All Commodities articles – Page 3
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White papersRegulation set to supercharge push on plastics
Voluntary plastic goals have yielded little meaningful change on plastic production and recycling. But forthcoming regulatory changes will heighten both the risks and opportunities companies – and investors – must navigate.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”
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White papersGold: “Things are now in motion that cannot be undone…”
A false sense of security as the economic cycle appears to be returning to ‘normal’. It’s not.
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White papersThe economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papersGold has been shining bright this year
”Expectations of a Fed pivot to cut rates likely drove the recent, sharp surge in gold. Now, geopolitical risks and concerns over lack of fiscal prudence from governments could support the demand for metals.”
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White papersThe Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
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White papersCommodities of the future: the metals vital to energy transition
When investors consider metals exposure in their portfolios, they might once have focused on gold, silver and platinum. Today, more common metals are becoming increasingly important because they will play a vital role in the energy transition.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - February 2024
Disruption in the Red Sea is prompting speculation around inflationary shocks just as in the Covid era So, what differs today from the post Covid experience to make the impact more micro than macro and more regional and sector specific than global?
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2024
Topic of the Month - Japan equity: top performer in 2023; remains attractive option for 2024
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - January 2024
Recent Q4 2023 inflation data in the Euro Area, UK and US, on net have surprised on the downside, with year-over-year (YoY) rates of headline inflation now standing at 2.9%, 3.9%, 3.4% respectively, prompting expectations of a faster than expected reversion to target.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2024
Topic of the Month - Europe: time for fiscal consolidation
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White papersIndia outperforming in H2 so far
”India is a long-term story supported by structural factors, domestic demand, and stable policymaking that should offer opportunities in 2024 and beyond.”
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White papersBalancing uncertainty and optimism
The economic data in 2023 was better than expected: inflation fell, employment remained resilient and we didn’t end up in recession – in fact growth was impressively resilient.
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White papersGeopolitical Shocks and Portfolio Construction
Investors should try to respond not to the events of the past week, but to the deeper global trends they reflect.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023
Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation. But higher oil prices – which are up about 30% over the last two months – could add a significant hurdle to this disinflation process and keep policy rates higher for longer. The impact of higher oil prices typically depends both on how quickly and by how much they rise, and whether the shock is long-lasting or temporary.
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White papersLimited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since July has brought the topic back to light. We find that it would take a material rise in energy prices and a combination of negative factors for households before there is a visible toll on overall spending. We’re not there yet and anticipate only a marginal impact on consumption at this stage
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White papersThe Fast and The Fuel-Less
Under pressure to find sustainable and less expensive alternatives to internal combustion vehicles, the shift to electric vehicles has been gaining momentum.
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White papersLong the Strong
The prolonged adjustment to higher rates is just beginning, and we think it will likely be more painful for some than others.
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White papersAt the crossroads
Lack of movement on interest rates this week left investors wondering: Which way now?
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White papersThe fossil fuel burnout
Global demand for oil, gas and coal is expected to peak by 2030, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).
