All Currency articles
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White papersImpact of US elections on emerging market currencies
The results of the US presidential elections in November are set to have wide-ranging implications on the US dollar and emerging market (EM) exchange rates. In this piece, we examine what the outcome of the election could mean for EM currencies, through the impact on tariffs, sanctions, US fiscal policy, unorthodox economic policies and immigration.
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White papersThe Fifth Stage of Pocketbook Grief
Economic data has been resilient, but everyone seems unhappy—will the consumer cheer up in time to avoid triggering a recession?
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2024
Topic of the Month - The JPY carry trade: what’s next?
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White papersThe JPY carry trade: what’s next?
A series of weak US data in July questioned the market narrative of a soft landing and brought back fears of recession. This was the main trigger, although a hawkish surprise from the BoJ undoubtedly added fuel to what turned out to be an unusually sharp unwinding of carry trades funded in JPY. The amount of exposure of these carry trades was at an all-time high due to the low level of overall market volatility and the volatility of the JPY itself. So is it over?
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White papersEmerging Market Debt at State Street Global Advisors
State Street Global Advisors has been running indexed EMD strategies for almost two decades and our experience and expertise has underpinned the growth of this franchise. EMD assets under management at State Street climbed from about $5 billion at the end of 2015 to $40.5 billion at the end of March 2024.
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White papersTime for the Yen to Blossom?
Strong forces still weigh on Japan’s currency, but its long, cold winter may be coming to an end.
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White papersHard and local currency bonds provide different routes to returns
Emerging market (EM) bonds are increasingly becoming a strategic holding for many investors but a key consideration in this is the different attributes of hard- and local currency-denominated bonds — the two broad sets of investments available in the asset class — and understanding the benefits each can bring to a portfolio.
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White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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White papersPlanning for long term success in emerging market debt
The fast-paced evolution of EMD as an asset class necessitates an investment approach that can adapt swiftly. In this Q&A, emerging market debt (EMD) portfolio manager Kirstie Spence discusses how to plan for the long-term success of managing the asset class.
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White papersLocal currency EMD – Why it might be time to reconsider an active allocation
An allocation to emerging market debt (EMD) can offer investors a range of potential benefits in the context of their broader portfolios – not least its low correlation with other sub-asset classes of fixed income. The growth dynamics and strengthening economic fundamentals of many emerging market (EM) countries are attractive to investors seeking growth, income and diversification.
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VideoThe dollar effect on emerging market corporates
Watch to find out what effect the dollar has on emerging market corporates
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White papersHow strong dollar dynamics impacts emerging markets
Years of strong dollar dynamics have had a far reaching consequences for emerging economies, much of it played out in the currency markets.
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VideoDollar Cycle - The Impact on Emerging Market Bonds
Watch to discover what the dollar cycle impact will be on EM bonds
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White papersAre Cheap Burgers in Emerging Markets a Good Sign for Investors?
Investors in emerging markets (EM) have endured a decade of poor performance. But things may be changing. Based on The Economist magazine’s data comparing hamburger prices across countries, many EM currencies look cheap today—as they did 20 years ago before an extended rally of EM stocks and bonds.
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White papersCurrency hedging policy for institutions
“Investors should focus on currencies as a potential source of return and risk diversification for a portfolio.”
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White papersChina’s Reopening Bodes Well for Asian Fixed-Income Markets
Markets have responded warmly to China’s easing of its zero-COVID policy, although it’s not clear yet how quickly or smoothly the country’s economy will recover. While some bumps in the road are likely, we expect China’s reopening could lead to further gains in Asian credit and currencies in 2023.
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White papersEMs with stronger fundamentals should see inflows
Global ownership of EM bonds stands at its lowest point in close to a decade
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White papersEmerging markets debt: Valuations appear attractive despite uncertain macro backdrop
Emerging markets (EM) hard and local currency denominated sovereign bonds rose in the fourth quarter of 2022, as a softer-than-expected inflation print in the US and the potential end to China’s zero-COVID policy lured yield seeking investors.
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White papersWhy the outlook for bonds is improving
Bonds are poised to deliver better risk-adjusted returns than equities over the next 12 months.
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White papersCryptonite
The FTX collapse is a blow to the idea of finance industry disruption and a potential source of volatility, but we think systemic contagion into broader financial markets is unlikely.
