All Commentary articles – Page 115
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White papers
Fixed Income Investment Outlook - Q4 2020
With a sharp market recovery since early in the pandemic, spreads on many fixed income securities have narrowed to close to pre-crisis lows. Economies are generally regaining strength, but their trajectory could be heavily influenced by the coronavirus, the potential for vaccines and political uncertainty.
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The Four U.S. Election Scenarios with Erik Knutzen
As we approach the 2020 U.S. election and its upcoming result, Erik Knutzen, CIO—Multi-Asset Class, dives into the possible scenarios and discusses the economic implications of what could happen with each hypothetical outcome.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 2020
As noted in our previous reports the much-awaited global recovery from the onset of Covid-19 is facing significant headwinds. As the fallout from the crisis becomes clearer in scope and view, ensuing challenges remain daunting. The interplay between the factors will continue to evolve having an effect in the short and medium-term, the monitoring of these relationships will remain at the forefront of future communications.
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Real Estate Debt: Europe’s Developing Opportunity
Barings Real Estate’s Sam Mellor describes the trends underpinning the structural growth of real estate debt in Europe, and compares and contrasts the asset class with other public and private fixed income alternatives.
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Why Tech Bubble Fears are Overdone
The tech sector’s impressive performance and increasing concentration in indexes has led to concerns of expensive valuations—with some fearing that we could be in bubble territory. In our view, such worries are not justified, and we believe tech’s outlook remains healthy.
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White papers
Outlook Upgraded, But Still Not in First Class…
The IMF upgraded their 2020 growth outlook due to better-than-anticipated U.S. and euro area 2Q20 GDP, but noted a long and uneven recovery. Global flash PMIs will likely show differentiation by region next week, and Brexit negotiations are expected to continue into November.
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White papers
From Buddha to Bagehot: how global banks are keeping the liquidity flowing
In previous editions, we have explored asset quality, the value of collateral and capital. This time, Fiorino turns his attention to another core concept of banking – liquidity – and considers how banks are keeping it plentiful amid the coronavirus-induced freeze.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - November 2020
Developments on the virus and vaccine front and the US election are hot topics. Markets are pricing in a glass-half-full scenario, despite the still-alarming infection numbers on the virus front (second wave in Europe and record new cases globally). The interconnection of the three cycles — virus, real economy and financial — continues, but the virus transmission mechanism is changing.
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White papers
Biodiversity in focus in EOS’s Q3 Public Engagement Report
The Q3 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes focuses on three of its expanding engagement themes for 2020 – biodiversity and sustainable land use, fast fashion, and business purpose – all issues brought to the fore by the pandemic.
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White papers
Liquidity trends in the wake of Covid-19: implications for portfolio construction
The Covid-19 crisis has triggered the deepest liquidity squeeze since 2008. Unlike the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), an unprecedented real economy shock led to extremely quick deterioration of financial conditions and showed that, under extreme circumstances, liquidity may dry up not only within risk assets, but also within risk free ones.
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White papers
Investment Impact of 2020 Elections
The 2020 US presidential and congressional elections are fast approaching and the global market outlook is already hazy in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. We are likely to find more policy and political turbulence through Inauguration Day than we have faced in past elections.
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Choosing Trump or Biden
Investors will benefit from supportive policy under either outcome, but the impact on specific industries is much harder to predict.
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Credit investors: delivering into the imperatives of Paris
In this video Anna Karim, Investment Director Fixed Income, and Mitch Reznick, Head of Research and Sustainable Fixed Income, discuss how to decarbonise portfolios within fixed income and the imperative of aligning investment strategies with the Paris Agreement.
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Prime time: How streaming is reshaping film and TV
The last ten years have seen the film and television industry transform beyond recognition. In the latest instalment of our editorial series, Link, experts from our credit and equity teams discuss whether streaming will continue its inexorable reshaping of the media landscape.
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Research Report
The future of offices - The COIMA Perspective October 2020
COIMA expects remote working to become a more structural component of corporates’ organizational frameworks, albeit with varying degrees across different sectors.
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White papers
Investible Trends in Real Estate for 2021 and Beyond
A Barings 360 Webinar on Real Estate Equity
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The day after #12 - Changing shares of labour and capital incomes: what implications for investors?
The share of national income that is distributed to labour vs. capital has fallen to historically low levels in several advanced economies, such as the United States and the United Kingdom. We believe the Covid-19 crisis, along with other factors, will trigger a rebalancing in favour of labour over the next two decades. A reversion to the long-term average ratio of labour and capital in the share of income would probably enhance social and political stability, and would better fit with a consumer-driven growth model.
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White papers
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
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White papers
When the chips are down: the outlook for semiconductors
After a challenging 2019, the semiconductor manufacturing sector was placed under even more pressure by the exogenous shock of the coronavirus pandemic. Yet the industry has staged an impressive recovery and our Global Emerging Markets team retains a positive long-term view on the sector, arguing that technology trends will quickly reheat any cooling demand for global chips.
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White papers
Coronavirus: what now for economies and markets?
It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent.