All Global articles – Page 26
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White papers
‘Peak rates’ and opportunities for credit selection in 2024
After two years of declines, 2023 proved to be another tough year for bond investors. However, a powerful rebound towards year end helped the global bond index end the year in positive territory for the first time in three years. Below, Jim Leaviss, CIO Fixed Income at M&G Investments, shares his views on the prospects for bond markets in today’s ‘peak rates’ environment, while senior credit portfolio manager Richard Ryan looks at the opportunities presented by fundamental credit selection.
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White papers
COP28: So Near and Yet So Far
Though not enough to limit warming to 1.5°C, and weaker than some had hoped, the outcomes of the climate conference are better than many had feared.
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Schroders Capital Global Real Estate Lens December 2023: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
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Global Investment Views - January 2024
”While the year-end rally may offer some tactical opportunities, we keep a sightly cautious view on equities as markets are priced for a Goldilocks scenario.”
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: What stands out amongst the Santa Rally?
In our last Convictions podcast of the year, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, sat down last week to discuss whether any of the recent policy comments or economic data publications might have impacted our main calls for 2024.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papers
Global FinTech: trends to watch in 2024
Beating the broader market was challenging for many active strategies in 2023, including our Global FinTech theme. However, Global FinTech has had the highest absolute return among its relevant peer group since our inception in 2020. We attribute the longer-term outperformance to our strict adherence to seeking quality growth at a reasonable price. Thematic purity is also hugely important to us, meaning we do not invest in the ‘Magnificent 7’.
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White papers
Macro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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Key Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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2024 investment outlook: Selectivity remains the key
Views from the TIAA General Account: What are your expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates in 2024?
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 14 December 2023
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023
Following 3.1% growth in 2023, we expect global growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, well below the IMF’s expectations of 2.9% in 2024 and the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8%. The weaker performance of advanced economies is one of the main reasons for this divergence. Indeed, we expect them to decelerate from 1.5% this year to 0.7% in 2024, while the IMF forecasts advanced economy growth at 1.4% next year.
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White papers
Higher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited. However, refinancing needs will rise in 2024 Small and medium sized companies and lower rated HY issuers will be most impacted. The spillover from higher rates will be more limited for IG companies.
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Podcast
CIO perspectives on what lies ahead in 2024
M&G’s CIOs Jim Leaviss and Fabiana Fedeli share their perspectives for 2024, considering how to potentially drive returns through the uncertainty ahead, and highlighting the importance of being selective in a challenging economic environment.
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White papers
2024 Outlook: Global Real Estate
Against a hazy backdrop, our real estate debt and equity experts bring today’s biggest challenges into focus—while also weighing in on where opportunities are emerging across the U.S., Europe, and Australia.
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White papers
Can You Protect the Environment and Your Yield?
Reducing carbon intensity doesn’t mean sacrificing yields. Issue selection in high-emitting sectors can help insurers stay on track with their liabilities.
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White papers
ESG Thema – Special COP28: Main outcomes and implications for investors
A significant win for climate diplomacy on the back of strong technological tailwinds, daunting challenges ahead
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White papers
What does 2024 hold for markets?
It is time to look ahead to 2024. This year has been marked by expectations of recession in the developed world and of China re-opening to positive effect. Both have proved to be the wrong horses to bet on. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we analyse the likely shape of next year and evaluate which asset classes stand to benefit.
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White papers
Emerging Markets Outlook 2024 charts and views: Opportunities in a fragmented world
“Next year, EM growth is expected to decelerate on average to 3.6% from around 4% this year. Importantly, the growth premium in favour of Emerging Markets over Developed Markets is projected to continue widening.”
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White papers
2024 Investment Outlook and Asset Allocation
US stocks look set to trail European and Swiss equities in a year that will also see bonds gain in response to slower growth.