All Commentary articles – Page 106
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White papersReal Yields, Inflation Breakevens and Risk Assets: The Changing Environment
The fixed income world is beginning to undergo a multiyear transition as aggressive monetary accommodation and government spending across key economies drive higher near-term economic growth rates.
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White papersJapan Could Win a Medal in the Recovery Race
A strong manufacturing base and changing attitudes toward shareholder value could mean the world’s capital heads to Japan, even if the world’s sports fans cannot.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2021
Vaccination progress and fiscal stimulus have advantaged the US economy, which we expect to grow about 6.5% in 2021. China, too, is rebounding, with output already topping pre-crisis levels. We’re still cautious, however, about Europe, where rising COVID-19 cases may further delay reopenings.
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White papersInvestment Outlook: You asked, we answered
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - April 2021
Significant progress in managing the pandemic, massive fiscal impulse in the US, and boosters in the RoW amidst accommodative monetary policies.
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White papersSpring has Sprung from Seeds of Spending
In the U.S., fiscal stimulus and vaccine rollout are already leading to improvements in the service sector.
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White papersEconomic Outlook: can things ‘only get better’?
Looking at the rest of 2021 through a macro lens feels a bit like 2009: one would hope that ‘it can only improve on the year before’. Which, surely it must. Stimulus extensions, accelerating vaccine roll-out (notably in the UK), base-effect, and expectations of more are all raising confidence, supporting risk-assets and promising macro improvement.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – Europe, Edition 1 - 2021: Caution required
The European economy ends 2020 fairly battered and bruised as the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit hard, both in terms of infections and the wider economy.
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Research ReportImpact Investing Annual Report 2020: Investing in resilience
We’ve made a material step toward important social and environmental goals, like the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). And despite our progress, we’ve only just scratched the surface. There is so much more work to do, and we’re committed to demonstrating that our capital can be put to work to deliver meaningful impact for people and planet.
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White papersSpeculative grade default cycle: an earlier peak and an expected benign trend
Extraordinary policy intervention has made this HY default cycle unusually short-lived, helping to limit quite significantly the rise in defaults among mid- and high-rated speculative grade companies. A turn into a more benign falling trend over the next quarters looks likely, in light of improved macro perspectives, expected progress in vaccinations and encouraging signals from financial drivers.
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White papersAmid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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White papersSustainability in a World in Transition
We believe that 2020 marked an important turning point for companies and investors alike. Not only are sustainable criteria becoming ever-more important for investors, rapid societal and technological change is driving a corporate evolution. This is creating disruption across a number of key areas generating opportunities for active managers.
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White papersWhy investors should look at Indian assets
India is the fifth-largest economy in the world, according to the World Bank, in terms of nominal 2019 GDP in dollars, and ranks second by population (1.38bn). Although it is one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, its GDP per capita is more than 29x and 4x lower than the USt or China, respectively (also according to the World Bank, nominal 2019 per-capita GDP in dollars). The potential for a catch-up in income over the next decades looks huge.
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White papersAuthenticity in ESG integration
From our 1983 inception, the international business of Federated Hermes has been at the forefront of responsible investing. Here, Michael Viehs, Head of ESG Integration, explains why the delivery of Sustainable Wealth Creation has and always will be our core purpose.
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White papersCovid-19 Update: Emerging from a Pandemic rarely happens in a Straight Line
In an effort to bring timely insights during these uncertain times, we are pleased to share an update from Terri Towers, PhD, Senior Healthcare Analyst, who shares her views on the COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) pandemic.
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White papersHow hot is the inflation pot? Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures.
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White papersFixed-income markets: from cyclical to structural challenges
Since the start of the year, bond yields have surged in the economies of the G10 as markets anticipate a sharp acceleration in inflation and economic activity. This rebound is likely to be particularly strong in the US given its enormous fiscal stimulus plan. In the medium term, opinion is divided concerning the post-Covid crisis macroeconomic trajectory and a possible change in the inflation regime in the US.
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White papersEuropean credit outlook 2021: a world of uncertainty
European credit markets appear to have stabilised, as investors increasingly price in a perfect economic recovery alongside continuing monetary and fiscal support.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – APAC, Edition 1 2021: Stay circumspect
Most major APAC economies will bottom and reverse the growth decline by year-end. The general prognosis for 2021 is less negative but occupier performance will continue to face pressure.
