All Commodities articles – Page 2
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White papersGold rush or fool’s gold? Three views on surging prices
With gold prices rising to record highs over the past three years, investors have increasingly turned their attention to this ancient store of wealth. What is driving the rapid increases, especially at a time when stocks and bonds have also generally done well?
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White papersOil prices threaten the tax tailwind
Last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill is set to deliver a powerful fiscal tailwind. Yet this stimulus is at risk of being undermined by higher oil prices resulting from the Middle East conflict, as higher energy prices effectively act as a tax increase on households. If crude prices settle around $90 per barrel, they could fully erode the benefits from the OBBBA.
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White papersWhat the global housing shortage (and recovery) means for natural capital investment
The world needs more housing, and the math behind that shortage is staggering. Across the U.S., Canada, Australia, the U.K. and the EU alone, an estimated 5.1 million new housing units per year are needed just to close the gap. For timberland investors, that demand tells a compelling story about where wood consumption is headed. Read the full paper to explore the connection between the global housing shortage and the long-term case for natural capital investment.
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White papersThe Scarcity Trade: Why Critical Metals Are the Real AI Play
Commodities are entering a new structural phase defined by scarcity, geopolitics and surging demand for the metals underpinning AI, electrification and defence. Yet financial markets remain largely unprepared for the physical supply constraints required to build it — creating a compelling opportunity: critical metals offer both return potential and a natural hedge to AI risk.
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White papersMetals rally provides extra shine to EM debt
Soaring gold and copper prices set to deliver a further boost to emerging market economies this year.
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White papersMapping the fallout: Iran, oil, and global markets
Macro impact: The Iran conflict and risks to the Strait of Hormuz do not yet warrant a major change to our base case macro outlook. Growth adjustments remain limited, inflation has nudged higher, and central banks are broadly in a wait-and-see mode, with policy rates expected to remain largely stable.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2026
Topic of the month - Mapping the fallout: Iran, oil, and global markets
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White papersHow the Iran war changes the economic outlook
War in Iran has injected new uncertainty into the global economy, reviving concerns that high oil prices could drive inflation up, strain consumer spending and weigh on economic growth.
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White papersOil and gas back in the spotlight
“In the Iran crisis, oil is the key transmission mechanism through which tensions spill over into the global economy: a total disruption of the Strait of Hormuz is the decisive trigger that can turn an energy shock into a broader macroeconomic shock.”
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White papers3 views on the US-Iran conflict
As war in the Middle East escalates, investors are confronted with the reality of a world that is becoming more dangerous. With markets reacting minute by minute to the news, it is helpful to take a step back and consider events in a broader context. With that in mind, three Capital Group investment professionals offer their assessments of the developing US-Iran conflict.
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White papersGeopolitical Risk and Asset Pricing Across Market Regimes
This paper examines how geopolitical risk (GPR) is transmitted across global financial markets by analyzing its effects on equities, sovereign bonds, foreign exchange, and commodities. Moving beyond single-regime and single-dimension approaches, the study adopts a two-regime Markov-switching framework to capture the state-dependent pricing of geopolitical shocks under low- and high-volatility market conditions.
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White papersU.S. & Israel vs. Iran: A sharpening geopolitical fault line
Escalating tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran are intensifying geopolitical risks in the Middle East, raising concerns over regional stability and potential disruptions to global energy markets.
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White papersOn solid ground: foundations of real assets investing
From data centers and regulated utilities to industrial warehouses and multifamily housing, listed real assets are quietly doing some heavy lifting in today’s portfolios: offering diversification, inflation protection and income that traditional stocks and bonds simply can’t replicate. With valuations at attractive entry points and secular demand trends only accelerating, the case for real assets has rarely been stronger. Read the full piece to see why now may be the right time to take a closer look.
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White papersImplications of US-Israel strikes on Iran
What is the nature of the attack on Iran and how could the situation evolve?
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White papersRisks to Oil from Iran: The Price of Uncertainty Flows Through Hormuz
A joint U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran’s leadership and energy infrastructure has put the world’s most critical oil chokepoint at risk — and the price consequences could be nonlinear.
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White papersEurope Aiming for Strategic Autonomy
“Europe’s strategic autonomy is about securing long-term economic resilience, diversifying the region’s external dependencies and enhancing competitiveness. This will open-up long-term investment opportunities across sectors.”
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2026
Gold, silver, copper, oil: forces shaping the market - January’s end brought a bout of extreme volatility across commodity markets. Several commodities appear to have been hit by a correction after short-term euphoria, likely prompting the unwinding of speculative positions at month-end in silver, platinum, tin, US natural gas (NG) and the euro.
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White papersWhat could a Warsh-led Fed mean for markets?
On 30 January 2026, Donald Trump tapped Kevin Warsh — a former Fed governor between 2006 and 2011, and prominent policy hawk in a few past episodes — to take over from Jerome Powell as the US Federal Reserve Chair when Powell’s term ends in May.
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White papersGold, silver, copper, oil: forces shaping the market
January’s end brought a bout of extreme volatility across commodity markets. Several commodities appear to have been hit by a correction after short-term euphoria, likely prompting the unwinding of speculative positions at month-end in silver, platinum, tin, US natural gas (NG) and the euro.
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WebinarWorld in chaos after Davos? Impact on Markets
During this webinar, our experts Philippe d’Orgeval, Deputy Group Chief Investment Officer, and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute & Chief Strategist, moderated by Danae Quek, Senior PR Manager, explored how the latest surge in geopolitical tensions, renewed tariff threats, and mounting concerns over public finances are shaping market behaviour and influencing investor positioning.
