Latest Manager Research – Page 148
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White papersReal Asset Insight May/June, Sustainable transition
Up to now, sustainability has hardly been an issue when acquiring or leasing a logistics property. That is now changing – which poses a number of challenges for the real estate sector.
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White papersReal Deal Interview: Matt Scholl
“The sector is an ideal and timely diversifier to our sizable US Portfolio” - Matthew Scholl, Executive Director and Head of Investment Management Americas at Union Investment, regarding the attractiveness of the US Multifamily market.
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White papersWhere Will Job Markets Be Tightest?
Waiting for the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate to rebound? Demographic trends and the graying population will likely make a full return difficult to achieve.
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White papersThe Bull Case for Next Year: It Won’t be Worse Than This Year
It’s not a pretty outlook, but it’s important to keep thinking at least one or two moves ahead.
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White papersECB meeting: bold rate hike; watch out for more to come
What is your take on the September ECB meeting and what could the next steps be?
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White papersReassessing the view on Europe: hot questions for investors
Is stagflation a highly likely scenario, or will the European economy enter a recession this year? How will governments respond?
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White papersThe challenges that lie ahead - can investing in infrastructure help?
Particularly during the height of the pandemic and ensuing lockdowns, infrastructure debt proved to be resilient as an asset class. Despite lockdowns shutting down businesses and many aspects of society, specific sectors such as renewables, telecommunications and utilities continued to perform through the provision of essential services.
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White papersSustainability in private markets: real estate, private equity and private credit
In the trifecta of lower interest rates, lower returns, and a growing shift away from public markets, we believe alternative asset classes offer strong potential to support investors’ needs for diversification and uncorrelated returns. This paper digs into how to measure and manage the impact that ESG factors can have on the value of these securities.
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White papersInsights into private markets (IPM)
Insights into Private Markets (IPM) is our next generation Real Estate Outlook (REO). IPM uncovers key insights across real estate, infrastructure, food & agriculture, private equity and private credit.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - September 2022
United States: The H1 contraction will be followed by a protracted period of sub-par growth, but the ongoing deceleration is so far not yet due to Fed tightening; cracks are appearing in an apparently strong labour market, and we expect the lack of productivity to cause a labour market correction.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - September 2022
We have reviewed the content and probabilities of our scenarios. First of all, we have included in our central scenario some of the risks that are materialising (e.g. stagflation in Europe) and that were previously included in our downside scenario.
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White papersLatAm elections cycles wrapping up: politics and policy transitions in full swing of uncertainty
LatAm’s dramatic elections calendar that landed three leftist presidents in the Andean region might be two-thirds over, but the political and policy uncertainty created by these election results is far from it. Chile and Colombia are expanding the size and role of the state, while intense political and macro conditions have forced yet another and a big-time government reshuffle in Peru and Argentina, respectively.
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White papersTaiwan: depicting the unthinkable
Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine has focused investors’ minds on the Taiwan issue and the People’s Republic of China’s potential approach to it. We believe that the risk of war remains low.
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White papersQ2 earnings season – strong results helped support the summer rally
The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August. However, the results are of ‘low quality’ and are not a reason to turn bullish on equities. Ultimately, margins coming down from very high levels should drive the earnings downturn in our view.
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White papersRational inattention at the core of central bank strategy
The origins of inflation are not always well understood. While some economists had warned of impending inflation as early as last year, few had anticipated the dramatic shift in spending from services to goods and the effects of such a shift. The fact that inflation expectations remain subdued is likely due to rational inattention. In the absence of monetary tightening, we believe that inflation expectations would inevitably get de-anchored.
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White papersThe Climate Has Changed for Infrastructure
Following a year of starkly revealed vulnerabilities in water, energy and supply-chain assets, some game-changing legislation suggests that governments are finally getting serious about infrastructure investment.
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White papersHow can investors aid pandemic resilience?
Covid-19 taught us important lessons on pandemic preparedness. How can we plan for the future, and how can investors help bolster resilience against future pathogens? Alexander Bernhardt and Delphine Riou explore.
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White papersCould emerging markets be more vulnerable to rising food costs?
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income team look at the significance of food prices and the history of profound changes that previous price shocks have brought with them.
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White papersMunicipal bond sectors: resilient in times of uncertainty
Many investors are concerned about the potential for a prolonged economic downturn. If that were to happen, municipal credit should show resilience, due to unprecedented federal pandemic stimulus support, strong reserves and revenue collections, and the ability to adjust budgets.
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White papersClean water solutions for a thirsty world
Natural capital includes all of the earth’s natural resources including freshwater reserves and aquatic ecosystems. Demand for water is increasing just as its supply is being degraded by urbanisation, plastic waste, mismanagement of agricultural chemicals and thermal pollution. We make the case for investing in water solutions to help preserve this vital aspect of natural capital as one of the engines of our economy.
