All Commentary articles – Page 107
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Global Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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Global IG: Don’t Underestimate Changed Behaviours
We came into 2020 on the back of one of the longest expansion phases ever, with increasingly loose monetary policy extending the growth cycle. Because of that growth and low interest rates, companies had been gearing up and corporate leverage was actually relatively high going into the pandemic.
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Debt deliveries: US consumers bat on in fading light
The US consumer has long been in the top order of the global economy but, as Fiorino discovers, the days of debt-fuelled hit-outs on tame pitches could soon be over.
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Fixed Income: Security Selection A Key Driver Of Outperformance
The US Federal Reserve’s aggressive response to the coronavirus pandemic has driven yields on safe-haven debt to near zero, leaving “low-risk” portfolios increasingly susceptible to interest rate-driven price volatility.
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First in, first out: what next for China?
As China emerges from the disruption wrought by the Covid-19 pandemic, we consider our outlook for the world’s second-largest economy. China is embarking on an ambitious strategy to transition its economic model, while also attempting to drive more sustainable practices.
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Sustainable investing – challenges and best practices
In the midst of nearly unprecedented market volatility, sustainable business practices are proving their mettle. Companies with strong stakeholder relationships, a deep commitment to employees, smaller carbon footprints and a longer-term focus are weathering the downturn significantly better than those without such standards. While no one would have chosen these particular testing grounds, the results are clear: sustainability has real-world consequences.
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Central Banks: leading the path towards Impact Investing
Central Banks are right now accelerating a tectonic shift. This summer at Jackson Hole, Fed Chairman, Mr. Powell has set-up the new objectives of the FED: inclusive employment is now key. As stated, “Inflation that is persistently too low can pose serious risks to the economy”1 and an inclusive employment2 is one way to solve it; it leads the FED to “a focus on inequality”3 with an attention paid on education as “people who don’t have advanced skills now have less ability to profit from the technology that is everywhere in our economy”4.
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ESG investing in Asia - an invisible evolution
Sustainable and responsible investing is fast becoming one of the most important investment criteria globally, and in Asia, while the uptake has been slower, this trend is growing. Moreover, sustainability is now also seen as an important economic driver for investment performance.
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Impact investing: a key role to play in reshaping the future
Today, the world is confronting the global coronavirus pandemic, which has put a severe strain on health systems and economies worldwide.
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Hydrogen: science fiction made real?
Fourteen member states of the European Union (EU) have already included a strategy for the use of hydrogen as part of their plans to support the post COVID lockdown economic recovery plans. David Czupryna, Head of ESG Development at Candriam, writes that the recent investment package of EUR15bn by the German and French governments is a serious step but only one of many required, with a lot of investment and opportunities still to come.
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Hidden ESG gems: the “improvers” philosophy
Traditional alpha opportunities tend to be found in underappreciated areas of the market where an expected improvement in fundamentals will lead to a rerating of the stock. The same can be said for ESG investing: companies that embrace and improve their ESG profile will be rewarded by the market.
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Institutional Investors – are you embracing the evolution in responsible investing?
The asset management industry is experiencing an evolution which has been a long time coming – the volume has been turned up on responsible investing and institutional investors are at the heart of this transition. The global pandemic and high-level concerns around climate change have brought a new sense of awareness, the knowledge of long-term risks and opportunities associated with environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors.
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The Golden Age of Health Care Innovation Meets Rising Global Need
Innovative new treatments are revolutionizing medical care to meet the growing needs of an aging global population.
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Real estate 2021 outlook
No one can deny how challenging 2020 has been. As coronavirus spread around the globe, life for many was put on hold. Unprecedented government-imposed measures curtailed social and economic activity to protect people’s health and save lives.
Looking to 2021, the pandemic continues, but people continue to adapt, adjusting to the new normal as treatments for the disease improve and vaccine hopes are high. -
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2021 Investment Outlook Report
Our comprehensive Outlook Report addresses in further detail both the macro and asset class specific themes we have identified and examines the evolution of the investment environment over the past 12 months.
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Key themes for 2021 - Infrastructure Outlook
As we approach the end of 2020, the infrastructure sector looks to have weathered the COVID-19 crisis reasonably well. While certain sub-sectors were severely impacted, 1Q20 valuations for the sector were more resilient than other alternative asset classes and infrastructure companies saw fewer downgrades and defaults than their equivalent corporates.
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Light at the end of the tunnel for multi-factor equity investing?
Multi-factor equity investing has underperformed in 2020 as a small number of growth stocks left the peleton far behind.
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Three drivers of European private equity growth for the next decade
We believe European private equity can augment investors’ broader private equity allocation due to its distinctive and varied composition, demographic drivers and quality.
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Why it’s so Hard to go Bankrupt… And Why That Will Change
Massive policy response has firms awash in liquidity, but 2021 will bring solvency challenges that investors need to watch closely.