All Commodities articles
-
Asset Manager NewsResponse to inflation pressures - Kempen SDG Farmland Fund
The shift away from decades of low-inflation and a highly globalised economy represents a structural change in the macro-economic environment.
-
White papersWater: The hidden constraint shaping the digital economy
Structural megatrends are pressuring water resources, increasing scarcity and challenging long‑term sustainability and economic growth. This creates opportunities for investors to invest in companies providing solutions, ranging from upstream activities such as procurement & equipment, mid‑stream production & distribution, to downstream operation & end use.
-
White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2026
The global economy is moving through a structural regime shift characterised by geo-economic fragmentation, climate risks from a delayed energy transition, and the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Countries are increasingly pivoting towards strategic autonomy to adapt to this new regime.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2026
Topic of the month - Asia and the energy shock
-
White papersAsia and the energy shock
Asia is exposed to the Middle East conflict and the resulting rise in oil and gas prices. Most countries in the region are net energy importers (Malaysia is a notable exception). Even if the pass‑through to headline inflation remains limited, sustaining cost‑of‑living support to shield household purchasing power will be expensive for governments.
-
White papersGold: a correction driven by positioning, not fundamentals
Gold has undergone a meaningful sell-off in recent weeks, but we believe the move has been driven more by a repricing of short-term macro fears than by any deterioration in the metal’s medium-term fundamentals.
-
White papersGold rush or fool’s gold? Three views on surging prices
With gold prices rising to record highs over the past three years, investors have increasingly turned their attention to this ancient store of wealth. What is driving the rapid increases, especially at a time when stocks and bonds have also generally done well?
-
White papersOil prices threaten the tax tailwind
Last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill is set to deliver a powerful fiscal tailwind. Yet this stimulus is at risk of being undermined by higher oil prices resulting from the Middle East conflict, as higher energy prices effectively act as a tax increase on households. If crude prices settle around $90 per barrel, they could fully erode the benefits from the OBBBA.
-
White papersThe Scarcity Trade: Why Critical Metals Are the Real AI Play
Commodities are entering a new structural phase defined by scarcity, geopolitics and surging demand for the metals underpinning AI, electrification and defence. Yet financial markets remain largely unprepared for the physical supply constraints required to build it — creating a compelling opportunity: critical metals offer both return potential and a natural hedge to AI risk.
-
White papersMetals rally provides extra shine to EM debt
Soaring gold and copper prices set to deliver a further boost to emerging market economies this year.
-
White papersMapping the fallout: Iran, oil, and global markets
Macro impact: The Iran conflict and risks to the Strait of Hormuz do not yet warrant a major change to our base case macro outlook. Growth adjustments remain limited, inflation has nudged higher, and central banks are broadly in a wait-and-see mode, with policy rates expected to remain largely stable.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2026
Topic of the month - Mapping the fallout: Iran, oil, and global markets
-
White papersHow the Iran war changes the economic outlook
War in Iran has injected new uncertainty into the global economy, reviving concerns that high oil prices could drive inflation up, strain consumer spending and weigh on economic growth.
-
White papersOil and gas back in the spotlight
“In the Iran crisis, oil is the key transmission mechanism through which tensions spill over into the global economy: a total disruption of the Strait of Hormuz is the decisive trigger that can turn an energy shock into a broader macroeconomic shock.”
-
White papers3 views on the US-Iran conflict
As war in the Middle East escalates, investors are confronted with the reality of a world that is becoming more dangerous. With markets reacting minute by minute to the news, it is helpful to take a step back and consider events in a broader context. With that in mind, three Capital Group investment professionals offer their assessments of the developing US-Iran conflict.
-
White papersGeopolitical Risk and Asset Pricing Across Market Regimes
This paper examines how geopolitical risk (GPR) is transmitted across global financial markets by analyzing its effects on equities, sovereign bonds, foreign exchange, and commodities. Moving beyond single-regime and single-dimension approaches, the study adopts a two-regime Markov-switching framework to capture the state-dependent pricing of geopolitical shocks under low- and high-volatility market conditions.
-
White papersU.S. & Israel vs. Iran: A sharpening geopolitical fault line
Escalating tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran are intensifying geopolitical risks in the Middle East, raising concerns over regional stability and potential disruptions to global energy markets.
-
White papersImplications of US-Israel strikes on Iran
What is the nature of the attack on Iran and how could the situation evolve?
-
White papersRisks to Oil from Iran: The Price of Uncertainty Flows Through Hormuz
A joint U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran’s leadership and energy infrastructure has put the world’s most critical oil chokepoint at risk — and the price consequences could be nonlinear.
-
White papersEurope Aiming for Strategic Autonomy
“Europe’s strategic autonomy is about securing long-term economic resilience, diversifying the region’s external dependencies and enhancing competitiveness. This will open-up long-term investment opportunities across sectors.”
