All Fixed Income articles – Page 111
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White papersH1 2019 - Emerging Markets Charts & Views: Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed. Yet, we continue to see opportunities in all EM segments (equity, bonds in hard currency and in local currency) with a medium to long-term view.
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White papersBrexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in
Developments and scenarios ahead: This is probably the most decisive week for Brexit and the situation is still rapidly evolving. Last night, Mrs. May and Mr. Juncker announced an agreement on the most controversial part of the Brexit deal: the Irish border backstop. This agreement is aimed at getting the U.K. Parliament to accept the Brexit deal previously rejected in January.
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White papersDoing the Math on Women’s Empowerment
No one organization is responsible for the advancement of women, and that means every organization is. Women’s empowerment starts with education. It continues with the ability to earn an equitable living, especially in fields where women are underrepresented, and crests with women playing leadership roles at work or owning their own businesses.
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White papersA dovish ECB, a little relief for the banking sector
The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a new series of TLTROs starting in September 2019 and changed its forward guidance, with a commitment not to hike rates this year.
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Monetary Policy’s Effect on EM Debt
Rate expectations have changed materially across emerging and developed markets in the first quarter of 2019. What does this mean for emerging markets debt? Barings’ Ricardo Adrogué weighs in.
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White papersHedging Repo Exposure in the Treasury Basis with One-Month SOFR Futures
Learn how CME One-Month SOFR futures can be used as an effective tool for hedging Treasury overnight repo exposure.
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White papersBig Challenges for Equities, Bonds and FX Markets
A series of challenges, from the debt ceiling to Fed quantitative tightening to Brexit, will be confronting a variety of markets.
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White papersEM Debt: Navigating a Shifting Macro Backdrop
After a rocky 2018, the picture may be brightening for emerging markets debt. From rising rates to trade wars, some of last year’s headwinds look to be receding, at least for now. Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re currently seeing.
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White papers360 – Fixed Income report, Q1 2019
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence. In the absence of such evidence, academic research on multi-asset factor premiums could suffer from ‘p-hacking’ (or ‘data mining’). Recent research by Robeco uses new and previously unused deep historical financial data. The results allay any p-hacking concerns.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update - Much ado about equities and credit
Equities and corporate bonds often do well together. Over the past 20 years the “beta coefficient” between credit to equities has been 0.5 in both the US and Europe; that is to say, for every 1% rise (or fall) in equity prices, credit markets have tended to return (or weaken) 0.5%.
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Patience is a virtue
Sunny spots are rare this winter. Economic data in in Europe and China have continued to underwhelm. Key euro area indicators including PMIs, Ifo and Sentix are at multi-year lows, following a sharp contraction in industrial production in Q4. China reported a slump in trade and the slowest annual growth in three decades.
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White papersThe inflation story: 2019 and beyond
In this issue of Ahead of the Curve, we assess the prospects for inflation in the US and the eurozone.
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EM Debt—A Brightening Picture?
Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re seeing from Mexico and Brazil to more challenged geographies like Turkey and Argentina—and provide insight into how they’re thinking about political hotspots like Venezuela.
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White papersAn Underappreciated Subset of High Yield
For investors willing to surrender a nominal amount of yield in favor of greater protection given a default, global senior secured bonds can be an attractive option in a recessionary environment.
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China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War
China’s growth is decelerating, it is loaded with debt and is involved in a high stakes trade war with the United States. Despite these issues, China’s economy appears to be holding up better than one might have expected. In fact, China’s growth could even accelerate in 2019 in response to aggressive monetary easing.
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White papersAn Underappreciated Subset of High Yield
For investors willing to surrender a nominal amount of yield in favor of greater protection given a default, global senior secured bonds can be an attractive option in a recessionary environment.
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White papersHigh Yield Five Takeaways For The Months Ahead
A market dominated by volatility and dramatic headlines—if this environment feels familiar, perhaps it’s because it is.
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White papersAn Underappreciated Subset Of High Yield
As we enter what may be the twilight hours of an elongated credit cycle, an increase in defaults is not only possible, but probable. Against this backdrop, a credit-intensive, global approach to high yield investing is key.
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White papersCov-lite loans: the new normal, but at what cost?
Lending protections are eroding in Europe: cov-lite loans are now the norm in the large-cap loan segment, while cov-loose loans and add-backs to EBITDA are gaining ground in mid-market deals. Today, we explore the implications of loosening covenants and explain why we avoid these instruments, focusing instead on mid-market deals, which are governed by more robust loan documentation and offer attractive returns under strict risk controls.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
