All Commodities articles
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White papers
Geopolitics in focus as NATO leaders meet
Invest globally, look for potential opportunities in emerging markets, and balance equities with government bonds to navigate uncertainty from US elections and geopolitical hotspots.
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White papers
A new window of vulnerability opens in the second half of the year
Investors must assess evolving risks to adjust positions and implement hedging options.
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White papers
Mid-Year Outlook 2024 It’s all about confidence
Restrictive monetary policies and fading fiscal expansion are curbing growth and inflation in major economies. Recessions look unlikely but central banks are starting on a new cycle of rate cuts at a time of divergent growth rates, sticky price pressures, constrained fiscal policy and rising geopolitical risks. Despite the uncertain outlook, markets in some regions are priced for the best outcome. We therefore favour asset allocations that can withstand different scenarios.
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White papers
French markets amid snap elections
“Political uncertainty can amplify short term market movements. However, markets tend to recover once the political situation clarifies and the focus comes back to corporate earnings.”
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White papers
Global Investment Views - June 2024
“Expectations of monetary easing by central banks may support areas that show earnings resilience and are attractively priced.”
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Webinar
Webcast – Unpacking recent global economic trends
In this second webcast in our Global Macro Views series, economists from our Macro Research & Investment Strategy team give their views on topics including the outlook for a resilient US economy and the effects of November’s election on interest rate policy. They discuss the signs of an economic pick-up in the eurozone economy and the chances of growth in China hitting Beijing’s 5% target.
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White papers
Silver: where beauty meets conductivity
Long prized for its aesthetic qualities, silver is also highly malleable and durable, and it is an excellent conductor. Growing use in industrial applications is fueling demand for this precious metal as the energy transition progresses.
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White papers
Zambia: A Resource-Rich Copper Giant Awakens
Boasting Africa’s second-largest reserves of copper, Zambia has a unique opportunity to leverage its natural resource endowment and make real progress on the road to development. Despite some near-term challenges, we believe this landlocked nation in Southern Africa is on the rise, tackling debt, investing in its future, and capitalizing on its abundant resources.
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White papers
Hot Commodities
We think the asset class stands to benefit from our base scenario, while having the potential to outperform and act as a hedge should tail risks be realized.
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White papers
What is making the gold market run so hot?
An intriguing recent development in financial markets is the surge in gold prices. It is particularly striking given that gold did little to protect investors from the effects of accelerating inflation over the past two years. So why rally now? A complex interplay of known and potentially unknown factors makes the gold rally fascinating to analyse – and we focus on the metal in this week’s Simply put.
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White papers
Regulation set to supercharge push on plastics
Voluntary plastic goals have yielded little meaningful change on plastic production and recycling. But forthcoming regulatory changes will heighten both the risks and opportunities companies – and investors – must navigate.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”
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White papers
Gold: “Things are now in motion that cannot be undone…”
A false sense of security as the economic cycle appears to be returning to ‘normal’. It’s not.
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White papers
The economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papers
Gold has been shining bright this year
”Expectations of a Fed pivot to cut rates likely drove the recent, sharp surge in gold. Now, geopolitical risks and concerns over lack of fiscal prudence from governments could support the demand for metals.”
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White papers
The Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
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White papers
Commodities of the future: the metals vital to energy transition
When investors consider metals exposure in their portfolios, they might once have focused on gold, silver and platinum. Today, more common metals are becoming increasingly important because they will play a vital role in the energy transition.
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White papers
What is keeping rates volatility high?
Volatility in fixed income markets remains elevated while it has normalised almost everywhere else. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we ask why has bond volatility remained stubbornly high?
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - February 2024
Disruption in the Red Sea is prompting speculation around inflationary shocks just as in the Covid era So, what differs today from the post Covid experience to make the impact more micro than macro and more regional and sector specific than global?
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2024
Topic of the Month - Japan equity: top performer in 2023; remains attractive option for 2024