All Commentary articles – Page 90
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White papersThe Bull Case for Next Year: It Won’t be Worse Than This Year
It’s not a pretty outlook, but it’s important to keep thinking at least one or two moves ahead.
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White papersReassessing the view on Europe: hot questions for investors
Is stagflation a highly likely scenario, or will the European economy enter a recession this year? How will governments respond?
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White papersLatAm elections cycles wrapping up: politics and policy transitions in full swing of uncertainty
LatAm’s dramatic elections calendar that landed three leftist presidents in the Andean region might be two-thirds over, but the political and policy uncertainty created by these election results is far from it. Chile and Colombia are expanding the size and role of the state, while intense political and macro conditions have forced yet another and a big-time government reshuffle in Peru and Argentina, respectively.
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White papersQ2 earnings season – strong results helped support the summer rally
The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August. However, the results are of ‘low quality’ and are not a reason to turn bullish on equities. Ultimately, margins coming down from very high levels should drive the earnings downturn in our view.
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White papersMunicipal bond sectors: resilient in times of uncertainty
Many investors are concerned about the potential for a prolonged economic downturn. If that were to happen, municipal credit should show resilience, due to unprecedented federal pandemic stimulus support, strong reserves and revenue collections, and the ability to adjust budgets.
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White papersWhy ‘green’ hydrogen is the energy pathway of the future
‘Green’ hydrogen – made from renewable energy sources – is seen more and more as the holy grail in the transition to a carbon-neutral economy. With a wide range of applications, green hydrogen could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by a third in the coming decades at a reasonable cost, making it an attractive investment option. Thibaud Clisson and Julien Bouyssou explain.
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White papersEuropean Real Estate Debt: Why Now?
Against a backdrop of decades-high inflation and rising rates, real estate debt is worth considering—especially given the potential for attractive returns, duration risk mitigation, and diversification.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2022
The summer season has temporarily brought some sunshine to investors as the main equity markets had been rallying until mid-August. Supporting this trend was a series of assumptions on key themes driving the market: inflation was assumed to be at its peak and starting to recede; growth was assumed to be on a soft landing path; and central banks were assumed to have done most of the work needed.
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White papersValuations and guidance appear foreboding for U.S. equities
The month-long rally in U.S. equity markets hit stiff resistance in mid-August. Surprising resilience in economic data, including consumer spending, employment and July’s cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index report, helped propel broad-based indexes like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq out of their bear market lows of June and in to bull market territory.
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White papersGet real with income-producing real assets
We have seen demand for real assets grow dramatically in recent years, and we expect it will advance further as investors better understand the positive attributes of the asset class. Real assets offer the opportunity for diversification, inflation hedging and competitive total returns. Real assets may also serve as a nontraditional source of income, a feature that investors frequently overlook.
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White papersArticulating asset allocation across different time horizons
In a previous paper, we addressed the issue of how to set investment objectives. In this paper, we address another key issue in the definition of asset allocation: how to articulate it across different time horizons.
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PodcastHigh Yield: When Volatility Creates Opportunity
Investors are back at their desks and volatility has returned with them. How can they navigate an environment characterized by rising rates and decades-high inflation? Scott Roth and Adrienne Butler answer this question and more in the latest episode of Streaming Income.
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White papersThe Uncertainty May Be Worse Than the Slowdown
We do think the onset of recession is a time to tread carefully, but it could also be a time of opportunity for equity investors.
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White papersEurope Real Estate sector report
The prospects for long-term office demand remain unclear and strongly debated amongst investors. Despite record low unemployment levels across Europe, daily office occupancy is stall well below pre-pandemic levels in most markets.
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White papersOpening doors - How secondaries is attracting a new pool of investors
In the past, private equity has been mainly targeted at the institutional investors market, making it hard for other investors to access this asset class. However, more accommodating regulations have allowed semi-liquid solutions to spread considerably – among them, secondaries – attracting a new pool of investors. But what does semi-liquid mean?
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White papersUniquely Japan: Navigating Asia’s largest advanced economy
Economic intricacies and structural challenges are commonplace in Japan. But looking through the lens of individual companies shines a different light on the nation.
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White papersAdvanced Investment Phazer: a guide to dynamic asset allocation
Economic cycles have been a crucial driver for financial markets, making regime-based dynamic asset allocation (DAA) a common practice in supporting optimal portfolio construction. Changes in key economic indicators, monetary policy trends and the evolution of financial leverage have proven a reliable guide in identifying business cycle phases.
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White papersFive ways to fight ESG scepticism
It has been a mixed year for sustainable investment. On the one hand, the financial sector has signed up to net zero commitments en masse – not to mention the sector-wide efforts to prepare for and implement SFDR. On the other hand, scepticism has grown around how deep the implementation of ESG integration and sustainable investment practices really go.
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White papersHow to overhaul Europe’s outdated budget rules
Europe’s budget rules are in dire need of an overhaul. A new regime of higher inflation means the European Central Bank cannot on its own support growth or prevent fragmentation. But governments are hampered by fiscal constraints that are too simplistic and which, after years of breaches, lack credibility.
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White papersIs UK real estate heading back to the 1970s?
UK commercial real estate is facing 1970s-level inflation, but does it face the same boom and bust it did over 50 years ago?
