All Commentary articles – Page 107
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IG Credit: Can the Strong Performance Continue?
After a rollercoaster year, IG corporate credit ended on a high note. But all eyes are on the months ahead, and whether we could see a reversal of some of the trends that buoyed the asset class in 2020.
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Global Emerging Markets: country allocation review 2021
Fiscal and monetary stimulus programmes across the world buoyed global markets in 2020 with encouraging Covid-19 vaccine trial results providing an end-of-year boost for investors. However, macroeconomic data is mixed: there has been a lower-than-expected improvement in the service sector and inequality is rising.
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Why Consider Logistics Real Estate?
Driven by several underlying trends, the segment is establishing itself as a promising defensive asset class and there is a premium on small-scale logistics.
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Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook - Q1 2021
Going into the new year, we are very optimistic about the opportunity set, and we think that active management alpha will be key to success in 2021 as beta-driven momentum slows given potentially stretched valuations. We believe it is prudent to be growth oriented in our portfolio positioning while also holding hedged alternative investments that exhibit low correlations to broader risk assets.
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CLOs: Cautious Optimism
Coming off a tumultuous year, CLOs look well-positioned going forward—particularly if the economy continues to heal and rates move higher.
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Global Fixed Income Macroeconomic And Sector Views: Q1 2021
Commentary from Franklin Templeton Fixed Income.
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Market Scenarios and Risks - January 2021
This month, we update the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios, taking into account 4Q20 developments in vaccinations, fiscal and monetary policies, and (geo)politics. We have a higher conviction on our central scenario and we are raising its probability from 65% to 75%. We are lowering the probability of our downside scenario from 25% to 15%, which remains above historical levels.
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2021 global outlook reassessed
As the Q420 is now closed, we confirm the “financial recovery regime” as our central scenario for 2021 with a higher conviction than in Q320. We expect better corporate fundamentals at a global level going forward. The rebound of EPS growth will eventually validate current asset price levels in the context of low interest rates. This explains our cautious optimism for the coming quarters.
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Podcast: Making the Case for Value
Over the past decade, we have seen that growth investing has had a tremendous run and was considered the first choice in approach for investing in stocks. However, for the last several months and for the first time in quite a few years, market conditions seem to suggest that now value has started to become the more popular option.
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Chart of the week – 2020 market wrap
The extraordinary sequence of events that unfolded in 2020 from virus outbreak to lockdowns, then from large-scale stimulus to vaccines, produced unusually broad market gains for most asset classes in absolute terms.
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Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions: Allocation Views
As we enter 2021, financial markets appear to be clinging to a more optimistic view of the world than the one we left behind in 2020. Undoubtedly we have reasons to be more hopeful, but it seems that we still have a greater than usual level of uncertainty over a number of factors that are key to how markets react during the coming year.
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Hidden factors: exploring equity market behaviour in 2020
At the beginning of a new year, it’s customary to look both back to the past and forward to the future. This year, it would be tempting to focus on a future in which the coronavirus is finally brought under control, gladly turning our backs on 2020 and consigning it to the annals of history. However, looking at the extreme market events of the past 12 months can provide some valuable insights for investors.
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Is infrastructure key to a sustainable recovery?
Infrastructure investment is about financing the real economy, meaning few investments are better placed to deliver a sustainable future.
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Vaccine Distribution, Administration, Logistics & Mutant SARS-CoV2 Strains
In an effort to bring timely insights during these uncertain times, we are pleased to share an update from Terri Towers, PhD, Senior Healthcare Analyst, who shares her views on the COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) pandemic.
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How can social bonds support a sustainable recovery?
Social bonds could help mitigate the economic damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, at least in the short term. While on the surface, most bond issuances appear well-intentioned, all market participants need do their homework to ensure they are directing capital to the right social causes.
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China’s strategy supports a bullish view on emerging Asia
China’s economic policy focus on domestic and, by extension regional, growth argues for a bullish view on Asian emerging markets in the face of the far-reaching effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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A Recipe for the Next Financial Crisis
It may not come soon or deliver the same shock, but the ingredients that triggered so many predecessors are already coming into view.
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What is an impact bond? A specialist fund manager explains
An expert from BlueOrchard – a leading impact investment firm and a member of the Schroders Group – outlines what these increasingly popular assets are and why they matter.
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Hydrogen: Back to the future
The UK is the latest country to accelerate plans to develop hydrogen as part of its push to reach net zero. But it is not the first time hydrogen has attracted attention – it has been trumpeted by the scientific community as a possible wonder fuel for around a century. So, what’s changed now?
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A bright end to 2020 for equity markets
After setting record highs in early December, global equities vacillated on market concerns over the resurgence of COVID-19 to end the month with a rebound to new highs. The MSCI AC World index (in US dollars terms) gained 4.5%, taking its rise for 2020 to 14.3%.