All Asset allocation articles – Page 26
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White papersAsset classes views: Detecting Tipping Points
The report highlights the causal relationships between macro-economic factors and long term trends in asset prices, incorporating the latest discussions and analysis and drawing on insights from Amundi’s industry experts. We confirm our central scenario of subdued growth and inflation on a global scale, albeit leading to even lower returns due to complications from late-cycle investing. Recovery is likely as rates and profits normalise while central bank authorities stock up on the ammunitions needed to face further cyclical downturns.
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White papersTop Risk Map - February 2020
At the start of the 2020s, markets continued to be dominated by geopolitical issues, with short-lived Iran tensions at the forefront initially, followed by the news regarding a phase one trade deal between the US and China. Now, growth expectations are becoming the main driver of the market. That’s why the recent volatility due to the news about the spreading of the corona virus in China is higher than in the case of US-Iran tensions, as the epidemic could harm China (and global growth) if not contained soon (not our base case at the moment).
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White papersInvestment Phazer Update: downward trend is confirmed
While in the short term we do expect some temporary relief coming from positive economic surprises and supportive news on the trade front (should coronavirus impact be limited), on a medium-term horizon our economic scenario confirms the fragility of the profit cycle.
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White papersRisks Rebalanced - Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q 2020
On Tuesday, January 14, Erik Knutzen, CIO of Multi-Asset Class, Gorky Urquieta, Co-Head of Emerging Markets Debt, and Conrad Saldanha, Senior Portfolio Manager, Emerging Markets Equity, discussed the AAC’s latest views on navigating the current market environment.
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White papersFive Multi-Asset Strategies for 2020’s Challenges
The last decade produced great performance across most asset classes. But in the 2020s, we expect investment market returns will be lower and risk harder to manage. Looking forward, a disciplined multi-asset approach will be especially valuable to identify opportunities and help mitigate setbacks.
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White papersThe Solvency Sharpe Ratio: Strategic Asset Allocation for Insurers
New approaches to Strategic Asset Allocation for increasingly complex insurance balance sheets.
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White papersTime For A Flight To Cyclical Value In European Equity
When we look fundamentally at the risks and rewards in equity markets for 2020, we find that value o ffers better opportunities than growth as implied expectations are lower and therefore more attractive for value at this point. The performance of value vs growth has been on a downward trend for a long time, almost 13 years. In our view, the rotation towards value that started in September 2019 is likely to continue in 2020.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2020
As we approach the year-end, a look back over the past 12 months reminds us how unconventional this year of records has been. On the upside, equities rallied to historical highs in December and fixed income returns were also strong as bond yields fell. The combination of these trends enabled a traditional 50 bond/50 equity balanced portfolio for European to investors generate 15.5%1, the best annual performance in the last two decades.
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White papersOutlook 2020: The Beauty of Symmetry
− Global growth is finding its feet, but a powerful upswing is not around the corner: risks such a Hard Brexit (still!) and the US elections are impediments to a meaningful capex recovery.
− 2019 was in many ways similar to 2016; but 2020 will not be a repeat of 2017. We expect equity gains to continue, but in a far more muted fashion.
− Central banks engineered a stunning risk rally in 2019; they will be less active in 2020. But nascent efforts to make inflation targets more symmetrical will remain a risk-friendly force. -
White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2019
In recent weeks equities rallied along with bond yields as investors reacted to the prospect of a US-China ‘phase one deal’ and fading global recession fears. The value of negative yielding bonds continued to fall, from US$17 trillion over the summer to the current US$12.5 trillion. While equities were previously overshadowed by the excessive gloominess on the global economy and earnings, markets rebounded after corporate results in the US and Europe met or exceeded low expectations, and as economic data did not show any material worsening. The mantra now seems to be ‘not so bad is the new good’.
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White papersQuantitative Easing: The End Of The Road For Pension Investors?
Has central banks’ Quantitative Easing (QE) been a blessing or a curse for investors?
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White papersHarnessing the illiquidity premium
There is a general consensus that an illiquidity premium exists and the benefits of investing in illiquid credit are well understood. Yet illiquidity constraints create risks and restrict the ability of investors to react quickly to market movements. In order to harness the illiquidity premium while remaining mindful of the inherent risks, investors need to challenge assumptions about current liquidity conditions and maintain flexibility and an open mind.
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White papersCase for GDI – A Diversified Approach to Risk-Adjusted Income
Seeking to maximize income per-unit of risk with a dynamic, multi-asset multi-manager solution. The theme of late-cycle volatility, spurred by geopolitical tensions and slowing global growth, has been well documented. Low global interest rates continue to present challenges to meet income needs and control risk.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2019
CIO Views - Limb for markets will not last forever
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White papersTargeting positive returns in an uncertain climate
A decade after the global financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in continue to starve Europe’s investors of returns
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White papersPartners Group: gaining from long-term tailwinds
Private markets, including equity and debt, infrastructure and real estate, stand out as a high-margin part of the asset management sector that is still expanding, with returns higher than those delivered by public markets.
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White papersPositioning Across Asset Classes as Global Risks Mount
As global economic growth enters a period of likely protracted weakness, investors should revisit their exposures. From a multi-asset perspective, focus on surprisingly resilient high-yield credit and higher quality equities, while reducing exposure to parts of the market that are most vulnerable to trade tensions.
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White papersBuilding Your DGF for the Journey Ahead
Too many Diversified Growth Funds (DGFs) have left UK investors disappointed with performance. In this paper, we show how a DGF can be designed with clear objectives, constructed using guidelines that are genuinely outcome-oriented, and then managed to achieve its objectives.
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White papersBeneath the Surface
This quarter, Neuberger Berman’s Asset Allocation Committee Outlook focuses on how surfaces can hide complexity and opportunity. As the S&P 500 Index breaks new records even as U.S. Treasury yields fall in anticipation of rate cuts, we believe it is time to be more cautious in overall stock and bond allocations.
