All Sovereign Bonds articles – Page 2
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White papersInvestment Outlook 2026 – The shifting investment landscape
Against a backdrop of volatile geopolitics, tariffs, and policy shifts, the global economy enters 2026 with surprising resilience.
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PodcastTalking Heads – Flexibility in global bonds with absolute return
James McAlevey, Head of Global Aggregate and Absolute Return explains how his team applies the flexibility of an absolute return approach to generate returns regardless of the overall environment in bond markets.
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White papersHigher yields signal fiscal considerations may be back in the spotlight
Rising long-term bond yields reflect growing investor focus on fiscal sustainability, as elevated government debt and deficits re-enter the spotlight and drive cross-market volatility beyond central bank policy shifts.
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White papersWalls of worry: Europe’s stumble toward debt mutualization
The prospect of greater fiscal union in Europe is a highly contentious subject. In light of recent geopolitical events and the current zeitgeist, Jonathan Gregory considers the likelihood and the practicalities of what various forms of debt mutualization would entail and how they might come about.
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White papersFiscal reckoning: When do bond markets blink?
The era of fiscal complacency may be nearing its end. From Washington to Tokyo, bond markets are showing growing sensitivity to rising sovereign debt levels.
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White papersA 20,000-Foot Perspective: Fiscal Policy Takes the Lead
Recent volatility in traditionally “sleepy” Japanese bonds bears watching as fiscal policy becomes the chief policy lever globally; the country’s role as one of the world’s major creditors means that what happens there could have far-reaching impact.
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White papersEM leaders drive fiscal policy improvements: EMD report Q1 2025
With sovereign and corporate credit spreads at multi-year lows, we remain constructive on Emerging Market Debt (EMD) in 2025.
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White papersAssessing Sovereigns’ Progress Towards Net Zero for Fixed Income Investors
Is the US on track to achieve net zero emissions by 2050?
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Come what may
Once gain the US bond market will lead global fixed income markets in 2025, with a strong US economy but uncertainty over the new administration’s policies setting the tone. We expect the US economy, over time, to pivot towards structurally slower growth and stickier core inflation. This more ‘stagflationary’ trajectory may result in the Federal Reserve taking a more cautious approach towards further rate cuts.
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White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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White papersBond Voyage: A journey into fixed income
In this summer edition of Bond Voyage, we discuss topical themes in liquidity, emerging-market debt, investment-grade credit and global sovereign bonds.
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White papersEM Debt: Are the Biggest Risks Behind Us?
With many EM elections now behind us, EM debt looks well-positioned heading into the remainder of the year. But with geopolitical tensions continuing to rise, and in the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election, a selective approach will be key. Some of the major risks facing emerging markets (EM) debt heading into this year have either passed or subsided. Many EM elections, for instance, are now behind us.
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White papersEM Sovereign Debt: Spreads Are Tight… So What?
A superficial look at EM sovereign spreads suggests they may be too tight to offer attractive upside. We disagree, and here’s why.
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White papersEM Debt: Reasons for Optimism, But Risks Remain
The upbeat note on which EM debt entered the year continues to prevail. While tailwinds exist, there is also a myriad of potential risks to navigate in the coming months.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Be selective on emerging market debt
Given the recent strong performance for emerging market bonds, we have tempered our optimism about the potential for further spread tightening among the higher-rated segments. We remain, however, constructive on the asset class as a whole and still see attractive opportunities among lower-rated sovereign bonds, as well as selected local currency bonds.
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PodcastA World in Debt: US Treasuries
Guy: Welcome everyone to the “MIM Cuts to the Chase” podcast series. I’m your host, Guy Haselmann, and today we will discuss and unravel the US Treasury Bond market – which I often refer to as “the most important market in the world”. In light of the record-breaking U.S. Treasury issuance and looming large fiscal deficits, I think our discussion here couldn’t be timelier.
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White papersEuropean Sovereign Debt: Is the Periphery a Problem?
Sovereign debt levels soared during the pandemic, and countries at the eurozone’s periphery may look high risk. But appearances can be deceptive.
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White papers360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papersEmerging Markets Sovereigns 2023: Capturing Alpha Through Differentiation
Investing in Emerging Market (EM) sovereign bonds has been mainstream for nearly 25 years, with the benchmark of choice among investors being the JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI). Over that same period, the entire EM investable universe has grown in breadth and depth to become one of the most intricate in the entire fixed income space.
