All Commentary articles – Page 106
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Macro Outlook Webcast: Looking to 2021 and Beyond, December 2020
Join Eoin Murray, Head of Investment, and Neil Williams, Senior Economic Adviser, for a lively discussion as they look to 2021 and beyond.
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CIO EMEA Outlook 2021: Knowns And Unknowns After A Tumultuous Year
At the beginning of the year we were threatened with excitement, be that trade wars or ongoing political upheaval in the Europe and the US. None of us were prepared for a global pandemic.
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China Credits: Default Outlook From an Onshore Perspective
Changing government policy could impact default levels in 2021.
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Don’t Be A Turkey
Like the festive bird in December, investors may want to ask how much better things can get
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COVID recovery, net zero and policy: The outlook for UK infrastructure in 2021
Darryl Murphy assesses the current state of the UK infrastructure market and the likely drivers of activity in 2021.
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Relative value, ‘normality’ and polarisation: The outlook for real estate in 2021
Souad Cherfouh, head of real estate investment strategy, and Jonathan Bayfield, head of UK and Irish real estate research, look at three themes that could characterise the real estate market in 2021 and beyond.
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Impact Report, Q4 2020
It is estimated that damage to our ecosystems and the associated loss of biodiversity could cost the global economy $10tn by 2050. For many, the coronavirus has acted as a wake-up call: we cannot continue our current relationship with nature. Now more than ever, investors must take action to consider the impact of their investments.
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Reading fortunes: can venture capital give us a glimpse of the future of work?
Venture capital investors sit at the forefront of innovation and creative disruption, giving real insight into how our working lives will evolve after Covid-19 and beyond.
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Generali Global Infrastructure at IPE Conference and Award 2020
Supporting the recovery through resilient and positive impact infrastructure investments
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Laggards, electric vehicles and energy storage: The outlook for the climate transition in 2021
Jaime Ramos Martin, portfolio manager of Aviva Investors’ climate transition strategy, and Rick Stathers, Aviva Investors’ climate lead, look at three themes that will shape the outlook in 2021.
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Currency outlook: The trend is not your friend
Investors betting on ‘trends’ have been disappointed over the last four years. After rallying by 30% between mid-July 2014 and December 2016, the US dollar has been range-bound. It weakened in 2017, but it rebounded strongly in 2018, consolidated in 2019 and after an initial rally in 2020, it is finishing the year on the weaker side.
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European Equities: The Peak Of Pessimism Is Behind Us
There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and consumer activity to start to return to normal. But even if there are delays and further lockdowns, the economic impact of Covid-19 should ease markedly in 2021.
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Economic Outlook: 2021 and beyond - a slow and winding road to economic recovery
In his latest economic outlook report , Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes, Neil Williams, summarises his expectations for the global economy in 2021 and beyond. Major economies have slowly started to recoup their GDP after an extraordinary year.
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How the US can lead on climate finance
A five-point plan for President Biden’s first year
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Multi-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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Real Estate Outlook – Europe, Edition 4 - 2020
Subdued fundamentals persist as the second wave breaks around Europe.
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Responsible Investing Expands Further With Green Convertible Bonds
While investors have been aware of the merits of investing responsibly for a long time, the Covid-19 crisis is likely to increase the focus on ESG principles, which should play a critical role in the emergence from the crisis. In this context, green bond financing has recently spilled over to convertible bonds, with 2020 seeing a record level of new issuance for the asset class.
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Outlook 2021: Private assets
Private assets continue to attract capital as investors seek better returns. We think private markets can continue to deliver, but will increasingly rely on hard-to-access areas and specialist skills.
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US healthcare in a post-pandemic world
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed systemic weaknesses and technological strengths and could speed the kind of progress and change needed for better quality, more accessible and more affordable care. Already, in both the healthcare and IT sectors, leaders and first movers have emerged providing solutions for the medical and social issues the crisis has brought to the fore.
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ECB enters era of informal yield curve and spread control
The ECB is expanding its pro-growth and pro-inflation asset purchases and allowing the buying programme to run for longer. The objective is to safeguard favourable financial conditions as the eurozone grapples with the economic fallout of the COVID crisis. In effect, the ECB is encouraging investors to search for yield, particularly in those markets for risk assets where the ECB is active.