All Asset allocation articles – Page 29
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White papers
Is it too quiet as we head into 2018?
As we look forward to 2018, there’s an illusion of calm in financial markets. But this doesn’t mean that nothing is going on. In fact, opposing forces are simply cancelling each other out.
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Synchronised upswing in global growth drives positive equities outlook
The global economy, with the exception of the UK, is going through a period of rare synchronised expansion. Corporate profits are rising, trade is expanding, and growth is robust in the US, Europe and beyond. Asia is benefiting from this global phenomenon and a continued uplift in China.
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Fixed income playbook 2018: less risk, more diversification
On the heels of two good years in the bond market, the best days for fixed income are likely behind us. 2016 produced strong returns in most sectors, especially high yield corporate bonds, which generated double digit gains.
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Europe: economic optimism and fewer wins for the populists
As 2018 starts, the scene is set for a positive year for equities. Across Europe, there are clear indicators of continuing economic growth after a very strong 2017.
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Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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Asia’s new era of sustainable growth
The huge Chinese economy is experiencing a ‘second awakening’ under President Xi Jinping, with a strong agenda for supply-side reforms and an emphasis on sustainable macroeconomic growth.
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Global equities: quality will out
Following a good year globally for the high-quality stocks that we favour, valuations in certain parts of the market have started to look stretched.
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Commodities hitch a ride on global growth
Highly favourable tailwinds give us confidence that commodity prices will push significantly higher in 2018.
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The UK’s demise is overstated
UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.
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Japan: three reasons for a positive outlook
In recent weeks we further raised our allocations to Japanese stocks, with near-term catalysts.
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Real assets: what contribution to asset allocation, especially in times of crisis?
Sacrificing some portfolio liquidity can be profitable. Ultra-low bond rates, equities that are highly volatile and thus sometimes seen as too expensive, the search for yield and the search to capture a liquidity premium are all pushing institutional investors toward the unlisted or «real asset» universe.
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Floaters in Alternative Credit will help keep portfolios buoyant
The future is looking less certain for investors, also in fixed income. After a bull run lasting more than three decades, the prospect of western economies winding down quantitative easing and normalising their monetary policies creates the prospect of a more challenging, rising rate environment.
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US proposed tax cuts in its impacts on Corporate profits
The US president has just announced its eagerly awaited tax reform. Since American stocks have become very expensive, we have focused on what could impact the earnings of listed companies.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy: November 2017
After a less than thrilling summer, since September, equity markets have been relatively immune to news flow on the geopolitical front, despite North Korea’s nuclear threats and the crisis regarding Catalonia, which remains broadly unresolved.
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Global Investment Views: November 2017
After a less than thrilling summer, since September, equity markets have been relatively immune to news flow on the geopolitical front, despite North Korea’s nuclear threats and the crisis regarding Catalonia, which remains broadly unresolved. We see two main reasons for the uptick in equity market performance:
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White papers
Why multi-asset strategies suit a changeable world
For the past 35 years, a ‘set and forget’ strategic asset allocation has worked well. A typical 60:40 asset mix of equities and bonds had around the same volatility as a pure 100% bond portfolio, but with a better return. It is not likely to be as fruitful moving forward.
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China’s state-managed overseas expansion
China’s clampdown on overseas acquisitions this year, accompanied by the detention of some high-profile corporate bosses, seemed to confirm the worst about the risks faced by private conglomerates and billionaire tycoons.
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Bond Connect opens access to China’s debt markets
Bond Connect is the latest manifestation of China’s gradual opening up of its capital markets to international investors. The pilot scheme, launched by China and Hong Kong in July, gives foreign institutional fund managers a new route to China’s RMB69 trillion ($10 trillion) interbank bond market (CIBM).
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Australia cautious on dividends
A generation of Australians has enjoyed a record 26 years without experiencing a recession. The country has withstood global financial crises, endured volatile commodity prices and export revenues, and shrugged off warnings of housing bubbles and declining domestic savings.
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Asia tech: boom, bubble or bust?
Technology has been the best-performing stock market sector throughout the world this year, accounting for around half of US and emerging market Asia equity returns so far. The spectacular rise has aroused scepticism about its sustainability at the same time as other investors remain convinced about the prospects for further growth and higher earnings.