All Commentary articles – Page 89
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White papersClimate risks: too big to ignore
The last day of summer in the Northern Hemisphere was September 22nd, and cooler temperatures will surely be welcomed by many
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White papersLISTED INFRASTRUCTURE: Three win/win opportunities for investors and society in the U.S.
The electric grid is increasingly vulnerable to damage from storms and other natural events such as wildfires. Hardening the grid is therefore a major focus for utility companies in the U.S. today.
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White papersRESILIENT HOUSING: Greater demand, lower risk, recession resistant
The U.S. residential rental market has demonstrated remarkable strength since the pandemic. All types of housing, including traditional multifamily, single-family rental, and manufactured housing, have exhibited strong occupancies, collections, and rent growth. Furthermore, all price points, from luxury to lower end, and locations, both urban to suburban, are experiencing success in these key operating metrics.
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White papers
Real Estate sector report
The apartment market remains a top performer among all property types though mid-year 2022. Demand continues to drive down vacancy rates in most regions, with a nascent recovery emerging within larger coastal gateway cities.
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White papersBraving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
This article was originally published July 15, 2022, and has been updated to reflect market conditions.
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White papersUpheaval in the global FX regime
The global FX regime of the last 20 years has been characterised by a distinct pattern of capital flows. At its core, Asian countries (mostly China) recycled their current account surpluses into USD-denominated FX reserves, in order to weaken their domestic currencies and preserve export-led economic models.
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White papersGlobal foreign exchange regime faces winds of change
Dollar strength is causing strains, even in developed economies like Japan and Britain. A short-term fix could be a Plaza-style accord to weaken the dollar. Reverse FX wars, with a race to strengthen currencies, are another possibility. Longer-term, momentum may grow for a multi-polar currency regime that pits China ...
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White papersNavigating the Emerging Markets Default Wave
Despite record defaults, stresses remain relatively low for the asset class overall.
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White papersInvesting at a Crossroads: Three Themes for Today’s New Challenges
As 40-year tailwinds turn to headwinds, we distill an era of sometimes bewildering change into three themes and a new investment playbook.
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PodcastDisruptive Forces in Investing Podcast: Investing at a Crossroads
As many of the tailwinds of the past 40 years turn to headwinds, what could be the new long-term investment playbook?
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White papersQ&A: The asset allocation process of a long-term investor
Views from the TIAA General Account
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White papersWhat does ESG mean for private credit?
ESG’s impact on investor and manager behavior has changed the way we look at the world. Churchill’s Randy Schwimmer and Mickey Weatherston address what it means for private credit.
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White papersEuropean Real Estate Debt Markets Re-align
5-year swap rates have pushed all-in real estate interest rates to over 4%, their highest levels since 2013. This has been triggered by record high inflation, central bank rate hikes, and uncertainty on the macroeconomic outlook.
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White papersNext Wave of Physical Climate Risk
For any remaining sceptics, 2022 post-Covid summer has further confirmed that climate change is for real with new record length droughts, forest fires and the Rhine river at risk of running too low for commercial shipping.
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White papersHow will real estate emerge in 2022?
Describe the effect the rising interest-rate environment is having on real estate.
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White papersTime to refocus on bonds - Rethinking portfolios after the great repricing
Inflation has risen to levels not seen in 40 years, leading to a repricing of financial markets this year, which has been particularly severe in the fixed income space. Central Banks have already started to hike rates and turn to the hawkish side to avoid de-anchoring inflation expectations. The era of low or even negative interest rates is over.
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White papersUK market turmoil points towards further volatility in global currencies
Investors’ focus is shifting from the poor growth/inflation mix to the extremely negative external balance picture in the UK. Last Friday (23/09), the government announced an additional 0.5% of GDP in unfunded tax cuts and the reaction of UK assets recalled actions we used to see only in emerging markets.
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White papersItaly election: no major surprise from the polls, maybe positive for markets
Election outcome and political scenario: The centre-right coalition won Italy’s general election on 25 September, with approximately 44% of votes. Overall, we believe that Italy’s general election offered no major surprises and at the margin, the news flow is positive, as the centre-right collation will not have a two-thirds parliamentary majority, which would have allowed it to vote for constitutional amendments.
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White papersThey’ve got the power? European Utilities and the energy crisis
Robin Usson, Senior Credit Analyst, explains what the impact of the energy crisis on the European Utilities market means for investing in the sector.
