Outlooks – Page 27
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2024
After two years of aggressive tightening, global central banks pivoted in December. We expect some growth in the coming quarters, albeit subdued compared to history. With inflation easing, most global economies are off to a good start for the year. Yet, things can, and do, change quickly.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
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White papersHealthcare investing - 2024 outlook brighter on compelling valuations and easing headwinds
2023 was a tough year for healthcare investing, resulting in the sector lagging the broader indices by the widest margin since 1999. We believe the outlook for 2024 is much more favourable as the sector’s valuation is highly compelling, while many of the headwinds are abating.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2024
Topic of the Month - Europe: time for fiscal consolidation
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White papersDecoding the AI opportunity
In 2023, we saw significant future value creation from artificial intelligence pulled forward and reflected in share prices of companies set to benefit from this multi-generational opportunity.
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White papersCorporate Credit Outlook 2024: High Tide for Yield?
Weakening economic fundamentals shouldn’t scare away corporate bond investors in 2024—provided they keep a close eye on credit quality.
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White papersPoll Positioning
Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook: 1Q 2024
“One of the lessons to take from 2023 is that markets can defy apparently soft fundamentals for much longer than one might expect.”
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Evolution and Opportunity
Private credit has in a little more than a decade evolved from a niche asset class to a key component of a diversified investment portfolio. We think it will be even more important in 2024 as banks’ reluctance to lend widens the opportunity set for investors.
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White papersOutlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Three Questions for Investors in 2024
It’s hard to chart a course through equity markets in times of uncertainty. Here are our thoughts on some of the big questions on investors’ minds today.
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White papersWhat has 2024 got in store for DB pensions and how will fiduciary management evolve?
For a pensions market that is all but closed to new members, you would be forgiven for perhaps expecting defined benefit (DB) pension schemes to be taking it easy. In reality this couldn’t be further from the truth. Mansion House reforms, increasing numbers of bulk annuity deals, and consolidation, all set against the backdrop of the upcoming General Election, mean that 2024 is set to be a year with many twists and turns.
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White papersOne Size Doesn’t Fit AI
Custom Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) chips could reshape the technology sector.
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White papersJapan’s equities surfing on the end of deflation
”Japanese equities may further benefit from the major transformations in the country’s economy and markets.”
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2024
”While the year-end rally may offer some tactical opportunities, we keep a sightly cautious view on equities as markets are priced for a Goldilocks scenario.”
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White papersAn Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papersMacro Outlook 2024: The intangible cycle
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersKey Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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White papers2024 investment outlook: Selectivity remains the key
Views from the TIAA General Account: What are your expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates in 2024?
