All Fixed Income articles – Page 109
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White papersA High-Income Survival Guide for Late-Cycle Markets
It’s easy to get spooked in late-cycle markets. But we think there’s a way to de-risk your portfolio and still generate a decent level of income—no magic spells necessary.
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White papersPositioning Across Asset Classes as Global Risks Mount
As global economic growth enters a period of likely protracted weakness, investors should revisit their exposures. From a multi-asset perspective, focus on surprisingly resilient high-yield credit and higher quality equities, while reducing exposure to parts of the market that are most vulnerable to trade tensions.
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White papersInvestment Grade: Stable Fundamentals with Hints of Wear & Tear
IG fundamentals held up relatively well in Q3, despite dampened sentiment and growing macro uncertainty. Spreads were unchanged, but may move wider before year-end.
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White papersStructured Credit: Engaging Risk Tactics
Deal flow remained steady in Q3, keeping primary market spreads range-bound. Against a backdrop of low global interest rates, we have seen increasing investor interest in European CLOs.
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt: Taking a Hard (Currency) Stance
EMD performance was muted in Q3, but valuations remain attractive and emerging economies are growing at a measured pace. We continue to favor hard currency assets, which are benefitting from lower rate expectations.
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White papersHigh Yield: Poised to Capture Relative Value
Despite mounting uncertainty in the broader markets, high yield delivered broadly positive returns in Q3. As we continue to move through the late stages of a prolonged cycle, credit selection will be critical.
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White papersIG CLOs: Strong Excess Return Potential, Lower Volatility
IG CLOs can offer investors the benefits of spread pick-up and lower mark-to-market volatility, largely due to underlying collateral performance and structural security. But above all, manager selection is critical—even at the highest-rated tranches.
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White papersInfrastructure Debt: Steady Activity, Lingering Macro Doubts
Despite the expected seasonal summer slowdown, infrastructure debt financing deals remained steady overall in the third quarter of 2019—with strong activity in the U.S. and Canada, and slightly slowing activity in Europe, with a cautious eye toward Brexit.
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White papersHigh Yield: A Time to be Nimble
This piece was adapted from an interview with Martin Horne.
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White papersBeneath the Surface
This quarter, Neuberger Berman’s Asset Allocation Committee Outlook focuses on how surfaces can hide complexity and opportunity. As the S&P 500 Index breaks new records even as U.S. Treasury yields fall in anticipation of rate cuts, we believe it is time to be more cautious in overall stock and bond allocations.
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White papersItaly: Few Ambitions From The New Budget Framework
On 30 September the newly formed Italian government released an update to April’s Economic and Finance Document, with new fiscal plans for the years 2019 to 2022 and changes to the underlying economic assumptions.
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White papersCore Matters Investment Returns: A 5-year perspective
2019 has seen huge inflows into Fixed Income (FI) funds and outflows from Equities. From a medium-term return perspective this makes no sense. The formidable demand for safe assets reflects cyclical and structural forces (e.g. ageing). No matter the economic scenario, FI returns over the next five years are ...
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White papersTrump Impeachment Is Likely, But Impact On Financial Markets Would Be Short-Lived
Impeachment process: The Democratic Party has announced the opening of an impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump following revelations that he pushed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to investigate the son of Democratic opponent Joe Biden. The impeachment process is long and articulated. An 80% probability that Trump will be impeached, followed by acquittal in the Senate, which would keep him in office for the remainder of his term, is our base case scenario.
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White papersHigh Yield: Rates, Recessions and Relative Value
While there is no shortage of risks to consider in today’s high yield markets—from ESG to the end of the credit cycle—Barings’ Martin Horne describes how taking a contrarian approach can help investors uncover pockets of value
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White papersABS analysis: through the ESG lens
The drive to push environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing into the mainstream has dominated the asset-management industry in recent years. While the discussion on ESG in many asset classes is well progressed, to date there has been less focus on ESG in asset-backed securities (ABS). Beyond looking at the explicit environmental elements of green ABS, there has been little emphasis on assessing the social and governance factors within securitisation.
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White papersInvesting in an era of heightened risk velocity
For investors navigating current market conditions—an environment where a single tweet can change the market direction and momentum—it is not just the risks themselves that are challenging but also the elevated pace at which risks can move from peripheral threats to portfolio impacts. We call this “risk velocity.” This paper explores the primary drivers for this phenomenon and potential asset allocation implications.
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White papersThe ECB And The EU Banking Sector: Some Relief, With Winners And Losers
The new two-tier deposit-reserving scheme: With this measure the European banking sector could save up to c. €4 billion in annual interest costs (based on avoiding the -50bps deposit rate). However, while a large number in absolute terms, this only accounts for c. 2% of earnings on average for the main banks in the sector and therefore has little impact on overall Returns on Equity and profitability metrics.
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White papersFlexible credit: all-weather allocation
Flexibility means having the freedom to invest strategically across fixed-income markets. In the second instalment of our five-part series, we look at how flexible strategies generate returns by allocating capital and risk across the credit spectrum.
