All Italy articles
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White papersFocus on Italy: macroeconomic and fixed income scenario
If we wanted to characterise the contraction and recovery pattern, we would probably describe it as a ‘long U-shaped’ recovery; in other words, as a gradual normalisation which will take some time before seeing a return to pre-crisis levels. In Italy, the government is estimating an 8% GDP contraction this year, followed by a 4.7% YoY rebound in 2021. In our analysis, we consider two possible reference scenarios for 2020 growth: -8.0% YoY (as per the government scenario) and -12.0% YoY.
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Asset Manager News
Hines Completes Acquisition Of 150,000-Square-Meter “Ex Trotto” Area In Milan’s San Siro District
City of Milan to gain new spaces: a large green area open to the public featuring a residential offering with a significant share of affordable rentals
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Asset Manager News
The new gateway to CityLife
Air, light, greenery and open spaces: a project designed for people and the city
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White papers
Italian real estate market
The relation between Italian Government bond rates and the local real estate market.
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White papers
Italy is the eurozone economy most likely heading for a ‘lost decade’
As Japan found out the hard way, a healthy banking sector is key to restoring health to an economy. But Europe’s third biggest economy, with its vastly undercapitalised banks, looks destined to remain in the doldrums for some time
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White papers
Enel steps up: the world’s first SDG-linked bond
How an Italian energy company’s new bond marks a defining moment in the evolution of sustainable fixed-income markets.
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White papers
Italy: Few Ambitions From The New Budget Framework
On 30 September the newly formed Italian government released an update to April’s Economic and Finance Document, with new fiscal plans for the years 2019 to 2022 and changes to the underlying economic assumptions.
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White papers
Core Matters Investment Returns: A 5-year perspective
2019 has seen huge inflows into Fixed Income (FI) funds and outflows from Equities. From a medium-term return perspective this makes no sense. The formidable demand for safe assets reflects cyclical and structural forces (e.g. ageing). No matter the economic scenario, FI returns over the next five years ...
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White papers
Research Blast - Italian real estate market – October 2019
The relation between Italian government bond rates and the local real estate market
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White papers
View on Italy: beyond the short term
The end of the political crisis and next steps for the new government: The new pro-European government looks to be willing to move in a different direction vs the previous one, with an agenda focused on green and socially inclusive policies. It is difficult to project how long this new coalition will last, but it will certainly have to address the next budget law. We expect to see some expansionary measures (lower labour costs plus investment spending), but without putting public finances at risk. However, the available room for manoeuvre is narrow.
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White papers
Italian politics take centre stage
The Deputy PM Matteo Salvini recently withdrew his party’s support to the coalition government headed by PM Giuseppe Conte, calling for a vote of no-confidence against the PM and subsequent snap elections. On the 20th of August, after addressing the Senate, PM Conte resigned. President Sergio Mattarella will now weigh three options – consult political parties to form a new government (with the same forces of the current coalition or new ones), appoint a caretaker government or call for fresh elections.
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Asset Manager News
Barings Expands Italian Portfolio With Logistics Acquisition In Veneto Region
Barings, one of the world’s largest diversified real estate investment managers, announces the acquisition of a portfolio of six logistics assets comprising c. 95,000 square meters. This acquisition also includes the forward funding of two pre-let developments, in Veneto region, North East of Italy, on behalf of one of its managed accounts.
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White papers
Italy: A Long And Winding Road
Arm-wrestling within the Italian government and between Italy and Brussels to find a solution to the Italian budget and avoid the Excessive Deficit Procedure. After Italy’s exit from a technical recession in H2 2018, economic data are still pointing to weakness, and many risks loom in the second half of this year.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - July 2019
CIO Views: Central Banks Fuel markets: Illusion vs Reality This Month’s Topic: Italy: A Long and Winding Road
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Asset Manager News
Generali Real Estate completes the full refurbishment of ‘The Corner’ in Milan
Property of Fondo Mascagni and managed by Generali Real Estate SpA Società di gestione del risparmio (GRE SGR), the building was entirely redesigned and refurbished. It will host the headquarters of several primary companies such as Versace and FC Internazionale
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Asset Manager News
Vicolungo The Style Outlets strengthens its food and beverage offer with “ANTONINO, il Banco di Cannavacciuolo”
Vicolungo The Style Outlets, the outlet centre located in Italy close to Milan, has increased its food and beverage offering with the opening of “ANTONINO, il Banco di Cannavacciuolo”, a new smart gourmet space by acclaimed Italian chef Antonino Cannavacciuolo. The outlet centre is managed by NEINVER— a leading outlet operator in Europe and the largest in Spain and Poland and is owned by Neptune -a joint venture between NEINVER and Nuveen.
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White papers
European Debt Disputes Make An Unhappy Union
David Zahn, our European Fixed Income expert, considers how Italy’s debt may impact the state of the European Union and why we favor bonds from Italy and Spain.
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White papers
Italy: no short-term confrontation with the EU, but uncertainty in the mid-term.
In the new forecasts for the 2020 budget and beyond from the Italian government (from the latest economic blueprint, of 9 April: “The Stability and Growth Path, SGP”), its economic projections come much closer to consensus than previous ones, pointing to weaker GDP growth.
