All Commentary articles – Page 31
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White papersISA Briefing: Climate risk in practice: Regional, market and asset-level views
Recognition has grown substantially in recent years that climate risk can shape real estate investment outcomes. This owes to an increasing frequency and severity of loss events, surging insurance premiums, improving data availability and a mounting reporting burden driven by regulations.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - April 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 12 April 2024
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”
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Asset Manager NewsRedevco and former redos founder Oliver Herrmann launch Redevco Capital Partners to target European special situations real estate opportunities
Redevco, and Oliver Herrmann, founder of German large-scale retail specialist redos, launch Redevco Capital Partners, targeting special situations real estate opportunities across Europe.
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White papersCompanies and Climate change - An updated research application of the AIIB-Amundi CCIF*
The Climate Change Investment Framework (CCIF) was designed by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and Amundi to tailor investment portfolios that actively consider alignment with the Paris Agreement. The CCIF considers the three dimensions of climate change mitigation and adaptation, and contribution to the transition to net zero.
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White papersImpact Opportunities Equity, Q1 2024
Financial inclusion is an essential part of ‘building back better’; not just as a moral imperative but as a significant economic opportunity which offers real benefits for society as a whole. In our latest quarterly report, the team highlight several companies breaking down the barriers to accessible and affordable finance.
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White papersBreadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
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White papersThe Long View: Four megatrends to watch
Innovation is not just a buzzword — it is the lifeblood of investment success. It fuels growth, drives competitiveness and shapes the future of companies. But while innovation is essential, not all emerging trends are created equal.
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White papersWho will finance the green transition? Can central banks help?
”With public debt at unprecedented levels, it is difficult to see how governments could consider contributing any sizeable amounts.”
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White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2024
Last year we enhanced our Capital Market Assumptions approach by including a social dimension considering the impact of rebalancing labour / profits on earnings. This social component was added to the climate change assumptions introduced in 2022, which evaluate how the future trajectory of the energy transition will affect the key economic variables driving our forecasts (GDP growth, inflation, productivity, etc.), and the way we model asset class behaviour – with regards to earnings growth in particular.
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White papersRotations at play in equity markets
In 2024, the equity rally has weakened in the tech heavy Nasdaq Index which was the leader last year, now in favour of other regions. Large cap companies in the Eurozone and Japan posted double digit returns in Q1.
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White papersThe Grey Wave – Opportunities in U.S. Seniors Housing
U.S. Seniors Housing is attracting increased investor focus due to an aging population which will provide landlords with a demand tailwind coupled with some insulation from short term economic cycles. In just the past few years, the larger seniors housing landlords have recast the relationship with their tenants, and this has positioned those property owners to benefit from similar operational improvements already seen across many other commercial property sectors.
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White papersThe appeal of private assets in 2024
The macro environment in 2024 will likely spur demand for private assets from all types of investors in our view. In this higher-for-longer environment, private assets could continue to be a compelling source of risk-adjusted returns, income and diversification.
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White papersPortfolio construction themes
Like surfers bobbing in the ocean as they look for the perfect wave, many investors today believe better conditions will come if they just hold out long enough. But delaying too long could mean missing the ride entirely.
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White papersThe economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papers2024 2Q outlook: Adapting to high tide
Originally written and recorded by a Jamaican trio in 1967, “The Tide Is High” made its biggest splash with the now-classic 1980 cover version that topped the charts around the world. Thematically simple, the song’s familiar chorus acknowledges challenging circumstances while expressing the narrator’s resilience (“I’m holding on”). It’s an apt soundtrack for today’s investors as they acclimate to a high-tide environment of their own.
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White papersSchroders Capital Global Real Estate Lens March 2024: your go-to guide to global property markets
Our latest analysis highlights the key data and trends that matter to global real estate investors.
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White papersMind the (economic) gap: Infrastructure Debt 2024 Report
Nuveen’s Don Dimitrievich was recently featured in Infrastructure Investor’s 2024 Infrastructure Debt Report and shared his insights on how the Energy Infrastructure Credit team is providing flexible capital solutions and finding opportunities in the gaps in today’s high cost of capital environment.
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White papersNo Need to Call the Bottom – Examining Fund Vintage in the US
Rising financing costs since the Fed began to institute a series of rate hikes in March 2022 have put downward pressure on commercial real estate values. Indeed, the 11.9% annual decline in property values in the NCREIF Property Index (NPI) in 2023 was slightly worse than the annual losses suffered in 1991, 1992, and 2008 and is the second-worst year of appreciation returns since the index’s inception in 1978.
