Amundi Asset Management

2019 Top 400 ranking: 9http://www.amundi.com

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Amundi

Focus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets

Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:

1. From economic deceleration to where? It is time to look at where the economy is heading after the synchronised slowdown that the market has now priced in. A global economic recession is not the central scenario.

2. Fed pausing or continuing rate rises? We do not share the view of some that the Fed will stay on hold from now on, even despite tightening financial conditions, as wage pressures have not disappeared and the Fed’s credibility would be damaged if the market should perceive it as holding back as a result of recent political interference.

3. EMs: perfect storm or a recovery story? EMs have suffered multiple headwinds –higher US rates, the strong USD and idiosyncratic stories. The outlook could stabilise in H1 and improve later on amid a more dovish Fed. Our central scenario sees a soft landing in China as achievable, given the available policy space. Idiosyncratic factors (especially in Latam) and the global trade outlook will be crucial.

Read the complete white paper at the link beneath Related Files

Head Office
90, boulevard Pasteur
Paris
75015
France
Company website:
http://www.amundi.com
Year Founded:
2010
No. of investment offices worldwide:
6

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  • Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth

    Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth

    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

    Trade tensions re-escalated during the summer. Starting on 1 September, the US Administration introduced new tariffs and China retaliated simultaneously. More tariffs are likely from the US side, including an increase in tariffs already in place from 25% to 30% and new tariffs on the last tranche of imported goods from China. Concerning extra-tariffs measures, in August the temporary licences granted to US companies to operate with Huawei were extended upon their expiration but, so ...

  • Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

    Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now.

  • Global Investment Views - September 2019

    Global Investment Views - September 2019

    White papersWed, 4 Sep 2019

    Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now. 

  • domestic focus to exploit emerging markets equity opportunities

    Domestic focus to exploit Emerging Markets equity opportunities

    White papersSun, 1 Sep 2019

    The emerging markets (EM) universe has experienced significant changes in the last decade with the further addition of investible countries (i.e. China A shares in 2018).

  • Fed And Ecb, Bridging From A “Mid-Cycle Adjustment” To An “Impactful And Significant” Package.

    White papersTue, 27 Aug 2019

    The minutes from the latest ECB meeting suggest that the ECB is likely to proceed with a full set of measures in September, confirming not only the indications from President Draghi following the meeting but also the very latest statements by Olly Rehn, calling for the need for an “impactful and significant” package.

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