All Sovereign Bonds articles
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White papers
EM Sovereign Debt: Spreads Are Tight… So What?
A superficial look at EM sovereign spreads suggests they may be too tight to offer attractive upside. We disagree, and here’s why.
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White papers
Biodiversity bonds: the new frontier in fixed income markets
Sovereign, supranational and corporate borrowers are issuing bonds that embed biodiversity protection and restoration goals.
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White papers
EM Debt: Reasons for Optimism, But Risks Remain
The upbeat note on which EM debt entered the year continues to prevail. While tailwinds exist, there is also a myriad of potential risks to navigate in the coming months.
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White papers
Fixed Income Outlook – Be selective on emerging market debt
Given the recent strong performance for emerging market bonds, we have tempered our optimism about the potential for further spread tightening among the higher-rated segments. We remain, however, constructive on the asset class as a whole and still see attractive opportunities among lower-rated sovereign bonds, as well as selected local currency bonds.
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White papers
Fixed income: our medium-term playbook
Macro conditions, fundamentals and sentiment are positive but investors would be wrong to count on a goldilocks scenario. In the Q2 issue of Alphorum, we focus on navigating sovereign and credit markets ahead of an easing cycle and looming maturity wall, paying special attention to capitalising on volatility to lock-in attractive duration and idiosyncratic situations to capture spreads.
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Podcast
A World in Debt: US Treasuries
Guy: Welcome everyone to the “MIM Cuts to the Chase” podcast series. I’m your host, Guy Haselmann, and today we will discuss and unravel the US Treasury Bond market – which I often refer to as “the most important market in the world”. In light of the record-breaking U.S. Treasury issuance and looming large fiscal deficits, I think our discussion here couldn’t be timelier.
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White papers
Fixed Income Roadmap 2024
Given current yield levels, slowing growth, and continued disinflation, fixed income moves into the limelight, offering attractive prospects for investors. Our fixed income game plan visualises just where investors should be looking now.
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White papers
European Sovereign Debt: Is the Periphery a Problem?
Sovereign debt levels soared during the pandemic, and countries at the eurozone’s periphery may look high risk. But appearances can be deceptive.
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White papers
The Monroe Doctrine at 200: Its New Implications for LatAm Assets
We explore the potential evolution of the relationships between Latin American countries and the U.S.
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White papers
360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
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White papers
Labelled bonds: a silver lining from green debt
How has the labelled fixed-income market held up in view of macro events this year? We take a close look to pinpoint areas of strength. In particular, we highlight encouraging signs in the world of green debt, such as the number of repeat issuers among sovereigns.
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White papers
Political Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papers
Emerging Markets Sovereigns 2023: Capturing Alpha Through Differentiation
Investing in Emerging Market (EM) sovereign bonds has been mainstream for nearly 25 years, with the benchmark of choice among investors being the JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI). Over that same period, the entire EM investable universe has grown in breadth and depth to become one of the most intricate in the entire fixed income space.
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White papers
Fixed income: choosing a different rhythm
Increased risk appetite and revived hopes for a soft landing present an interesting question to fixed-income investors: how keenly should they dance to the market’s tune?
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White papers
Emerging markets debt: Stable macro backdrop fuels emerging markets
Emerging markets debt: Stable macro backdrop fuels emerging markets
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Podcast
Emerging Opportunities in Emerging Markets Debt
The Emerging Markets sector has not been immune to today’s market challenges. Between the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war, factors such as the cost of living and food inflation have caused an adverse impact on sovereign balance sheets.
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White papers
US vs European credit: which is more attractive?
Value had a decent 2022 while growth lagged across equity markets. This continued until March 2023, but that trend has recently been reversing. This trade-off is often associated with the relative performance of US and European stocks: US is quality growth and Europe is value, so to speak. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we ask: does the same dynamic apply in credit markets?
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White papers
Deep waves: The sovereign debt wave—an existential threat
The population of workers in mostly high-income countries are shrinking while social costs increase. Franklin Templeton Institute Investment Strategist Kim Catechis focuses on sovereign debt and examines the drivers of these changes and offers conclusions on their investment implications.
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White papers
Global Risks 2023 – Mid-Year Review
Since our last global risks update in January, we believe risks have increased, on balance.
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White papers
Uncut gems: The evolution of ESG in EM sovereign debt
There are few asset classes upon which ESG factors have a more visible and profound impact on financial outcomes than in emerging market sovereign debt. However, effective ESG integration in the space remains inconsistent.