Latest White Papers – Page 32
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White papersEquity Market Outlook: 3Q 2025
We maintain our belief that economic growth is likely to slow, but that a severe U.S. downturn appears unlikely. Against this backdrop, we remain constructive on global equity markets heading into the second half of 2025 and highlight potentially more attractive opportunities.
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White papersThe reality of risk: Unearthed opportunity in growth equity impact
Growth equity impact supports enterprises poised to solve critical societal and environmental challenges. Concerned about an emerging funding gap, M&G Investments has partnered with Phenix Capital Group, a leading global impact investing consulting group, to explore the reasons this gap exists and the implications. Combining M&G research with the Phenix Impact Database, we present a data based analysis of this critical issue.
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White papersIn Conversation – Navigating the shifting landscape of private debt
Against a backdrop of wider macroeconomic uncertainty, investment in private credit in Europe continues to grow, supported by a broadening range of asset classes as well as welcome regulatory developments. Here, our infrastructure investment experts discuss their views on the road ahead for infrastructure investing.
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White papersSummer Twists: Tax Cuts, Tariffs, and Treasuries
As expected, the 2017 tax cuts are being made permanent. Additional cuts are also being introduced, including an exemption on tips and overtime, deductions for seniors, and an increase in the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap from $10,000 to $40,000 (this allows households, in particular, to deduct their property taxes from their federal income tax).
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July-August 2025
“While the OBBBA’s tax cuts may stimulate the US economy in the short run, rising trade tariffs this summer could limit gains. The bill also heightens medium-term growth risks.”
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White papersAntifragile? Renewable energy infrastructure after the One Big Beautiful Bill
Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better.
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White papersThe Hidden Edge: Why Granular European Assets Hold the Key to Outperformance
In today’s complex and fragmented European real estate market, opportunities are available if you are able to recognise them and are willing to do the hard work. But to see and recognise them you need to have your “boots on the ground,” your “hands on the data,” and your “head in the realities of the local market’s engine rooms.” In Germany, particularly, I’ve come to see that the greatest value is not just found but created, through rigorous granular origination and disciplined active asset management. That is the strategy we’ve embraced at Arrow Global, and it’s one I believe that offers the best chances of value creation.
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White papersHigh Yield: Keep Calm & “Carry” On
The global economic landscape remains in flux as investors navigate a complex mix of resilient data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical tension. In the U.S., recession probabilities have receded but not disappeared. While hard data—such as employment and consumption—has held up, soft indicators continue to flash caution. Inflation remains sticky in places, and the full impact of recently introduced tariffs has yet to be felt. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve appears content to remain on hold, awaiting further clarity before adjusting policy.
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White papersPrivate credit: how technology can drive efficiencies
We’ve seen the growth in the private credit market, what are some of the key drivers?
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White papersThe changing world of institutional credit
The traditional boundaries between public and private lending are rapidly dissolving, creating new opportunities – and new challenges – for investors.
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White papersGlobal Risks 2025 Midyear Update
In our Global Risks 2025 Midyear Update, our Macro Strategy team outlines four key topics that could shape investment conditions ahead—from tariffs and trade tensions to monetary policy shifts and the U.S.-China relationship. The update provides key macroeconomic forecasts across the U.S., Eurozone, UK, Japan and China—plus timely insights on fiscal stimulus, inflation risks and geopolitical fragilities.
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White papersJapanese equities: Learning to navigate a new equilibrium
The Japanese equity market has largely drifted sideways over the past 12 months, following a powerful run in 2023 and early 2024.
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White papersLDI H2 Outlook
In the current market phase, one common feature within LDI players has been to adopt a cautious approach towards the long end of the curve. In fact, the magnitude of the global yield curve steepening trend seen across major developed markets, driven by monetary policy, growth, and fiscal sustainability, coupled with supply/demand, has proved to be a fundamental disincentive to buy long dated assets, and this trend is expected to continue.
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White papersBuilding advantage: Finding a competitive edge in European high yield real estate debt
While opportunities in European high yield real estate debt remain, growing competition underscores the need for deep market expertise, a robust underwriting framework, and disciplined deal selection to identify and capture resilient value.
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White papersA Weaker Dollar? It May Be Time to Get Used to It
Policy shifts may create an incentive to diversify.
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White papersGlobal Corporate Bonds: A good time to bolster defensive allocations
This year, financial markets have often seemed like a rollercoaster. Prices have whipsawed as investors have attempted to price heightened geopolitical risk and President Donald Trump’s America first approach to global trade.
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White papersPositioning for tomorrow: Top 10 with… Interview with Edoardo Rulli
The hedge fund industry has entered a new chapter. Against a backdrop of elevated volatility, macroeconomic divergence, and shifting liquidity conditions, investors are increasingly turning to hedge funds as a potential source of resilience and return.
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White papersGlobal equities rally despite major headwinds
Global equities delivered strong results in the second quarter of 2025. Non-U.S. benchmarks generated double-digit gains, led by emerging markets (EM), with returns amplified by a weakening U.S. dollar. U.S. equities overcame a steep decline in early April following the Trump administration’s Liberation Day announcement of tariffs on U.S. trading partners.
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White papersEnvisioning a post-Powell Fed: What comes next?
With characteristic directness, President Trump has expressed dissatisfaction in recent weeks with the job performance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Serious or not, this kind of talk has investors speculating on what’s next for the US central bank and what a changing of the guard could mean for the economy and markets — whether that change comes at the end of Powell’s term as chair in May 2026 or sooner.
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White papers2025 Alternative Credit insights: Advancing diversification
The alternative credit market has seen significant growth since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), and the increasing appetite for asset classes beyond direct lending demonstrates investors looking for similar growth stories in other markets.
