All Global articles – Page 136
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White papersWho Will Lead The World Economy?
When we talk about leadership, we also talk about rivalry… and 2018 was undoubtedly a particularly emblematic year of rivalry, especially between the United States and China, and to some extent, between the United States and Europe.
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White papersManaging fixed income late in the credit cycle: navigating the path forward
While we are clearly in the late stage of the credit cycle, we don’t think a recession is imminent and believe investors should feel comfortable investing in credit markets throughout the rest of 2019.
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White papers360 – Fixed Income report, Q2 2019
A reveille has been sounded in markets that are now experiencing feverish activity as half a decade of torpor gives way to volatility. Glib explanations for the panicked stampede of the recent sell-off – and subsequent rebound – mask the importance of properly calibrated defensive and flexible portfolio strategies.
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White papersIs Inflation Definitely Dead Or Simply Dormant? Consequences For Central Banks
Inflation never disappears completely. In history, there have been periods when it was dormant, but revivals have always been painful. What is striking at present is the inability of some countries to boost inflation despite low rates, liquidity injection programs… The BoJ and the ECB have made the bet (losing for the moment) that a ultra-accommodative monetary policy would quickly translate into a rise in inflation rates, while the Fed has opted for a “friendly” normalization of its monetary policy, helped in this, it must be said, by a fiscal and tax policy that has never been as pro-cyclical as in recent years (the Trump years).
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White papers
Energy Options Skews: Beyond Supply Shocks
The U.S. shale oil revolution has given out-of-the-money put options a persistently negative skew over the past decade, overshadowing likely supply woes.
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White papersEmerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2018
In October 2018, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) urged the world to intensify its efforts to combat climate change by meeting the goal of the 2016 Paris Agreement to limit global temperature increases to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
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White papersGlobal Asset Class Spotlights - Top Down Quarterly Assessment
Growth, monetary policies and geopolitics remain the key drivers of market returns and investment decisions, with their relative influence changing over time. The YTD revival of risk assets has translated into rosier expectations on growth. We remain cautious; we confirm the late cycle environment with extra dovish central banks and growth stabilisation ahead, as our economists are predicting. However, we also look towards the reporting season to confirm the solidity of corporates’ fundamentals and we expect a rerating in the face of European elections.
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White papers
The Short and Long of Oil
Short-term forces centered on supply constraints are driving the oil market higher but increasing fuel efficiency could temper prices over the long term.
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White papers
High Yield: A Swift Rebound
High yield bonds and loans posted a strong Q1 following the technically induced Q4 sell-off. With defaults still near historical lows, current spreads provide attractive risk-adjusted return potential.
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White papersImpact Report, Q1 2019
Plastic is a versatile, ubiquitous material in today’s fast-moving economy. But it is also one (big) example of the challenges we face when trying to transition to a circular economy.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - May 2019
Equity markets have remained buoyant in recent weeks: the S&P 500 is trending towards an all-time high, the European equity market (STOXX 600) is close to last year’s peak and the performances of emerging markets have also been very strong.
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White papersInvestment Insight: Disruption: Technology
What is disruption and how can tech disruptors bring about change? Defining a tech company and how sustainable trends can be distingushed from fads Valuing a tech opportunity comes with its challenges, but also potential benefits for investors.
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White papers
EM Debt: Investing with Cautious Optimism
Sovereign debt outperformed in Q1 as geopolitical headlines continued to garner attention and commodities rallied. Risks remain for the asset class but some notable headwinds have now become tailwinds.
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White papers
Climate-Proofing an Equity Portfolio
From rising sea levels to catastrophic weather events, investors can’t afford to ignore the risks of climate change. Since many companies would be vulnerable if current climate forecasts materialize, asset managers may want to consider climate change in their equity research process and engage management teams on the subject.
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White papers
Fed's Five Critical Issues
The Fed is facing five issues that could play a key role in its forward guidance on monetary policy, chief among them being the trade war and the economy.
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White papersEconomic Modeling Of Climate Risks
Climate change is a subject that has been largely addressed from both macroeconomic and energetic standpoints. Integration of climate variables and natural capital into the traditional economic framework can appear conflicting with the notion of infinitely growing economies exploiting finite resources, which questions the sustainability of neoclassic economic growth models.
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White papers
Structured Credit: Receding Headwinds Support CLO Performance
CLOs rebounded in the first quarter as credit concerns receded. Lower interest rates may drive continued interest in the asset class moving forward.
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White papers
Enterprise Software: Valuation Matters
While industry dynamics remain healthy and growth prospects exist, current enterprise software valuations look stretched.
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White papers
EM Debt: Investing with Cautious Optimism
Sovereign debt outperformed in Q1 as geopolitical headlines continued to garner attention and commodities rallied. Risks remain for the asset class but some notable headwinds have now become tailwinds.
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White papersSustainEx: Quantifying the hidden costs of companies’ social impacts
Andrew Howard, Head of Sustainable Research, explains the rationale and analysis behind Schroders’ ground-breaking SustainEx tool and how the societal costs it measures could affect future corporate profitability.
