All Asset allocation articles – Page 17
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White papersOutlook 2021: Private assets
Private assets continue to attract capital as investors seek better returns. We think private markets can continue to deliver, but will increasingly rely on hard-to-access areas and specialist skills.
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White papersGlobal Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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White papersPortfolio allocation in times of uncertainty
The temptation to react to every headline, every market move is often irresistible. Never more so than in an environment that screams uncertainty. But experience shows that successful investors have learned to stick to their strategies, regardless of bright, shiny objects that threaten to distract.
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White papersAsset Allocation Views: A Brighter Year Ahead
In our Allocation Views, we retain a relatively cautious view despite positive headlines on vaccines as the risks to recovery remain tilted to the downside.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - December 2020
United States: after a record contraction in Q2, and an extraordinary rebound in Q3, we expect a significant deceleration in Q4, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases and given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioral indicators. Next year’s growth outlook remains supported by the supportive mix of monetary and fiscal policy.
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White papersMarkets on a tightrope
Violent equity market rotations present a strong case for balance in portfolios, but an unusually complex knot of factors makes it challenging to achieve.
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White papersFranklin Templeton Investment Solutions Allocation Views
In recent weeks, as uncertainty clouded the economic outlook, we tried to look ahead to what would matter in the following months and through next year. We focused on the need for governments to deliver fiscal stimulus to support and sustain economic recovery. We agreed with the leading central bankers who, as we have noted in Allocation Views throughout this year, have called for greater coordination of fiscal and monetary policy.
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White papersWrite hard and clear about what hurts
Economists have frequently used the alphabet to characterize the profile of the recovery. But one letter does not fit all. It is the duration of the epidemic which will ultimately determine the shape of the recovery. The desynchronisation of cycles should open the door to traditional geographic diversification.
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White papersMarket scenarios and risks - November 2020
This month, we amend the narrative of our central and downside scenario to take into account a larger than expected Covid second wave in Europe and delayed fiscal support in the US. We reduce the probability of our central scenario from 70% to 65% and increase the probability of the downside scenario from 20% to 25%.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - November 2020
The US economy rebounded in Q3, exceeding our expectations and leading to a further upside revision of our 2020 GDP forecasts. However, given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioural indicators, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases, we are more cautious about the speed at which the economy will enter 2021.
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White papersVideo: Why investors are turning to private assets amid uncertainty
In this video Georg Wunderlin and Johanna Kyrklund discuss the key challenges and benefits of using private assets, as identified by Schroders’ Institutional Investor Study.
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White papersVideo: Why investors are turning to private assets amid uncertainty
In this video Georg Wunderlin and Johanna Kyrklund discuss the key challenges and benefits of using private assets, as identified by Schroders’ Institutional Investor Study.
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White papersPositioning for the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election: An Update
Undeniably, 2020 has been an eventful year and the fireworks are likely not yet over. Amidst rising COVID-19 infections and a stuttering economic recovery, investors are preparing for the U.S. Presidential election. While this election may be one of the most contentious in U.S. history, investors should remember that that once the elections pass, much of this noise typically quiets and risk assets are able to resume a trajectory dictated by fundamentals.
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White papersFranklin Templeton Investment Solutions: Allocation Views
We are growing more accustomed to the strange new landscape left behind after the COVID-19 recession. The virus threat remains very real, with notable flare-ups in Europe more recently, even as populations get more used to dealing with it. Optimism over an eventual vaccine and improved treatments is balanced by the realization that even on the most optimistic timetable, we remain a long way from a full return to normality.
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White papersBracing for Winter, Looking Forward to Spring
“Anticipation of much lower levels of uncertainty in 12 months’ time—paired with the after-effects of unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, the potential for another fiscal boost to come, and the Federal Reserve’s new, more dovish policy framework—feed into this quarter’s changes to our asset class views.”
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks - October 2020
This month, we do not amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario. Economic data confirm a slower recovery path in line with our central scenario and Central Banks maintain their accommodative stace. We maintain the probability of our central scenario at 70%, 20% for the downside scenario and 10% for the upside.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - October 2020
Q3 economic rebound exceeds our expectations on GDP, prompting an upside revision to our August forecasts. Yet, the deceleration in late Q3 of several indicators is keeping us from extrapolating Q3 momentum into Q4. After some softening in 2020 H2, headline inflation will move along a gradual upward trend, stabilising around 2% from mid-2021 with possible temporary overshooting. As November 3 approaches, policymakers’ focus is shifting, with an increased risk that 2020 fiscal policy will become more diluted than expected, and with little visibility on the Phase 4 deal in particular.
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White papersOpportunities today in middle market lending
Institutional investors are struggling to deliver yield, drive growth and meet liabilities amid low rates and economic malaise. Private credit can be an effective alternative source of income, while providing true diversification. This paper considers a range of investment factors as we determine how to incorporate these opportunities into an existing asset allocation strategy.
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White papersEpic Battle or Rope-a-Dope?
Identifying the winner of the rumble between ‘The Japanifier’ and ‘The Stimulator’ is likely to be the key determinant in successful portfolio construction for years to come.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: Covid paralysis recedes as political risk rises
Even after the large risk rally in summer and despite the persistent spreading of Covid-19, equities advanced fast in August (MSCI World up by another 6.6%), helped by recovering data, better-than-expected earnings and vaccine hopes.
