All Commodities articles
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Balancing uncertainty and optimism
The economic data in 2023 was better than expected: inflation fell, employment remained resilient and we didn’t end up in recession – in fact growth was impressively resilient.
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Gold Demand Trends Q3 2023
Central banks gold buying maintained a historic pace but fell short of the Q3’22 record. Jewellery demand softened slightly in the face of high gold prices, while the investment picture was mixed.
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The Ubiquity of Plastic Packaging and its Investment Implications
Inordinate plastic packaging waste but limited alternatives highlights the distinction between sustainable management of ESG impacts and financial credit risks.
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Plastic wrap: curbing microplastics and promoting reuse models
Welcome to Plastic wrap, our bimonthly review of the science, policy and corporate activity pivotal in creating a circular plastics value chain.
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Geopolitical Shocks and Portfolio Construction
Investors should try to respond not to the events of the past week, but to the deeper global trends they reflect.
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Gold Market Commentary: Q4 turbulence ahead
The gold price oscillated between US$1,900 and US$1,950 for most of September until a sharp dip on the 27th took the price to US$1,871 finish and a 3.7% m/m loss. A strong US dollar during the month led to more modest m/m drops in EUR, JPY and GBP.
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Infrastructure Quarterly
The Infrastructure Quarterly explores the performance of the private and listed infrastructure markets, along with sector insights such as renewables and digital infrastructure, to identify actionable insights for your portfolio decisions.
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‘A race to the top’: CBAM’s impact on global carbon pricing
The European Union’s (EU) carbon tax on imported industrial goods has the potential to accelerate global efforts to better price greenhouse gases. Investors in carbon markets stand to benefit from new opportunities arising from the growth of emissions trading schemes (ETSs). These include accelerated price convergence and an improved ability to hedge against the transition risks of higher carbon prices on portfolios.
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Gold ETF Flows: September 2023
Gold-backed ETFs and similar products account for a significant part of the gold market, with institutional and individual investors using them to implement many of their investment strategies. Flows in ETFs often highlight short-term and long-term opinions and desires to holding gold. The data on this page tracks gold held in physical form by open-ended ETFs and other products such as close-end funds, and mutual funds. Most funds included in this list are fully backed by physical gold.
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Do biofuels have a role in a sustainable world?
This is an educational research commentary from holistiQ Investment Partners, the sustainable asset-management business formed by LOIM and Systemiq.
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - October 2023
Inflation has been on a declining path in advanced countries, albeit with some stickiness in services inflation. But higher oil prices – which are up about 30% over the last two months – could add a significant hurdle to this disinflation process and keep policy rates higher for longer. The impact of higher oil prices typically depends both on how quickly and by how much they rise, and whether the shock is long-lasting or temporary.
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Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since July has brought the topic back to light. We find that it would take a material rise in energy prices and a combination of negative factors for households before there is a visible toll on overall spending. We’re not there yet and anticipate only a marginal impact on consumption at this stage
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The Fast and The Fuel-Less
Under pressure to find sustainable and less expensive alternatives to internal combustion vehicles, the shift to electric vehicles has been gaining momentum.
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Sustainability watch: global carbon pricing, biofuels adoption, and American Climate Corps
Our selection of sustainability news from September includes news of “the beginning of the end” for fossil fuel dominance, a proposal to set up global carbon pricing, and legally binding targets to expand renewable energy faster.
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Long the Strong
The prolonged adjustment to higher rates is just beginning, and we think it will likely be more painful for some than others.
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In this late-cycle phase, how high could commodity prices fly?
We are probably at the end of an economic cycle. Several quarters before some form of ’landing’, a number of market mechanisms typically activate, including the relative outperformance of emerging-market assets, a rise in long-term interest rates and an increase in commodity prices. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we focus on the future growth potential of commodity prices.
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At the crossroads
Lack of movement on interest rates this week left investors wondering: Which way now?
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Investing in transition materials for innovation
Demand for the critical commodities underpinning the energy and materials transition is expected to increase exponentially over the next decade, alongside a shortage of supply. We outline our convictions for the transition and how these inform our investment in materials set to enable and benefit from the technology revolution.
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The fossil fuel burnout
Global demand for oil, gas and coal is expected to peak by 2030, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).
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Is the economy in a late-cycle period?
Today’s unconventional economic context continues to confound investors. In this weekly installment of Simply put, we look to history as a guide for the markers defining a late cycle.