All Sovereign Bonds articles – Page 2
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White papersUS vs European credit: which is more attractive?
Value had a decent 2022 while growth lagged across equity markets. This continued until March 2023, but that trend has recently been reversing. This trade-off is often associated with the relative performance of US and European stocks: US is quality growth and Europe is value, so to speak. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we ask: does the same dynamic apply in credit markets?
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White papersGlobal Risks 2023 – Mid-Year Review
Since our last global risks update in January, we believe risks have increased, on balance.
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White papersUncut gems: The evolution of ESG in EM sovereign debt
There are few asset classes upon which ESG factors have a more visible and profound impact on financial outcomes than in emerging market sovereign debt. However, effective ESG integration in the space remains inconsistent.
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White papersA paradigm shift for European debt
Private debt funds are filling the gap left by bank retrenchment, says Sandrine Richard, Head of private debt at Generali Investments Partners
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White papersPM Spotlight: For the Love of the Journey
Manju Boraiah, senior portfolio manager and head of Systematic Edge Fixed Income and custom SMA Investments, has carved a unique path for his career—guided by his two passions, art and math.
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White papersFixed income: performance drivers as peak rates approach
As the US rate-hiking cycle nears its zenith, two positive drivers for fixed-income investment are coming into view: stronger performance prospects for sovereign bonds and the return of the low correlation between duration and credit risk. In the Q2 issue of Alphorum, we assess these dynamics while providing new fundamental and portfolio-construction insights on fallen-angel bonds.
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White papersCutting the Gordian EM Restructuring Knot
Our proposal addresses the current standstill facing EM sovereign debt restructuring as well as improves participants’ incentive to maintain market access following a debt restructuring.
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White papersAn outlook for the sustainable bond market
After a muted year for sustainable bonds in 2022, there are indications that the outlook for 2023 is more upbeat. Malika Takhtayeva and Xuan Sheng Ou Yong discuss what the future might look like for corporate and sovereign use-of-proceeds bonds.
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White papersEmerging markets debt: Valuations appear attractive despite uncertain macro backdrop
Emerging markets (EM) hard and local currency denominated sovereign bonds rose in the fourth quarter of 2022, as a softer-than-expected inflation print in the US and the potential end to China’s zero-COVID policy lured yield seeking investors.
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White papersESG Engagement in Sovereign Debt: Key Questions That Must be Asked
When it comes to emerging markets sovereign debt, successful engagement often comes from asking the right questions and monitoring the right metrics.
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White papersWeakening Growth Outlook to Eventually Favor Euro Rate Risk
European policymakers face a dilemma: continue to hike interest rates to combat inflation or ease off to stimulate growth.
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt: Springtime in January?
With the inflation and geopolitical fogs around the world dissipating, and a monetary policy pivot potentially in the cards, 2023 is shaping up to be a promising year for emerging markets debt.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2022
Tightening monetary policy and slowing economic growth lead us to keep a cautious stance on risk assets, in light of potential liquidity and refinancing issues, particularly in low quality credit. We prefer US IG (over HY) segments and selectively like EM hard currency debt.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2022
Central banks (CBs) are trying to work out how far they should go in terms of their aggressive tightening talk. We see four main factors to consider when assessing whether we will see pivots from CBs: (1) The still strong job market does not support a shift in stance from the Fed.
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White papersSchooling the Sovereigns
Bond markets appear to be disciplining policy inconsistencies, both within sovereigns and among them.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - June 2022
The repricing of a more aggressive Fed stance has been brutal as the 10Y UST yield temporarily reached the 3% threshold, falling close to 2.75% recently on economic growth concerns. We think investors should move towards neutrality on duration in the US and Europe, whereas in credit, they should focus on quality and stay cautious on higher-risk segments in Europe.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - April 2022
We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month. The war in Ukraine could evolve in several ways over the coming weeks (see Ukraine crisis tree) with significant implications on economic and financial markets.
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White papersInvesting Through Climate Risk in Emerging Markets Debt
In this Q&A from the Nordic Fund Selection Journal, Kawtar Ed-Dahmani and Ashwinder Bakhshi discuss where they’re seeing the most material effects from climate change across emerging markets debt today—and what they’re anticipating going forward.
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White papersInvestment View: Off Crutches
The global economy has hit a speed bump, built on the Delta variant and supply chain issues; we expect growth to find a floor in H2, as the fourth Covid wave recedes, and China cautiously eases policy. But supply constraints are proving sticky, and surging commodity prices are a new threat to the consumer outlook. That risk deserves hedging.
