All Commentary articles – Page 123
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White papersFighting the climate crisis: mitigation and adaptation
Global warming is a universal issue whose enormity seems to increase every year as new records for temperature, storm severity and species extinction are set, before being broken again. In the second episode of a two-part climate-focused special of Fundamentals, we ask: how should investors think about the climate within a portfolio context? And can investors adapt to a new climate normal?
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White papersTomorrow’s world: COVID-19 and the long-term future of commercial real estate
Chris Urwin and Jonathan Bayfield look beyond the near-term disruption to real estate to assess the longer-term prospects for the retail, office and logistics sectors.
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White papersMarket weekly – The case for global emerging market equities (podcast)
Over the past decade global emerging market equities have underperformed their developed market counterparts. What does the COVID-19 crisis mean for developing economies and the asset class ? In this week’s podcast, Vincent Nichols, investment specialist for global emerging market (EM) equities, discusses the case for EM equities with Daniel Morris, our senior market strategist.
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White papersHigh Yield: The Power of Flexibility in Volatile Times
The journey back to normalcy will likely be punctuated with stops and starts. But opportunities will emerge—and being in a position to capture the upside is key.
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White papersESG Research Helps Reveal Resilience amid COVID-19
Companies are coping with diverse challenges through the coronavirus crisis. Investors who integrate environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors into their research can gain important insights on how businesses are adapting—and how future return potential might be affected.
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White papersCovid-19 - Institutional Fixed Income market update briefing
Credit markets have continued to perform well, enjoying underlying official support and as investors continue to look to add risk. In this short summary, we highlight activity within the main fixed income markets, including leveraged loans and asset-backed securities in recent weeks.
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White papersCoronavirus & Inflation in Advanced Economies: Slower for Longer
If consumers manage to recover quickly and healthily, thanks in part to so much public money being put in their hands, supply may fall short and inflation could come back.
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White papersConversations With……Fred Ingham
Reflecting on three years managing the Neuberger Berman Uncorrelated Strategies Fund
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White papersVixology
How VIX history rhymes—and why we believe option writing strategies are still attractive despite the huge equity market rally.
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White papers2020 midyear outlook - 20/20 vision: a clearer path for growth
Our 2020 market and investment theme, “20/20 vision: a clearer path for growth,” was thrown for a loop in March. But we think this theme is starting to reemerge as the world recovers from the deepest (and perhaps shortest) recession in history. In the months ahead, we expect market volatility to remain elevated and portfolio construction to be more challenging, but Nuveen’s Global Investment Committee still sees value across asset classes. We remain committed to offering investors of all types and outcomes goals and ideas for how to navigate today’s — and tomorrow’s — markets.
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White papersThink European value-add: Why a short-term strategy needs a long-term philosophy
Investors cannot rely on what worked before. Even short-term strategies need to be reconsidered and reformulated to factor in changes that are shaping our society and our behaviour.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - July 2020
United States: while hard data help size the lockdown-induced impact on Q2 activity and production, soft and high-frequency data are showing a gradual pickup. As pent-up demand comes through, activity will rebound in Q3, followed by further improvement in Q4. We expect GDP to drop by 4.5%-6.5% y/y in 2020, followed by a rebound of 3.0- 4.0% y/y in 2021, and to return to its pre-Covid-19 level by mid-2022. Lockdowns have also impacted inflation, which is driven by shifts in demand and has exhibited short-term weaknesses in 2020, with reflating forecast in 2021 on base effects and a pickup in demand.
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White papersThe Trough is in—Let the Healing Begin
While there is still a long path to recovery, global June flash PMIs confirmed we have passed the trough as contraction eased. The U.S. Employment report will be released next week, and the pressure is on for Britain and Japan to come up with a deal.
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White papersAEW Research Flash Report - June 2020
In this fifth update since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, we define a new base case scenario by being more precise about our cash shortfall and yield widening assumptions for individual markets and quantify both short and long-term return implications across more individual markets.
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White papersHow the COVID-19 Crisis Validates Sustainable Investing
The economic and market challenges brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic have put investors through a trial by fire this year. Yet the crisis has also validated sustainable investing strategies focused on environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors.
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks - July 2020
We marginally amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario on the back of recent developments. We also increase
the probability of our central scenario from 50 to 60% while reducing the likelihood of the upside scenario from 30 to 20%. -
White papersSpotlight on Sterling credit - Identifying opportunities
The strong recovery in sterling credit in Q2 can mask some underlying developments within the index, creating both risk and opportunity. Much of the current attractive credit premium at the overall index level may be attributed to a relatively small number of sectors and issuers, while in the current economic climate, even those sectors traditionally considered lower risk, may be more vulnerable than many investors think.
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White papersThematics views - July 2020
Covid-19 is a symmetric shock with asymmetric outcomes. Existin imbalances within Europe such as public debt, economic models or vision for the union, turn to cracks and the EU is facing fragmentation risks. However, the EU should be able to get over it as it did with the Global Financial Crisis.
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White papersWeekly Investment Update – 24 June 2020
The number of countries lifting their COVID-19 lockdowns is increasing, and sentiment indicators are picking up. Levels of mobility are accelerating. This should help the real economy to spring back at a faster pace than was originally envisaged. Data appears to be bottoming and markets are expecting it to improve at a stronger pace going forward.
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White papersThe day after #8 - Deglobalisation could improve diversification but also exacerbate financial contagion
In recent years world trade dynamics have definitely shown an accentuated inversion of the globalisation trend and its robust contribution to global economic performance. The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) marked a historic turning point in the degree of global economic integration. Since 2007/08 global trade has entered a period of increasingly protectionist policies (trade barriers, national subsidies, national champions), decelerating growth in trade-intensive sectors, rising policy uncertainty and more recently, trade tensions.
