All Asset allocation articles – Page 22
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White papersAsset Allocation Update - July 2019
After sharp drawdowns towards the end of 2018 stock markets are re-approaching their all-time highs. This is despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Gulf, the risks of a disorderly Brexit, softening economic data, and professional company analysts cutting their profit forecasts for stocks in every major market. All this, along with simmering trade tensions between the United States and almost every other country in the world.
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White papersRisk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - July 2019
Risk Factors
The table within the article presents risk factors with judgmental probabilities (i.e. not market based). It also develops the possible market impacts. -
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July 2019
CIO Views: Central Banks Fuel markets: Illusion vs Reality This Month’s Topic: Italy: A Long and Winding Road
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - July 2019
The journey from market complacency to awareness of fragilities is in full swing, and the market correction in May is part of that, as is the recent recovery fuelled by dovish Central Banks (CB). Aware investors should recognise that the late cycle phase and mature market trends require improving fundamentals and positive political events to deliver sustainable uptrends in risk assets.
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White papersThree Themes For European Equities To Be Back In Focus
Volatility is here to stay. Markets are hostages of very volatile news flow. Trade-related anxiety is driving the swing (pessimism of a broken deal between China and US led to a correction in May while the renewed hope of a partial deal brought equity markets back to yearly highs in June).
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - June 2019
After weeks of relative stability, the threat of a trade war has returned, shaking investor confidence and awakening markets from complacency. However, while there is still a significant optimism in the market that a deal can be struck, we believe that the risk of disappointment leading to another wave of volatility remains significant.
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Asset Manager NewsAsset Allocation Update - MAY 2019
Cash flows and discount rates have moved in opposite directions over the past six months, and discount rate moves have triumphed. Take the year so far. Equity cash flows, proxied by earnings growth expectations1, have weakened across each major equity bloc or region, shifting horizontally to the left in Figure 1. Yet stock market returns have risen – moving up vertically – apparently shrugging off the weaker cash flow picture.
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White papersResponsible Investment Quarterly Q4 2018
Cloud computing, machine learning and the potential of the, as yet, relatively untapped field of data science have been rapidly rising up the agenda of the investment world. In an industry that is undergoing seismic changes, the capabilities, reach and efficiencies that data science innovation offers have potential to play an important role
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White papersTwo quarters of turbulence: what the pre-Christmas plunge and new year rebound say about markets
World equity indices plunged during Q4 last year before staging a powerful recovery, regaining virtually all the ground they had lost. This extraordinary turn of events may look irrational, but it tells a coherent story about the fragility of investor confidence as we navigate the end of this economic cycle and approach the US elections in 2020
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White papersThreadneedle (Lux) European Social Bond Fund - Annual Social Impact Report
The Fund, the first of its kind in Europe, aims to deliver both a financial and a social return by investing in corporate bonds across Europe. It has a clear focus on supporting positive outcomes for individuals, communities or society as a whole.
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White papersSink or swim: buoy portfolio returns with illiquid assets
With public equity markets trading close to all-time highs and low yields available from bonds, interest in private assets like infrastructure and private equity has risen.
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White papersAdopting An LDI Approach Throughout The Investment Value Chain
The insurance business model is fundamentally based on underwriting and managing risks: insurance companies are contractually bound to meet specific obligations and as such structurally driven by liabilities.
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White papersEuropean Equities: What Impacts In The Event Of A Tariff War With The United States?
While the threat of a large-scale Sino-US tariff war appears to be receding, the US could now switch its focus to its trade deficits with the European Union. With this in mind, we wanted to find out which European equities, in terms of country, sector or individual companies, would be hardest hit by a trade conflict.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2019
Equity markets have remained buoyant in recent weeks: the S&P 500 is trending towards an all-time high, the European equity market (STOXX 600) is close to last year’s peak and the performances of emerging markets have also been very strong.
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White papersGlobal Asset Class Spotlights - Top Down Quarterly Assessment
Growth, monetary policies and geopolitics remain the key drivers of market returns and investment decisions, with their relative influence changing over time. The YTD revival of risk assets has translated into rosier expectations on growth. We remain cautious; we confirm the late cycle environment with extra dovish central banks and growth stabilisation ahead, as our economists are predicting. However, we also look towards the reporting season to confirm the solidity of corporates’ fundamentals and we expect a rerating in the face of European elections.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - May 2019
Equity markets have remained buoyant in recent weeks: the S&P 500 is trending towards an all-time high, the European equity market (STOXX 600) is close to last year’s peak and the performances of emerging markets have also been very strong.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value Q1 2019
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
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White papersOptimal Allocation in the S&P 600 under Size-Driven Illiquidity
A number of empirical studies have investigated how mutual funds do react to incoming financial resources. As long as liquidity constraints are narrow, fund managers tend to upscale already existing positions without looking for new investment opportunities.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side
Risky assets have been in a very strong uptrend since the beginning of the year. The key question now is, where do we go from here? There are two main driving forces to focus on in the current context.
