All White papers articles – Page 33
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White papersPrivate real estate set up for attractive early cycle returns
REITs bottomed in late 2023 — signaling the private real estate bottom in 2024–2025
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White papers2024 Emerging market fixed income outlook: Back with a vengeance
Upon entering a New Year, we find ourselves in a somewhat similar market situation as the end of last year, still hoping for better times for global fixed income assets amid legacy pressures from tight global liquidity, high policy rates, and a strong USD.
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White papersCapital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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White papersEuropean Hotel Sector: 2024 Outlook
The European hotel market rebounded strongly after the COVID-19 pandemic (explore past performance in detail in our first paper in this series).
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White papersMulti-Asset Outlook 2024: Embracing the “Less Exceptional”
After pandemic-era extremes, growth and inflation should approach historical averages in 2024. Here’s how multi-asset investors can respond.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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White papersU.S. Real Estate Market Outlook: Lifting Fog
At the start of 2023, economists believed there was a 63% probability that a recession would occur during the year (many estimated that the U.S. was already in a recession). The path of inflation was uncertain, as was the impact of higher interest rates on consumers and U.S. businesses. The war in Ukraine was also relatively new, causing heightened geopolitical uncertainty and energy market volatility, further pressuring economic growth.
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White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Eurozone: Looking ahead to ECB action
Consumer and business confidence appear to be taking a turn for the better in the eurozone as inflation falls and expectations for interest rate cuts rise. These could help the economy avoid a significant recession.
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White papersFrom ‘smart chemo’ to gene therapy: The innovations transforming healthcare
From the invention of the stethoscope to the discovery of penicillin, many healthcare innovations have supported better health and well-being outcomes. Jasveet Brar, Darshan Rughani and Philip Kemp explore a selection of innovative technologies on the cusp of commercial inflection, with the potential to revolutionise the pharmaceutical and medical device industries specifically.
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White papersIPM monthly blog – Edition January 2024: Our monthly insights into private markets
Interest rates are key for real estate performance and market expectations have been volatile, moving to a higher-for-longer narrative last October as war started in the Middle East, before falling sharply in December following dovish comments from the Fed and then being tempered in January as inflation showed a small uptick.
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White papersNet-zero equities: resilience in an uncharted transition
The year 2023 in some ways brought a return to normality: slowing inflation, stabilising interest rates and, to some extent, more stable energy prices than in 2022. These positive developments fueled the strong performance of equity markets.
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White papersMaking Impact | London
We launched the first report in our ‘Making Impact’ research series to a full house at The British Library, King’s Cross, on 23rd January 2024.
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White papersTreasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
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White papersBullish on bonds
”This cycle of rate hikes may be over, but we don’t anticipate seeing cuts until closer to midyear.”
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White papersRed Sea disruptions: small impact so far, but a risk to watch
”The impact of Red Sea traffic suspensions is more regional than global, but duration will be the key factor to watch. At this stage, it is no game-changer for our outlook.”
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White papersOutlook 2024-2026: Strong Fundamentals Offer Perspective
The real estate investment market has experienced a turbulent year with significantly negative returns. The contrast with the user market is considerable, given the high demand for quality and sustainable real estate.
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White papersListed REITs 2024 Outlook
After lagging equities the past two years, REITs offer an attractive investment opportunity in 2024.
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White papersIs the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
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White papersRob Lovelace on what’s in store for 2024
As we embark on a new year, the challenges ahead are well defined. Interest rates are elevated. Elections are upcoming. And many stock indexes are near all-time highs. Are these events setting the stage for a disappointing pullback or another bull run?
