All Global articles – Page 23
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White papersTrump 2.0: Impact of tariffs on growth and inflation
The new Trump administration’s opening salvo in the trade war represents a significant shock to growth that could potentially plunge Mexico and Canada into a deep recession while exacerbating the malaise in China. If tariffs are implemented, U.S. growth would likely to be negatively impacted, and inflation could accelerate in the near-term. The greatest market risk likely lies in policy unpredictability, making diversification essential for managing portfolio risk and seizing investment opportunities.
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White papersNo Need to Stress About Less Distressed
Following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008, the distressed credit landscape has been substantially reshaped by regulatory changes, shifts in economic cycles and the growing influence of alternative investment strategies. This article explains why the economic and market trends of the past 15 years mean outright distress has become rarer and asks, are there other areas of the credit markets where insurers can look for a similar return profile?
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White papersTariffs Are Here: What Does That Mean for Private Equity?
We believe investments in private equity may be less affected by a tougher U.S. tariff regime than the overall economy.
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White papersHow AI and data modeling give real estate investment professionals a new superpower
In the spring of 2020, Las Vegas was a ghost town. With the COVID-19 pandemic in full swing, casinos and restaurants were shut down, sending the city’s unemployment rate soaring to the highest in the nation.
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White papersGlobal preferred and capital securities remain attractive
The Federal Reserve (Fed) should be cutting rates more in 2025, but most likely not before a pause to assess the policy footings of the returning Trump Administration.
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White papersScenarios, risks and macroeconomic forecasts
Main and alternative scenarios, and Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 January
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2025
Topic of the Month - What Trump 2.0 means for the economy and markets
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White papersMarket Update: Geopolitics, Rare Minerals, and the Polar Silk Road
Donald Trump is back as the President of the United States and has quickly implemented controversial policies that challenge the global order and traditional conventions. Among the many eye-catching headlines Trump has expressed desires to annex Greenland and the Panama Canal and has even suggested that Canada become the 51st American state.
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White papersThe opening salvo in Trump trade war two
Markets were recently rattled by three executive orders announcing tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China, marking an opening salvo of President Donald Trump’s trade war. With Europe likely next in line, uncertainty remains high—despite a 30-day delay on tariffs for Mexico and Canada—fueling further market volatility.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - February 2025
Markets: a tug of war between inflation fears and optimism
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White papersIG Credit – Be selective, even amid good fundamentals
While uncertainties remain, we retain our positive outlook, supported by resilient growth in the US, steady investor demand and a supportive monetary easing cycle in Europe. As for the fundamentals, the peak in investment-grade (IG) credit quality for this cycle is now behind us. Nonetheless, both US and European IG bond issuers are still generally in good shape: They now have bigger reserves of cash, lower net debt and better net margins.
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White papersGlobal Trends and Tactics: Real estate opportunities and risks in the current environment
Discover the latest quarterly real estate market trends in our quarterly research report. Dive deeper into regional market and sector conditions to find out the tactics we incorporate into our investment decisions.
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White papersNew sheriff in town
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s fiscal policies could be a Rorschach test for investors.
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White papersReport Impact Opportunities Equity, Q4 2024
In harnessing the power of nature, biosolutions offer sustainable ways to tackle the world’s most pressing environmental and societal issues – from restoring ecosystems, improving health, optimising land use, and advancing sustainable food systems for a healthier, more resilient planet.
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White papersFiscal expansion fears loom over debt markets
Ballooning public debt is forcing many countries to overhaul fiscal rules, which could have a significant impact on credit markets in the months ahead.
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White papersPoised for growth: 2025 Inside Real Estate Outlook
We feel that the long-awaited turning point has arrived for commercial real estate.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in EM, especially given continued disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to ease rates throughout the year. However, the incoming US administration poses several risks to EMs.
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White papersAnticipation to Reality: Credit Markets for European Insurers in 2025
Mapping a way through a year of tight credit spreads and likely regional divergence in policy and growth.
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White papersTechnology sector volatility: Investors spooked by China’s AI startup
Following a period of extraordinary growth the technology sector recently felt the brunt of market volatility on the back of a new, potentially game-changing innovation.
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White papersFixed Income: Be Prepared for Policy-Driven Volatility
In the wake of electoral shifts, policy changes could add to market turbulence, creating new risks but also opportunities.
