All Sovereign Bonds articles
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White papersMarket Outlook - Fixed income: Monetary policy should bolster markets
Fixed income markets should benefit from continued central bank easing in 2026. We expect lower interest rates in the US as policymakers respond to weaker labour market trends, and lower rates in Europe because of further declines in inflation.
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PodcastTalking Heads – Flexibility in global bonds with absolute return
James McAlevey, Head of Global Aggregate and Absolute Return explains how his team applies the flexibility of an absolute return approach to generate returns regardless of the overall environment in bond markets.
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White papersHigher yields signal fiscal considerations may be back in the spotlight
Rising long-term bond yields reflect growing investor focus on fiscal sustainability, as elevated government debt and deficits re-enter the spotlight and drive cross-market volatility beyond central bank policy shifts.
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VideoPremier Miton Fixed Income update August 2024
Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income, explores the macro forces shaping global bond markets. Highlighting sticky inflation in the US, labour driven inflation pressures in the UK, and Europe’s rising fiscal stimulus from military and infrastructure spending.
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White papersWalls of worry: Europe’s stumble toward debt mutualization
The prospect of greater fiscal union in Europe is a highly contentious subject. In light of recent geopolitical events and the current zeitgeist, Jonathan Gregory considers the likelihood and the practicalities of what various forms of debt mutualization would entail and how they might come about.
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White papersFiscal reckoning: When do bond markets blink?
The era of fiscal complacency may be nearing its end. From Washington to Tokyo, bond markets are showing growing sensitivity to rising sovereign debt levels.
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White papersA 20,000-Foot Perspective: Fiscal Policy Takes the Lead
Recent volatility in traditionally “sleepy” Japanese bonds bears watching as fiscal policy becomes the chief policy lever globally; the country’s role as one of the world’s major creditors means that what happens there could have far-reaching impact.
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White papersEmerging Markets hold steady amid softening US dollar, tariff uncertainty
In April, the volatility in global financial markets seen in March continued to ramp up. Notably, this included US financial markets, which exhibited a general pattern of a softening US dollar and rising bond yields. While some analysts have described this as a “classic emerging market crisis,” as veterans of actual emerging crises dating back to 1994, we consider this a wildly overstated perspective.
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VideoTalking Markets - The Case for Coco’s, May 2025
In this edition of Talking Markets, Head of Fixed Income, Lloyd Harris highlights how contingent capital is fairing in the current environment, discussing the correlation to other asset classes and the fundamentals of banks and insurers in these uncertain times.
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VideoTalking Markets – Fixed Income update, May 2025
How has the bond market reacted to tariffs? In this edition of Talking Markets, Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income at Premier Miton, discusses deglobalisation, inflation, bond issuance, and what this all means for fixed income investors.
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White papersFixed Income 2025: Roadmap
It’s a very dynamic time for fixed income. Get the game plan for 2025’s winners and losers.
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White papersEM leaders drive fiscal policy improvements: EMD report Q1 2025
With sovereign and corporate credit spreads at multi-year lows, we remain constructive on Emerging Market Debt (EMD) in 2025.
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White papersAssessing Sovereigns’ Progress Towards Net Zero for Fixed Income Investors
Is the US on track to achieve net zero emissions by 2050?
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Come what may
Once gain the US bond market will lead global fixed income markets in 2025, with a strong US economy but uncertainty over the new administration’s policies setting the tone. We expect the US economy, over time, to pivot towards structurally slower growth and stickier core inflation. This more ‘stagflationary’ trajectory may result in the Federal Reserve taking a more cautious approach towards further rate cuts.
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White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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White papersBond Voyage: A journey into fixed income
In this summer edition of Bond Voyage, we discuss topical themes in liquidity, emerging-market debt, investment-grade credit and global sovereign bonds.
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White papersEM Debt: Are the Biggest Risks Behind Us?
With many EM elections now behind us, EM debt looks well-positioned heading into the remainder of the year. But with geopolitical tensions continuing to rise, and in the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, a selective approach will be key. Some of the major risks facing emerging markets (EM) debt heading into this year have either passed or subsided. Many EM elections, for instance, are now behind us.
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White papersEM Sovereign Debt: Spreads Are Tight… So What?
A superficial look at EM sovereign spreads suggests they may be too tight to offer attractive upside. We disagree, and here’s why.
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White papersBiodiversity bonds: the new frontier in fixed income markets
Sovereign, supranational and corporate borrowers are issuing bonds that embed biodiversity protection and restoration goals.
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White papersEM Debt: Reasons for Optimism, But Risks Remain
The upbeat note on which EM debt entered the year continues to prevail. While tailwinds exist, there is also a myriad of potential risks to navigate in the coming months.
