All Developed Market articles – Page 3
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White papersJapanese Small Caps May Hop in the Year of the Rabbit
Despite their recent outperformance, we believe Japanese small caps have further room to run in 2023 and beyond. In this report, we highlight a few catalysts that could support earnings growth within this relatively under-researched asset class.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets: Outlook 2023
Kunjal Gala and the Global Emerging Markets Equity team outline their views on the prospects for emerging markets in 2023 and beyond.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2023
United States: The US economy has been showing signs of deceleration, as the fiscal and monetary policy drag weigh on activity, although at different intensity.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2023
Uncertainty over growth, inflation and corporate earnings persists, even though there has been a mild improvement on the economic front. These trends underscore the need to be active and well diversified.
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White papersThe low volatility anomaly – Still going strong after 50 years
Half a century ago, it became clear that investing in higher risk equities is not necessarily rewarded with higher returns. This low volatility anomaly goes against the traditional belief that there should be an extra reward for taking more risk. The anomaly persists to this day. There is now a range of investment strategies seeking to capture the benefits of the anomaly, including our own.
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White papersEquity Market Risks and Opportunities: Four Independent Views
How have risks that equity markets faced during 2022 changed the outlook for different equity categories? Leaders of four Allspring equity teams discuss their views on risks and opportunities in 2023.
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White papersChina’s Growth and Policy Priorities Pave New Paths to Equities
From COVID lockdowns to a property crisis, China’s economy suffered major shocks in 2022. But as the world’s most populous nation rapidly reopens its economy, we believe China will present attractive opportunities—particularly for investors who are prepared to understand its nuances.
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White papersCOP27: Shifting the Global Climate-Change Debate
COP27, the latest United Nations Conference of the Parties, concluded recently with mixed results on some of the key agenda items. In our view, though, the event will be remembered more for the way it shifted the global climate-change debate.
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White papersWhat 2023 holds for equities and bond investors
2023 will be a year when the investment environment slowly gets back to normality. Inflation will come down – even if not quite as fast as the market seems to expect. Economies will struggle for growth, but manage to stave off a deep downturn.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - January 2023
United States: the US economy is showing signs of deceleration, with restrictive monetary policy starting to weigh on activity and progressively dragging growth below potential.
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White papersOutlook for 2023: Complicated, fragmented macro road map
Brandywine Global: A complicated, fragmented world adds to the heightened uncertainty over what next year may bring for markets. Our top macroeconomic and investment experts offer their outlooks for 2023.
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White papersLong-term capital market expectations: Brighter times ahead
Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions capital market expectations (CME) are designed to provide annualized return expectations over a longer-term horizon, typically viewed as 10 years.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - November 2022
United States: We cut our growth expectations on the back of tight and fast monetary policy action. We call for an extended period of sub-par growth for 2023-24, with increased downside risks from H2 2023.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - September 2022
United States: The H1 contraction will be followed by a protracted period of sub-par growth, but the ongoing deceleration is so far not yet due to Fed tightening; cracks are appearing in an apparently strong labour market, and we expect the lack of productivity to cause a labour market correction.
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White papersH2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates
We started the year with expectations of strong growth and high inflation throughout the first part of 2022. The Russia-Ukraine war accentuated the inflationary trend, now well above Central Bank (CB) targets, which is now set to persist longer than expected.
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White papersWhat will drive financial markets over the next five years?
Dividing a portfolio’s investments more or less evenly between developed market stocks and bonds has proved a rewarding strategy over the past few decades. The annualised return investors have secured by pursuing this approach has been in the high single digits – gains that have come courtesy of steady economic growth, an almost continuous fall in interest rates and inflation, and relatively calm financial market conditions.
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White papersWill value stocks continue to outperform expensive sector peers?
Value stocks have strongly outperformed their growth sector peers since late 2020, when they became as cheap as they were at the peak of the 2000 tech bubble. Although half of that advantage in valuations is now gone, we believe it still leaves plenty of room for an above-average performance by value stocks, especially when interest rates are rising in developed markets.
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White papers3-4 May FOMC meeting: 50bp interest rate hike is bullish for markets
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and statement: On 4 May, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed funds rate by 50bp to 0.75-1.00%, the first back-to-back hike since the second quarter of 2006. The FOMC statement signaled the start of a series of rate hikes. The Fed downplayed the negative Q1 GDP data, while upgrading its inflation assessment.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - May 2022
United States: the surge in inflation to a multi-decade high is compressing real incomes and could negatively impact consumer confidence, spending and saving behaviour, as some surveys seem to expect. At the same time, companies’ capex intentions remain high, suggesting that, while US consumption may be decelerating, capex should ...
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White papersAn Aging Workforce Hunts for New Global Investment Opportunities
Richer, older, developed countries face slowing population growth, while poorer, younger, developing countries face faster growth. Successful investments could boost standards of living in these developing countries, aiding demand for goods, housing, transportation, and more.
