Fixed Income – Page 38
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2022
Recent sharp increase in nominal and real yields has been reflected in strong movements in equity markets, causing a rotation out of growth into value stocks. We think the uncertainty (Covid, geopolitics) would continue as markets assess the path of inflation, economic growth and monetary policy.
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White papers
Russia-Ukraine tensions: geopolitical risk adds volatility to risk assets
Geopolitical dimension of the crisis: tensions stand at their highest point in years, after Moscow deployed 100,000 troops to its border with the Ukraine’s Donbas region. The geopolitical risk between Russia and the West remains deadlocked since Russia’s 2014 annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula and the consequent Western sanctions to Russia.
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Untapped potential: Harnessing the full power of bondholder engagement
Investor influence has long been confined to that of equity shareholders. Yet bondholders wield a lot of power. Can they harness it for positive change?
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Jeromicron: Markets Face a One-Two Punch
Preliminary Markit PMIs in the U.S. show Omicron weighed on consumer demand, labor supply, and supply chain disruptions in January. The composite PMI fell from 57 to 50.8—its lowest level in 18 months; declines were seen in services and manufacturing.
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives - January 2022
Global economic growth looks likely to continue in 2022, albeit at a more modest pace. The COVID-19 pandemic does, however, add uncertainty to the outlook, as evidenced by the recent emergence of the Omicron variant.
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White papers
Resiliency in a time of heightened volatility
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Glenn Voyles and Matt Fey expect 2022 to be a year where credit selection regains importance.
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Wormhole intelligence shows investors pulled in different directions by market gravity over 2021-22
This just in: The Interstellar Express reports that a vast cache of data has been recovered from Quantum Gravity Well (QGW) 3.14159 that could shed new light on an ancient, defunct civilisation.
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Investing in 2022: Four key market drivers
The pandemic and rising inflation were prevailing drivers of markets in 2021. But the economic squeeze which dominated 2020 finally started to loosen its grip, as the world started to get back to something resembling ‘normality’ in the second half of last year.
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White papers
Winners of the Italian Recovery Plan (With or Without Draghi)
Which sectors stand to benefit the most from Italy’s Recovery and Resilience Plan, and what impact, if any, will the country’s next president have on efforts to implement the plan?
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White papers
Money and its velocity matter: the great comeback of the quantity equation of money in an era of regime shift
The velocity of money (V) depends on P = the general price level, T = the total amount of goods and services produced and M = the total amount of money in circulation, and can be expressed by the formula V = PT/M.
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White papers
The Yin and Yang of 2022
Brandywine Global: As the US and China prepare to move in opposite directions, investors should position for potential policy divergence.
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White papers
Four insurance portfolio allocation themes for 2022 and beyond
In today’s investment landscape, how can insurers effectively construct investment portfolios to achieve their targets and balance a range of unique requirements? This paper looks at four allocation themes we believe are most relevant to insurance portfolios.
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White papers
Inflation, central banks and rising rates – Q&A with Andrew Cormack
It feels as though US policy makers have spent the entire post-global financial crisis period trying to generate inflation. Now that it’s here, it seems like the wrong kind of inflation. How do you see inflation playing out in the US?
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White papers
No immediate storm ahead, but insurers should use the lull to build portfolio resilience
Lingering COVID-19-related supply-side disruptions, alongside a significant rebound in consumer demand, are producing supply bottlenecks and an inflation rate not seen for decades.
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White papers
Pensions Investment Outlook: Challenges and Opportunities
There are several uncertainties in the economic and market outlook that are important for pension funds. The most significant of these revolves around interest rates and whether the global economy is strong enough to cope with further potential COVID-19 related disruptions.
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White papers
From Rates & Inflation to ESG: What’s Next for IG Credit?
Despite heightened risks, IG corporate bonds remain supported by an improving economy and robust corporate fundamentals.
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High Yield on Solid Footing Despite Omicron, Inflation & Hawkish Fed
The emergence of a new COVID-19 variant and the prospect of higher interest rates have not eroded high yield’s solid fundamental backdrop.
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White papers
EM Debt: Navigating the Noise
Possible U.S. rate hikes, Omicron, and China are causes for concern, but select opportunities exist across sovereign, corporate and local debt.
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White papers
Kazakhstan: low impact for asset prices, but a wakeup call for geopolitical risk
On 2 January, protests began in western Kazakhstan triggered by a sharp rise in fuel costs, but reflecting broader political discontent. The almost immediate response from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO, a Russian version of NATO) shows the close relationship between the Russian and Kazakhstan governments.
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White papers
Resilient multi-asset portfolios in an inflationary regime
Inflation dynamics drive monetary policy and financial market trends and play a key role in portfolio construction. Therefore, the ex-ante identification of a possible shift in the inflationary regime is needed to fine tune multi-asset portfolios.