All Developed Market articles – Page 3
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European equities are favoured in a fragile earnings outlook
“The greater resilience of profits enabled the European market to remain cheaper than the US one.”
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Structural Themes Shaping the Opportunity in ASEAN Equities
Favorable demographics, combined with a number of unique investment themes, are creating a positive backdrop for ASEAN’s equity markets.
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Why the next five years belongs to US SMID
The Equities team explain why, against a backdrop where the US economy is likely to ‘muddle through’, there are exciting investment opportunities in the US SMID space.
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Reimagining Growth: A Market Beyond Mega-Caps
US growth stocks were hit hard in last year’s downturn, with the mega-caps accounting for nearly half of the market’s decline. Now, the changing contours of the market mean investors can capture a broader array of recovery candidates while incurring less benchmark risk.
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5 trends driving energy markets in 2023
Is there more fuel in the tank for energy stocks?
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Japanese Small Caps May Hop in the Year of the Rabbit
Despite their recent outperformance, we believe Japanese small caps have further room to run in 2023 and beyond. In this report, we highlight a few catalysts that could support earnings growth within this relatively under-researched asset class.
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Global Emerging Markets: Outlook 2023
Kunjal Gala and the Global Emerging Markets Equity team outline their views on the prospects for emerging markets in 2023 and beyond.
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Macroeconomic Picture - February 2023
United States: The US economy has been showing signs of deceleration, as the fiscal and monetary policy drag weigh on activity, although at different intensity.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2023
Uncertainty over growth, inflation and corporate earnings persists, even though there has been a mild improvement on the economic front. These trends underscore the need to be active and well diversified.
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The low volatility anomaly – Still going strong after 50 years
Half a century ago, it became clear that investing in higher risk equities is not necessarily rewarded with higher returns. This low volatility anomaly goes against the traditional belief that there should be an extra reward for taking more risk. The anomaly persists to this day. There is now a range of investment strategies seeking to capture the benefits of the anomaly, including our own.
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Equity Market Risks and Opportunities: Four Independent Views
How have risks that equity markets faced during 2022 changed the outlook for different equity categories? Leaders of four Allspring equity teams discuss their views on risks and opportunities in 2023.
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China’s Growth and Policy Priorities Pave New Paths to Equities
From COVID lockdowns to a property crisis, China’s economy suffered major shocks in 2022. But as the world’s most populous nation rapidly reopens its economy, we believe China will present attractive opportunities—particularly for investors who are prepared to understand its nuances.
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COP27: Shifting the Global Climate-Change Debate
COP27, the latest United Nations Conference of the Parties, concluded recently with mixed results on some of the key agenda items. In our view, though, the event will be remembered more for the way it shifted the global climate-change debate.
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What 2023 holds for equities and bond investors
2023 will be a year when the investment environment slowly gets back to normality. Inflation will come down – even if not quite as fast as the market seems to expect. Economies will struggle for growth, but manage to stave off a deep downturn.
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Macroeconomic Picture - January 2023
United States: the US economy is showing signs of deceleration, with restrictive monetary policy starting to weigh on activity and progressively dragging growth below potential.
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Macroeconomic Picture - November 2022
United States: We cut our growth expectations on the back of tight and fast monetary policy action. We call for an extended period of sub-par growth for 2023-24, with increased downside risks from H2 2023.
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Macroeconomic Picture - September 2022
United States: The H1 contraction will be followed by a protracted period of sub-par growth, but the ongoing deceleration is so far not yet due to Fed tightening; cracks are appearing in an apparently strong labour market, and we expect the lack of productivity to cause a labour market correction.
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H2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates
We started the year with expectations of strong growth and high inflation throughout the first part of 2022. The Russia-Ukraine war accentuated the inflationary trend, now well above Central Bank (CB) targets, which is now set to persist longer than expected.
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What will drive financial markets over the next five years?
Dividing a portfolio’s investments more or less evenly between developed market stocks and bonds has proved a rewarding strategy over the past few decades. The annualised return investors have secured by pursuing this approach has been in the high single digits – gains that have come courtesy of steady economic growth, an almost continuous fall in interest rates and inflation, and relatively calm financial market conditions.
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Will value stocks continue to outperform expensive sector peers?
Value stocks have strongly outperformed their growth sector peers since late 2020, when they became as cheap as they were at the peak of the 2000 tech bubble. Although half of that advantage in valuations is now gone, we believe it still leaves plenty of room for an above-average performance by value stocks, especially when interest rates are rising in developed markets.