All Asset allocation articles – Page 17
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White papersMarket scenarios and risks - March 2021
This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios. We confirm our constructive medium-term view on the “financial recovery regime”, with more caution in the short-term on financial markets, given the virus-dependent news flow and inflation concerns.
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White papersRedesigning tactical asset allocation
Multi-asset teams in the asset management industry already have to contend with implementing investment strategy across numerous portfolios whose opportunity sets may vary considerably.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2021
This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios. We confirm our constructive medium-term view on the “financial recovery regime”, with more caution in the short-term on financial markets, given the virus-dependent news flow.
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White papersWebinar | Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q 2021: A Tentative Recovery
“Investors who can tolerate volatility for the next six months or so could take the AAC’s views as a signal to bound out of the sickbed and fully embrace risk. The rest of us may do better by continuing to give portfolios the TLC they need: taking risk judiciously and in a balanced way.”
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White papersResponsible Investing And Stock Allocation
We analyze the portfolio choices of approximately 913,000 active participants in employee saving plans in France. Looking at the cross-section of equity exposure, we find that the inclusion of responsible equity options in the menu of available funds is associated with a 2.1% higher equity allocation by plan participants.
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White papersEuropean insurers: the case for going global in the credit allocation
In the hunt for yield, some years ago European investors started to allocate part of their credit exposure to dollar assets. However, many then put a stop to this diversification due to high hedging costs. In the context of the Covid-19 outbreak, the Fed cut rates to post-Lehman lows. Consequently, euro and dollar interest rates converged significantly, reducing hedging costs and making a case for broadening the investment universe from a European to a global base more attractive.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2021
This month, we update the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios, taking into account 4Q20 developments in vaccinations, fiscal and monetary policies, and (geo)politics. We have a higher conviction on our central scenario and we are raising its probability from 65% to 75%. We are lowering the probability of our downside scenario from 25% to 15%, which remains above historical levels.
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White papers2021 global outlook reassessed
As the Q420 is now closed, we confirm the “financial recovery regime” as our central scenario for 2021 with a higher conviction than in Q320. We expect better corporate fundamentals at a global level going forward. The rebound of EPS growth will eventually validate current asset price levels in the context of low interest rates. This explains our cautious optimism for the coming quarters.
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White papersFew Things Are Riskier Than Consensus
Investors should be concerned that market participants have begun 2021 with their views and positioning arguably more closely aligned than they have been for years.
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White papersPublic real estate debt: Facing today’s challenges
It is no secret that COVID-19 has had a particularly adverse impact on global real estate markets. But even as headwinds persist, there are opportunities worth considering within the public debt markets.
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White papersOutlook 2021
The heads of our investment platforms welcome the New Year with their views for 2021.
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White papersHow private credit enhances returns while lowering risk
Private credit has until now been the preserve of large institutions, but that’s changing. We find out why.
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White papersSenior infrastructure debts fixed income: which poses fewer challenges for investors?
Senior infrastructure debt is shielded from many of the challenges that face traditional fixed income in a zero-rate world. We explain why.
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White papersMacro Outlook Webcast: Looking to 2021 and Beyond, December 2020
Join Eoin Murray, Head of Investment, and Neil Williams, Senior Economic Adviser, for a lively discussion as they look to 2021 and beyond.
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White papersOutlook 2021: Private assets
Private assets continue to attract capital as investors seek better returns. We think private markets can continue to deliver, but will increasingly rely on hard-to-access areas and specialist skills.
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White papersGlobal Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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White papersPortfolio allocation in times of uncertainty
The temptation to react to every headline, every market move is often irresistible. Never more so than in an environment that screams uncertainty. But experience shows that successful investors have learned to stick to their strategies, regardless of bright, shiny objects that threaten to distract.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - December 2020
United States: after a record contraction in Q2, and an extraordinary rebound in Q3, we expect a significant deceleration in Q4, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases and given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioral indicators. Next year’s growth outlook remains supported by the supportive mix of monetary and fiscal policy.
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White papersMarkets on a tightrope
Violent equity market rotations present a strong case for balance in portfolios, but an unusually complex knot of factors makes it challenging to achieve.
