Outlooks – Page 42
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White papersUkraine: one year on but no end in sight
After 12 months of fighting further action is needed from the west to prevent a balance-of-payments crisis and to support the reconstruction costs faced by Ukraine
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White papersRoving recession to staggered recovery?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersStagflation Haze
The world is grappling with a combination of once in a generation shocks, producing an uncertain and complex economic landscape.
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White papersAhead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Read the latest views from our Chief Economist Silvia Dall’Angelo as she outlines three scenarios that could influence markets in the coming months.
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White papersTime Series Forecasting with Transformer Models and application for Asset Management
Since its introduction in 2017 (Vaswani et al., 2017), the Transformer model has excelled in a wide range of tasks involving natural language processing and computer vision.
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White papersPensions Watch | Issue 24: What’s been happening and what’s on the Horizon in the world of pensions
With the inexorable rise of Defined Contribution (DC) schemes and the continued closure of Defined Benefit (DB) schemes to new members and future accrual, suggestions that DB is dead are ever present. However, with funded DB schemes accounting for around 80% of UK pension assets, most of which are not going to buyout just yet, DB is very much alive and kicking.
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White papersCOP 27: outcomes, opportunities and emerging markets
The expectations for COP 27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, were lower than for the landmark COP 26 in Glasgow in late 2021. And although world leaders at COP 27 reaffirmed their commitments to expanding clean energy deployment – despite the near-term energy crisis caused by the Ukraine conflict – they did not deliver much action on climate change.
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White papersPrivate credit – from niche to mainstream?
For more than a decade, both corporate and consumer borrowers benefited from low interest rates and a very low cost of capital. As the global economic backdrop continues to adjust to the activity of central banks and the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, investors are seeking ways to ensure that their portfolios are adequately positioned in order to meet their long-term risk and performance goals, write Jo Waldron and Karen Lam at M&G Investments.
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White papersPrivate debt: aligning investment needs with the means to deliver
An asset class that is now a core part of institutional portfolios, Mercer’s Private Debt offering combines expertise and opportunities to deliver amid a complex macro environment
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2023
“The dichotomy between the real economy and markets is increasing even as the earnings outlook is getting weak, leading us to be sceptical of the risk rally.”
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White papersThe soaraway rebound of global tourism
Global air traffic forecast to reach pre-Covid levels this year, boosted by the reopening of China.
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White papersTractor Beams: Satellite Tech and Precision Agriculture
As the global population increases and with more mouths to feed, could the answer to food insecurity lie in space?
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White papersEliminating the Improbable
With a fresh surge of inflation increasingly unlikely, the market outlook is far better than it was a year ago.
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White papersLatin American Equities: More Than Meets the Eye
Despite the uncertain global macro backdrop, the combination of long-term structural trends and attractive current valuations is presenting a compelling opportunity in Latin American equities.
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White papersUnderstanding scope 3: How responsible investors can wrestle with the unruliest of emissions
On one level, it is easy to understand the scale of emissions from a company’s operations. If a factory is pumping out millions of plastic widgets, we can measure the greenhouse gases (GHGs) produced as it does so, and the emissions linked to the energy used to make them. However, things can get a little murkier when we look up or down the value chain, perhaps at the customers putting their shiny new widget to use in the real world.
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White papersResponsible Investment Quarterly Q4 2022
2022 was a difficult year with multiple crises, most of which have had both short- and long-term implications for our responsible investment themes: a geopolitical conflict, hyperinflation in energy prices, the lingering effects of the pandemic, and talent turnover
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White papersAI Chatbots Rewrite Code for Technology Sector’s Future
ChatGPT has ignited the world’s imagination about the power of artificial intelligence (AI). As science fiction is transformed into applications with real business potential, we may be on the cusp of a new product cycle that breathes new life into the technology sector after a harsh year for investors.
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White papersA year of war in Ukraine: accelerating the energy transition and fragmentation
The West’s recent decision to send battle tanks to Ukraine to counteract a renewed Russian offensive increases the risk of a direct escalation with the West, while the likelihood of a protracted war remains somewhat higher. At the same time, most modern conflicts end in negotiations when both sides are sufficiently exhausted, and we consider the possibility of a ceasefire towards the end of 2023 and heading into 2024 is currently underappreciated.
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White papersMixed messages. Messy markets.
When macroeconomic data give mixed messages about the path ahead, markets are bound to become more challenging. That could be a good opportunity for using volatility to position for an eventual recovery.
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White papersWhy Securitized & Why Now: $12.5 Trillion Market Goes on Sale
Today’s securitized market presents a rare opportunity to add diversification via an asset class with the potential to provide defensive opportunities with outsized returns.
