All Commentary articles – Page 110
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White papersThe world that COVID built
2020 will go down in history as the year of the pandemic; an epic shock for societies and economies with dramatic ramifications on people and industries. This has propelled us into a new era, in which high uncertainty is likely to remain the base case for some time to come.
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White papersThe Circular Edition 3, 2020 - Keeping you in the sustainability loop
Covid-19 continues to throw curve-balls in 2020, but for those investors with sustainability in mind, the long game remains in view. We’ve summed up our recent insights on environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing to bring you the latest edition of The Circular.
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White papersFrance Outlook
In Q3 France posted a major surprise, with its 18.2% QoQ rise in GDP beating both consensus and our expectations, and leaving the French economy only about 4.0% below pre-Covid levels. But with the second wave and the new lockdown taking a toll on activity and sentiment, we now expect a new contraction of 3.3% QoQ in Q4. This will be followed by a slow and uneven recovery, which will reach full traction only from Q2 2021, when we assume restrictions will be fully lifted. In the meantime, a ‘stop and go’ process may take place, making the recovery path bumpier and more uncertain.
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White papersNavigating the path to net zero: An interview with Jill Rutter
There is a large gulf between the concept of ‘net zero’ and the practical policies that will deliver it. Jill Rutter, senior fellow at the Institute for Government, takes a hard look at the UK’s progress towards the 2050 target.
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White papersInside Real Estate – Annual Strategy Outlook for 2021
Under our base case the global economy will continue down the path of recover but with a wider range of possible outcomes. Normalization in advanced economies will likely start in the second half of 2021 following the distribution of vaccines, though full global herd immunity will be further away. We expect the world economy to be dealing with a “new normal” for a few years.
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White papers2020 post-election analysis: Biden wins, but the United States remains divided
Former Vice President Joe Biden defeated President Trump to become the 46th President of the United States. While Trump has not conceded yet, he became only the third President to fail to win re-election since World War II. In the end, the election was a referendum on Trump as a man rather than an indictment of his policies. A political realignment is underway, with GOP emerging as a working-class party and dominating the vote in rural areas, while the ‘Blue wall’ of the Midwestern states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin has become competitive for both parties.
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White papersExpert Roundtable: Sustainable High Yield Investing
We believe environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations matter in high yield investing, and that, as providers of new capital, bondholders may have more influence than they think.
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White papersMarkets Unscripted: 2020 U.S. Election Series
Ashok Bhatia, Neuberger Berman Deputy CIO – Fixed Income, shares his perspective on investment implications as a result of the U.S. election and recent COVID-19 vaccine news.
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White papersInvestment Grade Credit: Corporate Decision-Making in the Post-COVID-19 Economy
For the investment grade credit market, the first three quarters of 2020 can be characterized as nothing short of unprecedented.
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White papersSenior infrastructure debt vs fixed income: which poses fewer challenges for investors?
Senior infrastructure debt is shielded from many of the challenges that face traditional fixed income in a zero-rate world. We explain why.
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White papersAn Election Update and Market Outlook with Joe Amato
Stephanie Luedke, Head of Private Wealth Management leads a discussion with Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer – Equities for an update on the U.S. election and the markets after a historic week.
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White papersCorporate Hybrids Come of Age
We believe the nearly €200 billion corporate hybrid market just got its first true test—and passed with flying colors.
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White papersAn Election Update and Market Outlook with Charles Kantor
Given the uncertainty of the political landscape, Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Equity Portfolio Manager, shares his perspective on investment implications as a result of the U.S. election.
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White papersNon-IG News: Record High Yield New Issuance in a Pandemic?
Despite the COVID-19 pandemic and a significant contraction in global GDP, the U.S. High Yield Market saw record levels of new issuance in the second and third quarter, which was a surprising development to most investors.
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White papersReal Assets Study 2020 - Navigating disruption: challenges and opportunities
Real assets have been in the eye of the storm during the coronavirus pandemic – but according to our study, the worlds of infrastructure, real estate and private debt, still retain their appeal, even if fundamental changes are affecting them.
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White papersNew order: navigating the energy transition
The energy transition is an existential long-term risk for oil and gas companies, as the move away from fossil fuels towards low-carbon technologies impacts demand for hydrocarbons. How can debt issuers future-proof their businesses to survive – and indeed thrive – in a net-zero global economy?
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White papersSpecial Edition: The U.S. Votes: Our First Response
The U.S. has voted in the midst of arguably the most challenging environment for generations. Here’s our first take on the likely result and what it could mean for investors.
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White papersBonds that are not really binding
Should the €2,800 billion in sovereign bonds or the equivalent* that are on the European Central Bank’s balance sheet be treated just like any other bonds? This question, which has come up regularly over the past several months, is far from being of mere academic interest.
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White papersHY default cycle and rating changes: how it is “different” this time
Despite a severe macro contraction, policy reaction to the covid-crisis limited most of corporates’ rating migration and HY defaults to low-rated debt. This piece outlines our expectations on both rating and default cycles to come.
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White papersWrite hard and clear about what hurts
Economists have frequently used the alphabet to characterize the profile of the recovery. But one letter does not fit all. It is the duration of the epidemic which will ultimately determine the shape of the recovery. The desynchronisation of cycles should open the door to traditional geographic diversification.
