All Equities articles – Page 78
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Liquidity Insights: Q4 Equity Volatility
Volatility in equities returned in 2018, surprising markets with a spike in February after a remarkably calm 2017. Volatility, however, retreated through the summer before reappearing in the fourth quarter, resulting in some big price moves in major equity indices.
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An Underappreciated Subset Of High Yield
As we enter what may be the twilight hours of an elongated credit cycle, an increase in defaults is not only possible, but probable. Against this backdrop, a credit-intensive, global approach to high yield investing is key.
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Cov-lite loans: the new normal, but at what cost?
Lending protections are eroding in Europe: cov-lite loans are now the norm in the large-cap loan segment, while cov-loose loans and add-backs to EBITDA are gaining ground in mid-market deals. Today, we explore the implications of loosening covenants and explain why we avoid these instruments, focusing instead on mid-market deals, which are governed by more robust loan documentation and offer attractive returns under strict risk controls.
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China more appealing based on progress in trade negotiations
The recent statements following the bilateral meetings between the US and China suggest that important progress has been made, and more details are emerging compared to the quiet early January round.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
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Two Investable Themes in China
The China A-Share market presents a compelling opportunity for quality growth managers, with note two investible themes: a growing middle class and healthcare spending growth.
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European equity markets: Facing lower returns and higher volatility?
High-Quality Fundamentals, and a Unique Approach to Reducing Volatility
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Investing in the Low-Carbon Economy
Private capital has never been given such an important role in tackling climate change and de- carbonising the economy. As Philippe Le Houérou, CEO of International Finance Corporation (IFC), says, the private sector “holds the key,” noting that it “has the innovation, the financing and the tools.
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2019 Outlook: Expect a tougher climb
Slower growth. Rising rates. More volatility. 2019 looks to be a year that could be challenging for investors. Yet we believe the markets offer a range of opportunities, and we are finding a number of investment ideas for our clients.
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Ten predictions for 2019: Choppy and frustrating, but no recession
Making predictions is a dicey proposition. In the many years I’ve been making my annual market predictions (more than I’d care to admit), I usually have a clear sense about where things are headed. But 2019 seems to be a tougher year to forecast. In fact, I think it would be pretty easy to make either a bullish or bearish case for the stock market over the coming 12 months.
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Global Investment Views - February 2019
After a tough December, which led to an abrupt valuation reset, risk assets rebounded in the first weeks of the year, boosted by a market-sympathetic turn in Fed rhetoric and an increased optimism on trade negotiations. As the current reasons for optimism should be confirmed, we believe it is time to re-approach the areas of risk assets where the correction has brought value back, especially in emerging markets.
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Data infrastructure: an infrastructure or private equity play?
As the lines between infrastructure and private equity become increasingly blurred, the question of categorization - while topical - becomes more trivial. A more relevant consideration is to understand the risks around the cashflows of data infrastructure assets to ensure that the returns are commensurate.
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Investment Perspectives For A New Regime Of Returns
After two years of positive performance across the board, with almost no asset class in negative territory, 2018 is marking a change of direction, with an unprecedented percentage of asset classes in red. This may cause a sense of uncertainty among investors facing uncharted waters ahead.
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Global equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’
After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?
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Asian Equities: US-China relationship to remain critical
Asia Pacific ex Japan markets started the year well, holding on to gains that were chalked in the strong rally in 2017. But by mid-year, signs of slowing economic growth surfaced, primarily induced by US-China trade tensions, leading to a sharp market correction, particularly for Chinese equities.
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A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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Fixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture
Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.
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Finding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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Market Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.