All Commodities articles
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White papersTensions flare amid fragile ceasefire
Tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced, underscoring the “fragile” nature of the recent de-escalation. The latest round of attacks may be tied to Iran’s effort to preserve its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Trump may become more willing to escalate tensions while oil prices remain subdued. Still, both sides have reasons to remain at the negotiation table, as the US approaches midterm elections and Iran would benefit from economic relief.
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White papersThe Search for Growth
The U.S. economy approaches midyear facing an old-fashioned potential macroeconomic spoiler: an energy price shock.
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PodcastGeopolitics and the economy: How war-triggered oil price shock was largely avoided
Dire predictions about possible catastrophic impacts of the Iran conflict on oil prices – and thus on the global economy – appear to have largely proven unfounded. Thijs Van de Graaf, Professor of International Energy Politics at Ghent University, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the range of factors that have mitigated the effects of the war.
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White papers2026 Midyear Multi-Asset Outlook: From AI Promise to Delivery
At the beginning of 2026, we were anticipating a year when market leadership would pivot back to the U.S., given that global growth drivers remained narrowly focused on AI and largely U.S.-based. Taiwan and Korea supply much of the chips that drive AI, and several mega-caps from these two countries have almost single-handedly pulled emerging markets into the winners’ circle.
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White papersMulti-Asset Investments Views: Midnight oil
SpaceX’s initial public offering saw the company valued at about $1.8 trillion, which propelled it into the world’s top 10 firms by market capitalisation. It marked a pivotal moment for public equity markets and the artificial intelligence ecosystem.
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White papersMidstream infrastructure: Essential assets in an undersupplied energy system
Widely viewed as a sector in decline only a few years ago, midstream infrastructure is benefiting from stronger demand, renewed investment and expanding opportunities to both acquire and monetize assets.
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White papersMid-year Investment Outlook 2026
The global economy is at an inflection point. We see growth slowing unevenly and fiscal policy becoming a more visible constraint. Meanwhile, inflation risks are rising as geopolitical shocks increasingly affect energy prices, food and fertiliser costs, and shipping routes. Still, artificial intelligence (AI) remains a strong earnings driver across regions and, increasingly, across sectors.
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White papersCIO Weekly: U.S.-Iran Deal—Key Questions for Markets
The U.S.-Iran deal and possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have brought some relief to markets and policymakers, but it’s not a resolution and important questions remain.
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White papersOil: Too Calm, Too Soon?
Oil prices have eased from recent highs, but does that mean the market is back to normal? In this Fixed on Bonds blog, Premier Miton’s Kishan Paun looks at why underlying supply constraints, inventory rebuilding, and ongoing disruption across the energy complex may still matter for investors. This is a marketing communication.
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White papersA Sea Change for Commodity Prices: Why Markets appear to be Underpricing El Niño Risks
As El Niño’s return threatens to add food price inflation to existing supply disruptions, we see a strong case for investors to increase commodity allocations.
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White papersThe growing role of capex in inflation dynamics
Last week’s inflation report, and expectations of a U.S.-Iran agreement, have eased inflation concerns. However, the inflation outlook is not defined by oil dynamics alone. AI capex, combined with rising global expenditures on defense and energy security, is reinforcing demand for commodities, suggesting a durable capex cycle could lift producer costs and put upward pressure on inflation in the near term. Against this backdrop, investors can seek thematic exposure while building resilience against inflation.
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White papersCIO Weekly: Can the U.S. Consumer’s Resilience Last?
With so much in geopolitics and markets to be distracted by, the importance of the U.S. consumer can be easily overlooked. In our view, it’s time the consumer came back into focus.
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White papersMacro outlook: Growth hinges on Iran war, AI rollout
Global economic growth is coming under pressure due to the Iran war, rising oil prices and ongoing trade disputes, but one powerful engine is more than making up for it: AI-related investment spending.
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White papersAsia Pacific real estate outlook – Edition June 2026
Uncertainty tightens its grip on markets
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White papersFarmland: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
As energy prices ripple through global agriculture, investors are questioning farmland’s resilience. Dan Murray, Head of Farmland, cuts through the noise, explaining why rising input costs may test farmers in the short term, but need not derail the long-term strength and value of well-structured farmland investments.
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White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
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White papersInfrastructure: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Renewables – leading the charge
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White papersMay CPI report: War impact remains contained, allowing the Fed to stay on hold
Today’s inflation report reflects ongoing price pressures tied to the Middle East conflict, though the impact remains relatively contained. Headline inflation, primarily driven by energy, rose 0.5% in May, as expected, lifting the annual rate to 4.2%, the highest in over three years. However, inflation concerns were eased by goods deflation and a lower-than-expected Core CPI reading of 0.2%. Even so, the fluid situation in the Middle East suggests the risk of higher energy prices for longer, along with second-round inflation impacts, persists.
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White papersInflation Squeezes Consumers and Producers Alike
Inflation isn’t just a headline, it’s spreading through the supply chain. Energy costs are lifting producer and import prices, increasing the risk of persistent inflation. Even if energy pressures ease, underlying inflationary momentum is likely to remain.
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White papersScale matters: navigating EM oil credit in volatile markets
Spiking high oil prices create regional winners and losers.
