Latest Manager Research – Page 315
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White papersSpecial bulletin #6: Economic and real estate outlook in the context of COVID-19
As of mid-April, the extent of the full devastation being wreaked by the COVID-19 pandemic across the global economy is becoming evident. The global economy is expected to see the greatest contraction in growth since the Great Depression with the IMF indicating that cumulative loss in global GDP this year and next could be approximately 6.1% for developed economies or about $9 trillion –an amount larger than the economies of Japan and Germany combined. Even factoring in the IMF’s forecast for a sharp rebound in 2021, the world economy will still be 5% off pre-pandemic levels, indicating the depth of this recession.
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White papersLife beyond lockdown: how the coronavirus will accelerate existing global trends
As we navigate the ever-changing landscape of the coronavirus, the world is changing. Will the shifts in our way of life being introduced as part of the fight against the virus accelerate industry trends that were already underway?
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White papersCoronavirus Crisis: Impacts And Implications For Emerging Markets
After the first wave of the Covid-19 outbreak in China and East Asia, and the second wave in Western Europe and North America, a third wave now looks to be building in several EM and frontier countries. EM and frontier countries may be able to benefit from the experiences and best practices then put in place in countries affected by the pandemic earlier.
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White papersWhy farmland now? Amidst unprecedented market volatility, a durable and consistent investment with compelling upside
Considered a safe haven investment, farmland has proven to be a reliable store of value through times of economic tumult – exhibiting durable valuations and attractive levels of income, both of which are uncorrelated to competing assets.
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White papersFixed Income Market Update: A Lower Volatility Environment
Ashok Bhatia, Neuberger Berman Deputy Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income, discusses the decline of fixed income market volatility in April and provides an update on where his team is finding value across the fixed income markets.
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White papersReimagining Handshakes For The Global Recovery
Crisis data is almost always lagging, so investors should focus on the psychology of getting back to normal.
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White papersThe End of Smith
I am sure everybody has noticed the extraordinary phenomenon of the last few weeks, where the stock markets have put in a record performance (the S&P recorded its best ever week in both absolute and percentage terms last week) whilst the IMF, Central Banks and Governments warn of the most severe economic downturn in several generations. In fact, in terms of short-term damage to the global economy, apparently this downturn is akin to the economic tsunami that was caused when the somewhat ludicrous tulip bulb bubble (there really was one of those) burst in February 1637. So, this is not a once in a lifetime or even once in a century event, but more once in a half millennial economic event.
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White papersCOVID-19 to test the resilience of long income
Real estate long income strategies are known for their defensive qualities. Tim Perry explores how the impact of COVID-19 on the asset class will vary across businesses and sectors.
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White papersResearch Blast: COVID-19 European Office Markets Series, Edition 1 – April
Within a matter of weeks, COVID-19 has caused an unprecedented level of disruption to all asset classes. Office real estate markets are by no means immune to this, but due to the illiquid nature of the asset class it will be several months, if not longer, before the true impact is fully reported through data.
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White papersYou’re Gonna Need a Bigger Stimulus
Worse-than-expected U.S. retail sales suggest a large drop in consumer spending, the IMF projects global growth will fall 3% in 2020, and people around the world are beginning to receive their stimulus checks—and it’s already not enough.
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White papersA Traders’ View on How Fixed Income Markets are Operating
Dr. Christopher Smart hosts a conversation with Barings’ senior traders, Steve DiVittorio and Rishi Kapur on the mechanics of how fixed income markets are functioning in the current crisis, how that compares to past periods of extreme volatility, and what opportunities may result.
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White papersStewardship during and after the pandemic
Stakeholders and a social licence to operate are fundamental to long-term value creation
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White papersCoronavirus – Weekly update – 15/04/2020
As of 14 April, worldwide COVID-19 cases were closing in on 2 million, while deaths now exceed 121 000. In terms of the broad trends at the regional level, we highlight a few key takeaways:
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White papersEuropean Private Equity Insights
Joana Rocha Scaff, Head of Europe Private Equity, delves into how European private equity firms are dealing with the crisis, best practices for investor communications and the importance of understanding the long and short term impact of the crisis.
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White papersPlotting the path to recovery: V, L or Nike swoosh?
When the coronavirus pandemic eventually recedes, what will a recovery in equities look like? Here we consider three potential outcomes and how our Asia ex-Japan portfolio is positioned to weather the outbreak.
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White papersThe First (And Worst!) Quarter Is Over. 9 Steps To Take Now
Practical investment wisdom in these turbulent times from Multi-Asset Solutions.
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White papersHouse View, Q2 2020: Everything has changed
The intelligence that guides our investment decisions. No-one can predict the future perfectly. But our House View represents the best collective judgement of Aviva Investors on the current and future investment environment.
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White papersLooking Through the Pandemic
Confusion, uncertainty and snap responses to the coronavirus have created an environment that leads to more questions than answers. Because some previous tendencies will likely speed up while others slow down, here are three trends investors should watch in the months ahead.
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White papersInfrastructure debt’s resilience is in its DNA
Infrastructure debt has been more stable than corporate debt over the past 35 years, but faces a stern test as coronavirus rocks markets. We look at what lends it such stability.
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White papersCoronavirus: the views from our private assets experts
As investors assess the implications of coronavirus in stock and bond markets, we ask if private assets have lived up to expectations of more resilient valuations.
