All Commodities articles
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”
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Gold: “Things are now in motion that cannot be undone…”
A false sense of security as the economic cycle appears to be returning to ‘normal’. It’s not.
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The economy and markets
The risks of a U.S. and global recession have receded considerably after appearing elevated last year. Despite expectations for a material slowdown in growth over the course of 2023, economic data broadly surprised to the upside. Instead of flatlining, the U.S. economy grew more than 3%, while China expanded by over 5%. Both results outpaced consensus expectations.
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White papers
Gold has been shining bright this year
”Expectations of a Fed pivot to cut rates likely drove the recent, sharp surge in gold. Now, geopolitical risks and concerns over lack of fiscal prudence from governments could support the demand for metals.”
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White papers
The Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
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White papers
Commodities of the future: the metals vital to energy transition
When investors consider metals exposure in their portfolios, they might once have focused on gold, silver and platinum. Today, more common metals are becoming increasingly important because they will play a vital role in the energy transition.
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What is keeping rates volatility high?
Volatility in fixed income markets remains elevated while it has normalised almost everywhere else. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we ask why has bond volatility remained stubbornly high?
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - February 2024
Disruption in the Red Sea is prompting speculation around inflationary shocks just as in the Covid era So, what differs today from the post Covid experience to make the impact more micro than macro and more regional and sector specific than global?
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2024
Topic of the Month - Japan equity: top performer in 2023; remains attractive option for 2024
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Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - January 2024
Recent Q4 2023 inflation data in the Euro Area, UK and US, on net have surprised on the downside, with year-over-year (YoY) rates of headline inflation now standing at 2.9%, 3.9%, 3.4% respectively, prompting expectations of a faster than expected reversion to target.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2024
Topic of the Month - Europe: time for fiscal consolidation
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White papers
India outperforming in H2 so far
”India is a long-term story supported by structural factors, domestic demand, and stable policymaking that should offer opportunities in 2024 and beyond.”
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Sustainability watch: oil and gas subsidies, artificial rain, and carbon markets
Our selection of sustainability news from November includes news of a co-ordinated push to end subsidies for foreign oil and gas operations and coal mining, India’s plans for artificial rain, and China’s loosening of the rules governing its carbon market.
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White papers
Tin: a hidden beneficiary of semiconductor demand
Tin is an important commodity in the universe of our Transition Materials strategy1. The ancient metal is instrumental in manufacturing semiconductors, solar panels, 5G technologies and electric vehicles (EVs), helping drive a robust demand outlook.
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Balancing uncertainty and optimism
The economic data in 2023 was better than expected: inflation fell, employment remained resilient and we didn’t end up in recession – in fact growth was impressively resilient.
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White papers
The Ubiquity of Plastic Packaging and its Investment Implications
Inordinate plastic packaging waste but limited alternatives highlights the distinction between sustainable management of ESG impacts and financial credit risks.
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White papers
Plastic wrap: curbing microplastics and promoting reuse models
Welcome to Plastic wrap, our bimonthly review of the science, policy and corporate activity pivotal in creating a circular plastics value chain.
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Geopolitical Shocks and Portfolio Construction
Investors should try to respond not to the events of the past week, but to the deeper global trends they reflect.
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‘A race to the top’: CBAM’s impact on global carbon pricing
The European Union’s (EU) carbon tax on imported industrial goods has the potential to accelerate global efforts to better price greenhouse gases. Investors in carbon markets stand to benefit from new opportunities arising from the growth of emissions trading schemes (ETSs). These include accelerated price convergence and an improved ability to hedge against the transition risks of higher carbon prices on portfolios.
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White papers
Do biofuels have a role in a sustainable world?
This is an educational research commentary from holistiQ Investment Partners, the sustainable asset-management business formed by LOIM and Systemiq.