All Equities articles – Page 75
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Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth
Trade tensions re-escalated during the summer. Starting on 1 September, the US Administration introduced new tariffs and China retaliated simultaneously. More tariffs are likely from the US side, including an increase in tariffs already in place from 25% to 30% and new tariffs on the last tranche of imported goods from China. Concerning extra-tariffs measures, in August the temporary licences granted to US companies to operate with Huawei were extended upon their expiration but, so far, with no additional structural guidance.
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Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019
Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now.
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View on Italy: beyond the short term
The end of the political crisis and next steps for the new government: The new pro-European government looks to be willing to move in a different direction vs the previous one, with an agenda focused on green and socially inclusive policies. It is difficult to project how long this new coalition will last, but it will certainly have to address the next budget law. We expect to see some expansionary measures (lower labour costs plus investment spending), but without putting public finances at risk. However, the available room for manoeuvre is narrow.
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Hermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund - H1 2019 report
The Hermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund targets investment outperformance and social and environmental impacts that help deliver the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). What progress did we achieve through our engagements in the first half of 2019?
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Britain’s Most Likely Destination
It Won’t Become Some Sort of Hermit Kingdom in the North Sea.
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Bullish on Tech—Especially Outside the Tech Sector
When thinking about technology, asset managers and asset owners have similar concerns and opportunities—both when investing in it and applying it. We must understand that technology is less about technology stocks and more about the way disruption affects corporate performance. And we must address the implications of technology for our businesses.
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Annual Impact Report, 2018
In December 2017, we launched the Hermes Impact Opportunities Fund – a high-conviction global equity strategy with a bold objective. It aims to generate long-term outperformance by investing in companies succeeding in their core purpose: to generate value by creating positive and sustainable change that addresses the underserved needs of society and the environment.
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How will global disruption affect small cap stocks?
Investors are increasingly being drawn to smaller companies due to their ability to navigate the growing theme of disruption.
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Is short-term noise masking a long-term opportunity in EM Equities?
Emerging markets (EMs) are in the headlines on a regular basis—both with positive and negative news flow—but rarely do we hear the whole story.
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Domestic focus to exploit Emerging Markets equity opportunities
The emerging markets (EM) universe has experienced significant changes in the last decade with the further addition of investible countries (i.e. China A shares in 2018).
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Will electric cars create shocking losses or supercharge profits?
Many investors are worried that the switch to electric could hurt the profits of car-makers. Few have considered how the industry may stand to benefit.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q3 - 2019
We expect economic growth to evolve around potential for most developed economies in 2020. It could subsequently decrease below potential in 2021 driven by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth should stay in positive territory.
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Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Q3 2019
The recent dovishness from the Fed, a benign inflation environment and the easing in global financial conditions continue to support a goldilocks environment for Emerging Markets (EM) assets. On the risks side, trade disputes appear to be softening as we approach the US presidential campaign. But the existing tariffs are weighing on the corporate earnings, with mixed prospects across regions as some countries are also benefitting from a restructuring of the global supply chain.
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Three Ways to Manage Liquidity Risk in Bond Markets
Liquidity risk has grabbed headlines recently after several high-profile funds imploded. The hunt is on to find ways to manage liquidity risk and protect portfolios against further setbacks—but not all investors will be up to the task.
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European Smaller Companies: An Evergreen Growth Opportunity
In this Q&A, Nick Williams, Barings’ Head of Small Cap Equities, discusses the opportunities his team is seeing in the current environment, and explains why an active approach, combined with rigorous, bottom-up stock selection, is key to identifying high-quality companies.
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Salesforce: investing in a low-carbon future
Salesforce has cut its net greenhouse gas emissions to zero and delivered a carbon-neutral cloud. The company has attractive fundamentals and looks well placed to retain its position as one of the leading cloud-computing platforms.
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2019 midyear outlook - Expect a tougher climb
Trade and other geopolitical issues are heating up. Economic growth is looking more uncertain and market volatility rising. Expect a tougher climb in 2019.
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Russian ecommerce: a moonshot moment?
During a recent research trip to Russia, we confirmed our view that the nation’s ecommerce industry is a rare gem within the troubled wider economy. As Russia’s economic growth flags and protests become more frequent, we consider whether President Vladimir Putin’s ambitious “National Projects” spending program will manage to boost innovation – particularly in digitisation – and inject life into the Russian economy.
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Trade Tensions Flare: Where Do We Go from Here?
Central bank actions and new trade tensions have created more questions than answers.
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Will trade tensions reshape the world order?
The protectionist wave will almost certainly have a chilling effect on the global economy. But trade growth was slowing well before the US-China spat. In the latest Ahead of the Curve, we assess whether the tariff war is disruptive or merely accelerating trends already underway. And will we find opportunities in this fragmented global system, or only challenges?