what does this mean for the fossil fuel industry and alternative sources of energy?
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Brent-WTI Oil Spread Taking Cue from Houston-Midland?
The price spread between two relatively new futures contracts, WTI Midland and WTI Houston, has been over the past two years a leading indicator of the spread between the two most venerable crude oil futures contracts: WTI and Brent. The economics behind this might offer clues about how oil markets evolve in the future.
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China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War
China’s growth is decelerating, it is loaded with debt and is involved in a high stakes trade war with the United States. Despite these issues, China’s economy appears to be holding up better than one might have expected. In fact, China’s growth could even accelerate in 2019 in response to aggressive monetary easing.
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Focus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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From G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes
The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.
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Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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U.S. Pullout of Iran Nuclear Deal: What Next for Oil, Business?
The United States has pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal in a move that could have wide-ranging implications for oil markets, trade and the Middle East peace process. Read about the potential impacts.
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Gold: At the Crossroads of Fiscal and Monetary Policies
Gold has shown a lack of direction amid the push-pull effects of fiscal and monetary policies.
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Rising bond yields point to higher commodity prices
It has been a long time coming, but investors are getting used to the idea that global bond yields are heading higher.
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Daisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018
With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.
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Reaction: Italian election
The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.
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Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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The UK’s demise is overstated
UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.
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Climate change: it's not black and white for fossil fuels
Our experts believe that dialogue with individual companies about their plans will be more effective than divesting from the industry completely.
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Dynamic Asian fixed income market continues to drive strong returns
The Asian fixed income market has had a fantastic three-year total return performance.
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South Korean equities shrug off concerns
A myriad of anxieties has failed to stem this year’s KOSPI surge and now investors are encouraged by a reform-minded new president.
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Hong Kong faces an unstable future
China’s increasing control of Hong Kong’s political and economic activities raises concerns about the territory’s role as financial hub.
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Thailand adapts to a new normal
The military government has ambitious plans to reshape the country’s economy as well as its constitution.
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Is China’s economy turning Japanese?
Three decades after Tokyo’s property bubble burst, causing severe damage, there are fears that Beijing faces a similar fate.