All Asset allocation articles – Page 24
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A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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Fixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture
Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.
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Finding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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It’s all eyes on trade for 2019
There has been a significant de-rating of equities over what has been a disappointing 2018.
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Redefining the cycle – 2019 CIO outlook
We have already had the longest bull market in history and a very long upswing, so this cycle is clearly nearing its end, but we do not believe the end is imminent – rather the cycle is being extended and redefined by a combination of structural factors leading to low interest rates, low inflation and ongoing moderate growth.
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Market Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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Global Perspectives: 2019 Outlook
The new year brings new challenges and new opportunities for investors. The investment professionals of Principal Global Investors look at the regional macroeconomic outlooks and examine the major asset classes.
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Strategic Relative Value: Q4 2018
The investment climate is becoming more challenging as previous easy monetary conditions are being reversed. Risk/return expectations need to be re-evaluated, but investment opportunities still exist around the world.
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US mid-term elections – an investor’s view
A Q&A with the Head of US Equities, EMEA, which discusses the significance of the forthcoming US mid-terms, Nadia’s outlook for the US economy and market, and how our portfolios are positioned in light of this.
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Disruptive technologies challenge traditional infrastructure approach
Traditional infrastructure investments are being challenged by the pace of innovation, and technology and disruption will likely create opportunities across all core infrastructure asset types. So a highly flexible approach is required to respond to this.
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Q&A – the credit cycle and interest rates
The Head of Investment Grade Credit, EMEA, gives his thoughts on where we are in the credit cycle, what will happen to interest rates, and his expectations for the future and how President Trump might influence this.
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Competitive advantage takes centre stage
Technology firms previously enjoyed three to five years of competitive advantage, but today’s sector is a different beast.
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Shopping for high-quality industrial property
After a year of strong returns, industrial property is in vogue with investors.
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US smaller companies may shine as rates rise
Historically, when Treasury yields rise US smaller companies tend to outperform their large company counterparts – and we could just be entering such a period.
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Divided we stand...?
US yields finished marginally lower after being on the higher side for much of the week.
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Asset Allocation Update: The three tensions grabbing investor attention
Much of October was a brutal month for financial assets.
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3 views on coping with market volatility
With swift and sudden market volatility, investors are looking for context and insight. Our economists and portfolio managers react to recent turbulence, giving you thoughts on how to understand and react to market moves.
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Social momentum: How the bond market has an eye on the future
Just over a decade ago, in 2007, the iPhone made its debut, Tesla unveiled its first electric car, and the England football team returned home to the new Wembley stadium.
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In Credit: The sun shines on Brazil?
Core US bond yields drifted higher again last week with volatility in Europe centred upon the Italian bond market once again.
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Expect a rise in volatility from a ‘no-deal’ Brexit
Amid growing speculation that the UK could be heading towards a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, market watchers agree that this would be disruptive for UK markets. But the impact on European markets is likely to be more varied.