Latest Manager Research – Page 24
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Treasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
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Bullish on bonds
”This cycle of rate hikes may be over, but we don’t anticipate seeing cuts until closer to midyear.”
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Red Sea disruptions: small impact so far, but a risk to watch
”The impact of Red Sea traffic suspensions is more regional than global, but duration will be the key factor to watch. At this stage, it is no game-changer for our outlook.”
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Outlook 2024-2026: Strong Fundamentals Offer Perspective
The real estate investment market has experienced a turbulent year with significantly negative returns. The contrast with the user market is considerable, given the high demand for quality and sustainable real estate.
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Listed REITs 2024 Outlook
After lagging equities the past two years, REITs offer an attractive investment opportunity in 2024.
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Is the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
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Rob Lovelace on what’s in store for 2024
As we embark on a new year, the challenges ahead are well defined. Interest rates are elevated. Elections are upcoming. And many stock indexes are near all-time highs. Are these events setting the stage for a disappointing pullback or another bull run?
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Infrastructure debt – Financing a sustainable future
Private capital can be vital in meeting net zero emissions goals. This includes infrastructure debt which can be an attractive way for investors to achieve their long-term return and income objectives and at the same time help finance the assets needed urgently to support the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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Residential real estate: An attractive entry point for a sector with long term potential
We think the long-term fundamentals of the sector are good and should drive rental growth. The sector is also developing in more countries, with new formats emerging.
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Will Artificial Intelligence increase economic growth?
Recent advances in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could lead to potentially disruptive changes across a wide range of industries and impact economic activity through multiple channels. AI is widely seen as significantly different from previous technological innovations. But will it significantly increase aggregate economic growth through its impact on labour markets and increases in productivity?
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Are central banks already taking a victory lap?
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income believes growth projections for the United States will continue to improve as a “soft landing” becomes the most likely outcome, while other economies may face harsher conditions. Fixed Income Views presents the team’s first-quarter 2024 outlook.
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It’s Time to Say Goodbye to ‘T-Bill and Chill’
Investors who wait too long to get off the sidelines may find they’ve missed out.
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Australian Real Asset Review Q1 2024
Dexus Research’s Australian Real Asset Review Q1 2024 describes the key trends in Australia’s main real asset markets including commercial real estate, healthcare and infrastructure.
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History lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
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The case for US small-cap stocks in 2024
Although US small-cap stocks joined the extraordinary rally in the final quarter of 2023, many small caps continue to trade at a significant discount to their larger-company counterparts. This creates an attractive entry point. So says Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities. In this interview, he explains why he sees the start of 2024 as a good time to allocate to US small caps.
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Fixed Income Perspectives Q1 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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The first key to unlocking value in the UK small cap space
Since late spring and early summer the net positioning of the Volantis strategy has quietly crept higher. The strategy has been increasingly positively positioned as the sands have begun to shift more favourably for UK listed smaller equities.
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Downs and Ups: Managing Equity Volatility Goes Both Ways
Defensive equity strategies that limit downside losses but lag too much in up-markets may be missing the mark. Is there another way to reduce volatility?
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2024 Global Public Real Estate Outlook Report
We believe REIT share prices are ready to take off in 2024 after patiently awaiting their turn on the runway for the better part of two years.
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Voluntary Carbon Markets: Is the nuance lost in the noise?
The integrity of some of the world’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) schemes is a hot-button issue. However, we believe it’s important to understand some of the differences in standards around the world – as well as the progress being made towards tightening them.