Latest Manager Research – Page 158
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White papersFixing Defined Contribution: A five-pronged approach
In this paper, we provide a flavour of what needs to change if defined contribution (DC) outcomes in the UK are to improve materially and sustainably and good outcomes are to become the norm. Spoiler alert: it isn’t just the one silver bullet that’ll fix DC.
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White papersUK Leadership Change: Economic and market implications
After the resignation of Boris Johnson as prime minister, what is your outlook regarding British political development?
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White papersRenminbi’s rise will not challenge dollar dominance
A sharp economic slowdown seems to be looming in both Europe and the US, which would make bond markets attractive again, especially in the US. Conversely, the Chinese economy is expected to reaccelerate. International monetary system set to become multipolar as geopolitical factors are likely to prevail.
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White papersThe emerging markets hurdles
While not envisaging any systemic risk propagating across emerging markets, the macro financial outlook remains challenging amid growth concerns, still-high inflation and tighter global financial conditions. The current geopolitical environment, with its impact on macro and financial conditions, is making an idiosyncratic crisis more likely.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - July/August 2022
We keep the probabilities of our central and alternative scenarios unchanged vs. last month. The new wave of Covid-19 and stagnation in the Eurozone are adding growth uncertainty over the short-term.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - July/August 2022
United States: signs of decelerating growth are increasing as high inflation bites into consumers’ disposable income and companies’ margins. While we do not see activity contracting in Q2, risks to our projections remain on the downside. We do expect the US economy to grow below potential between now and yearend and to remain on a similar sub-par growth trajectory into 2023, as tighter monetary policy impacts the most interestrate-sensitive sectors of the economy.
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White papersThe ECB’s ability to raise rates will depend on the strength of the antifragmentation tool
The ECB is determined to tighten its monetary policy in the face of record high inflation levels. However, it is addressing that risk by cooling inflation down or pushing the economy into recession or triggering a spike in peripheral debt borrowing costs, as in 2012.
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White papersCybersecurity: a neglected investment risk in an increasingly digitalised world
As the world continues to move rapidly through its digital transformation, investors must keep up with the trends and risks that can follow. Cybersecurity threats abound, and they should be playing a bigger role in portfolio managers’ risk assessments. We explain why this is not yet the case, and then we outline LOIM’s approach to integrating cybersecurity analysis into the investment process.
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White papersReasons for Optimism
Caution may be warranted during the uncertainty of the next quarter—but after markets have sold off so much, does it really make sense to be more pessimistic now than at the start of this year?
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White papersEnergy Fuels European Inflation & Rate Fears
U.S. labor demand remains strong but has likely passed the peak imbalance with supply, while the Fed has reaffirmed its prioritization of inflation over growth. Elsewhere, talks of greater hikes by the ECB followed inflation surprises in Europe. All eyes are on U.S. CPI next week.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2022
The current repricing is a reminder of a regime shift in which stagflationary concerns are becoming prominent. Investors should move towards quality segments in credit and equities, and aim to benefit from the regional divergences that allow us to prefer US (over Europe) and now Chinese equities, but strong selection is important.
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White papersTowards Sustainability: LO Selection – NextGen BioTech earns the label
We are proud to announce that another LOIM strategy - NextGen BioTech - has achieved the esteemed Towards Sustainability label. This brings our total of labelled strategies to 10. This recognises the quality of the sustainability-focused analysis, exclusions and stewardship embedded in the LOIM products qualifying for the label.
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White papersThe U.S. Federal Reserve is about to Raise Rates: Keep Calm
With widespread inflation persisting in many western economies, the United States, United Kingdom and to a lesser degree, the Eurozone are moving up the curve of hawkish monetary policy. Emerging from the pandemic-induced lockdowns, the initial burst of inflation was largely driven by so-called base effects as prices were being compared to artificially low prices in 2020 due to the dramatic disruption of aggregate demand.
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White papersWhy private capital should fuel the accelerating energy transition
Investing in renewables is not just good for the planet, it offers long-duration assets with secure, inflation-linked income. But there are nuances.
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White papersInto the Inflationary Slowdown
As inflation persists and recession risks rise, our Asset Allocation Committee sees more yield potential in fixed income and favors commodities for ongoing inflation exposure, but remains cautious in equities.
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White papersESG Thema #10 - There is no place like Earth: How investors can address biodiversity loss
Biodiversity, or the term used to describe all living organisms and ecosystems of which they are part, is declining at an alarming rate with now 1 million (out of an estimated 8 million) plant and animal species being threatened with extinction.
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White papersInsurers’ buy and maintain portfolios and sustainable investment
This article aims to explore how the inclusion of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria became a critical part of the management of Buy & Maintain (B&M) portfolios for insurers and other long-term investors and why we consider that the addition of new climate-aware guidelines such as temperature or carbon intensity should be implemented in all B&M portfolios, when possible, subject to a sound engagement policy.
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White papersWhat comes after globalisation?
The end of the Cold War acted like a catalyst for the liberal international economic order and free world trade. Cash and commodities moved across the globe at will. Location patterns were reshuffled. Asian countries, especially China, beckoned with a seemingly inexhaustible supply of cheap labour. With their labour market largely unregulated, they became the world’s extended workbench.
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White papersThe road ahead for transportation infrastructure
Transport infrastructure experienced an unprecedented decline during the Covid-19 pandemic. As the world emerges from a series of lockdowns, traffic on toll roads returns more quickly than rail or air travel. Overall volume-sensitive transport continues to re-gain ground from the cyclical rebound. Investors seem to have turned the corner and see the impact on the sector as transitory rather than permanent. But what are the long-term structural trends behind the revival in investment deal flow and some of the biggest buyouts in transport infrastructure?
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White papersNatural capital preservation and loan investment: financing positive impact, supporting sustainability
Natural capital preservation can only be achieved through better use of water, waste and energy. Effective management of each of these areas is needed to preserve a world with biological diversity and a stable climate. They are the core pillars of the health and sustainability of our planet.
