All Risk Management articles
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2025
With inflation continuing to improve, the downward path of central bank rates remains on track, if uneven geographically given U.S. economic strength. Now, amid political turbulence, attention is shifting toward fiscal issues— spending and tax policy—that could affect issuance patterns and yields, particularly at the longer end of the curve. We are constructive on fixed income for 2025, seeing potential in shorter durations and in optimizing carry amid narrow credit spreads. At the same time, the unpredictability of political cycles could make for an eventful year that requires vigilance in guarding against risk.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: First Quarter 2025
We expect all major economies to continue to expand, with the US out front again, as well as positive momentum for business investment. The question for investors will be to what degree US outperformance will extend to the financial markets. Global headwinds are likely, especially in the trade channel in light of proposed tariffs and immigration policies, but our outlook remains generally positive.
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White papersGlobal Risks 2025: Turning Points?
As the dust from the U.S. election settles, the new year brings new challenges. Tariffs are likely to be the dominant theme early in 2025. Our base case is for the incoming Trump administration to impose substantial — albeit not universal — tariffs on most countries.
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White papersThe Opportunities Across Private Equity’s Current Liquidity Landscape
There are attractive opportunities for experienced liquidity providers in the current private equity market environment.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2024
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersEuropean Securitisations: Risk and Opportunities for Pension Funds
European Securitisations have recently attracted attention, with 2024 to date seeing record volumes of issuance since the Great Financial Crisis. European regulators have also shown strong support through several recent reports (from Noyer, Letta and Draghi), which have led to a public consultation from the European Commission. We review the opportunities and the associated risk of European securitisations for pension funds.
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White papersOutlook 2025-2026: Trump-starting the global economy
2025 may be characterised by divergence across the world’s main economic regions, around three dimensions: underlying growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy
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White papersThe CIO view: Shifts in the balance of risk and return
US President-elect Donald Trump’s radical policy agenda has created some financial market uncertainty, in terms of the outlook for investment returns. Nevertheless, we believe the central macroeconomic outlook remains favourable for bonds and equities. Growth, stable inflation and lower interest rates should support markets. But investment decisions need to consider cashflow resilience and valuations, given policy risks and broader concerns. For now, we don’t expect a recession in 2025 which should help deliver positive equity returns, while credit markets should provide attractive income opportunities.
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White papersThe Risk-Reward Pick’n’Mix for Investors
Matt Hansford spoke to Private Equity Wire about the $200bn opportunity in portfolio finance, how it can serve as a strategic buffer against volatility and how as an asset class with large transactions, it enables investors to deploy at scale.
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White papersAn agile approach to credit – amid volatility and uncertainty
As we look ahead to 2025, the forces that drive global credit are rife with mixed signals and extreme valuations. As evidenced over the last year, an unconstrained approach to credit investing can utilise a tactical approach, which has the potential to generate alpha amid dynamic market conditions.
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White papers2025 Macro Outlook: Slower growth amid geopolitical uncertainty, but opportunities remain
Headwinds are blowing but conditions are supportive, so we see both risks and opportunities in 2025.
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White papersElection Economics
A resounding victory sweeps President (and President-Elect) Trump back to the White House. The substantial-for-modern-times majority in the Senate along with the popular vote means that the second Trump administration has more of a mandate than the first one.
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White papersToo risky to cover?
As extreme weather events increase in frequency and severity, insurance losses continue to mount. Some areas exposed to the worst climate risks are now seen as too risky to cover. Michael Yamoah, Navishka Pandit and Judi Tseng assess the implications.
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VideoDecades in the making: MDT Advisers
While the name might not be familiar, our ‘MDT’ franchise has a legacy spanning over 30 years. In this series of videos, Scott Conlon, Investment Director, Federated Hermes MDT Advisers, takes it back to basics: who is MDT and what makes this approach to quant investing stand out from the crowd?
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White papersAn Investor’s Election Survival Guide
Brace for this week’s uncertainties rather than trying to trade them, and stay focused on the better-known headwinds and tailwinds in the longer-term outlook.
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White papersPublic Engagement Report Q3 2024
The Q3 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes Limited looks at how insurers are wrestling with physical climate risk as losses from hurricanes, flooding and wildfires mount. Plus, how we engage with companies on water management, the evolving stewardship landscape, and voting trends from Asia and emerging markets.
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White papersThe Challenging Sustainable Investing Landscape
The incorporation of sustainability factors in investment decisions has become increasingly common in the portfolios of institutional investors over the past decade. This has been primarily driven by investors who may be focused on risk management, responding to new regulations, making investments that align with their values, or seeking to enhance long-term performance.
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White papersHuman capital: the unsung hero of the company valuation equation
Assessing the value of a company can be challenging. Typically, investors start by looking at its financial standing and records that reflect tangible investments, such as machinery purchases and building maintenance costs, to understand the company’s revenue, debt obligations and other expenses.
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White papersEM Debt: Time to Load Up?
A number of factors have converged to create a potentially compelling opportunity in EM debt. And with prices at attractive levels relative to history, now may be a good time to consider an allocation to the asset class.
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White papersPart II: Resilient Investing Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty
In an increasingly uncertain environment, PGIM surveyed investors across the US, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Middle East to uncover how geopolitical risks are changing the way institutions are constructing their portfolios and approaching risk management. The results shed light on the risks that investors fear most, as well as the actions they are taking to either mitigate the potential fallout or capitalize on opportunities that emerge.
