All Risk Management articles
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White papersFrom geopolitical shocks to structural repricing
Geopolitical disruption is no longer episodic, the authors argue. As energy security, supply-chain resilience and reserve diversification reshape capital flows, investors face the challenge of identifying markets still pricing in stability.
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White papersFrontier Bonds: An enterprise worth exploring
Their high yields attract attention, but the diversification potential of frontier bonds deserves equal billing. Under-researched economies, domestic investor bases and reform momentum create opportunities for investors prepared to look beyond familiar markets, explains Witold Bahrke, Senior Macro and Allocation Strategist at Global Evolution.
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White papersWill markets remain resilient with yields above 5%?
Ten-year Treasury yields moved above 5% on 15 September, just ahead of the Fed hike, and have stayed there, reaching 5.3% on 5 October. That is the highest level in almost 25 years. Yet equity markets have remained resilient, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq setting new highs. So, the key question is not just where yields go next, but what is driving them and how they will impact markets.
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White papersLights and shadows from the IMF
In the US, AI is likely to have a sequential impact on inflation. Strong demand will push inflation higher first, while productivity gains should become more disinflationary over time. Together with geopolitical and energy pressures, this is likely to keep inflation above central bank target.
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White papersLDI Fixed Income Outlook: Where are the new safe havens?
Despite the bond market sell-off, there is no reason for hasty decision-making, says Sebastiano Chiodino, Head of Liability-Driven Investing (LDI) Fixed Income at Generali Asset Management S.p.A.,* as strong corporate fundamentals and interest-rate volatility continue to create opportunities for long-term, active investors.
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White papersStrategy Outlook: Unified Global Alternatives - Hedge Funds Fourth Quarter 2026
As we enter Q4, AI continues to drive economic growth, market leadership and political debate. While productivity gains from AI are widely anticipated, their scale and timing remain difficult to quantify. The near-term impact on labor appears broadly positive for now, with skilled engineers and IT developers in high demand as companies build infrastructure and integrate AI into their operations.
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White papersMeasuring risk in the private credit markets
The direct lending market has experienced significant growth and has become an important part of institutional investors’ portfolios, offering potentially attractive risk-adjusted returns with higher current income than most fixed income alternatives. For middle market direct lenders (“MMDLs”) such as Principal Alternative Credit (“PAC”), the ability to properly analyze the underlying risk profile of a borrower and protect against principal loss is the primary determinant of future returns.
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White papersThe market is the economy: Reflexivity and the monoculture of markets
The market has effectively become the economy it once merely served. Barry Gill argues that a supposedly diversified portfolio may now simply be a single leveraged AI bet.
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White papersRethinking Trend Investing: Alternative Signals, Not Alternative Markets
Inflation, geopolitical fragmentation and concentrated, AI-driven markets have put a premium on investors’ ability to navigate directional moves across asset classes. We think systematic trend-following strategies can help chart a course. But how they’re designed matters.
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VideoDeep dive on CLO equity investing
Alyssa Irving, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, discusses the CLO equity asset class, highlighting its diversification potential, risk-return dynamics, and the crucial role of managers.
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White papersLong-term yields at high levels
Government bond yields across major developed economies have risen to levels not seen in years. The move has been accompanied by increased volatility, as markets have become more sensitive to macroeconomic data and policy expectations. US 10-year yields reached their highest level since 2002 before easing, as oil prices fell and following a well-received bond auction.
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VideoThe constructive case for active management
What if the investing approaches that defined the last decade are less suited to the next?
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PodcastReading Between the (Credit) Lines: What it Takes to Succeed in Credit Research
Stephanie Foster, Senior Credit Research Analyst, discusses the importance of a consistent analytical process in credit research, the role of intuition and judgement, and the evolving nature of the finance industy. She emphasizes the need for networking, adaptability, and promoting the industry to younger generations.
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White papersWhat Higher Interest Rates Are Telling Insurance Investors
For insurance investors, bond yields play a defining role in long-term planning, with the effects of their levels and movements rippling across balance sheets. Liabilities may move inversely to asset values, and today’s investment decisions have implications far into the future. That makes bond yields critical variables for prudent insurance investors. There are also insights in the “why” behind higher rates.
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White papersWhy Private Markets Have a Role in Portfolios
Investors continue to raise their private markets allocations, and the evidence suggests good reasons for doing so. Headlines have focused on slower exits and on private equity trailing the largest public indices, yet a closer look at the data points to a more constructive picture.
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White papersInvesting, reimagined: Rethinking the building blocks of a portfolio
At UBS’s Unified Global Alternatives (UGA), we cater to growing client demand for multi-alternative solutions. So what are these solutions, and why are they becoming increasingly prominent in client portfolios?
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White papersInvesting, reimagined
At UBS’s Unified Global Alternatives (UGA), we cater to growing client demand for multi-alternative solutions. So what are these solutions, and why are they becoming increasingly prominent in client portfolios?
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White papersWhere Conviction Meets Selection: Finding Value in a Market of Diverging Real Estate Outcomes
A perspective on why investment selection, not broad sector exposure, may define the next phase of alternative real estate investing.
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White papersAsset Allocation Outlook 4Q 2026: Repricing Risk, Recalibrating Exposure
The Asset Allocation Committee enters the fourth quarter moving to a more cautious near-term stance while maintaining a broadly constructive posture on risk assets. Higher long-end rates and the beginning of a modest rate hike cycle prompts risk adjustment at the margins.
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White papersKey Takeaways from Climate Week 2026
Climate Week NYC convenes leaders across business and government who are shaping capital, policy and markets. This year’s event, presented in coordination with the UN General Assembly, saw a range of experts addressing the shift from ambition to implementation…
