All Equities articles – Page 76
-
White papersMarkets scenarios & risks – June 2020
We maintain the overall pandemic narrative confirming the probabilities, assigned to the base and alternative scenarios.
-
White papersMacroeconomic picture – June 2020
The coronavirus crisis has pushed the U.S. economy into a sharp downturn, with severe disruptions of businesses and mass layoffs. Unemployment has surged into double-digit territory (14.7%); confidence on both the consumer and business sides has plummeted; and consumer inflation has started to reflect the consequences of the lockdowns, with headline CPI falling to 0.3% YoY (1.5% prior). The timing and profile of the recovery are still highly uncertain, but we expect GDP to contract between 4.5% and 6.5% YoY, with inflation remaining significantly subdued, with significant risks of moving into negative territory during the year
-
White papersThematics Views – June 2020
As part of their toolkit to support the economic recovery during the Covid-19 crisis, central banks could implement yield-curve control. Although appealing, the implementation and exit risks of such a policy counterbalance the benefits, particularly in the Eurozone. Moreover, the impact on financial markets could be significant since chained risk-free assets could temporarily leave risky assets unsettled.
-
White papersIndia in 2020: Active Perspectives on India’s Evolution
In India 2020: A Vision for the New Millennium, A.P.J. Abdul Kalam and Y.S. Rajan detailed how India could become a developed country and one of the world’s four largest economies by 2020. Here, our team shares their thoughts about India’s potential.
-
White papersWhy Have Chinese Stocks Held Up So Well?
China’s stock markets have been remarkably resilient. As the world’s second-largest economy emerged first from the virus-induced shock, corporate earnings downgrades were relatively contained while government stimulus was preserved for future use.
-
White papersPreparing Chinese Holdings for Potential US Action
Tensions between the US and China are flaring up again, but tariffs probably aren’t on the table this time. With pressure mounting on Chinese stocks listed in the US, including those widely held in emerging-market portfolios, investors need to consider how to prepare for the mounting risks.
-
White papersWhy a systematic fundamental analysis is key for Global Equities
As countries around the world plot their way tentatively through the coronavirus pandemic, we ask our Global Equities team: has their investment philosophy changed during the current crisis? And, when the dust settles, will sustainability be of greater importance to investors?
-
White papersThe day after #4 - Inequality in the context of the Covid-19 crisis
For several years now we have argued that the social theme, and in particular the issue of social inequality, was becoming a major issue for various global economies and for investors, both institutional and retail.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views – June 2020
The dichotomy between the false market tranquillity and the high level of uncertainty about the length of the crisis and its long-term implications is striking. In our view, we are far from being out of the woods and investors should stay alert as current market levels are still pricing in a ‘too rosy too soon’ endgame. The race between the three cycles will continue.
-
White papersNot Out of the Woods
The discipline of scenario planning helps us focus on what has been achieved, rather than what we hope will be achieved.
-
White papersStructural change implications of the Coronavirus experience
As we sit here in the spring of 2020, looking out on our respective neighborhoods from our home offices, we’re well underway into another seasonal change. But unlike any previous spring season, 2020 has swamped us with unthinkable change. For far too many, this spring has brought dire economic and employment conditions.
-
White papersVolatility, Tech & ESG: COVID’s Impact on Global Equities
COVID-19 has proved challenging for businesses—but opportunities have emerged, particularly for companies with business models built to capitalize on long-term structural trends. Dr. Ghadir Cooper shares her views on equity markets today and what to expect going forward.
-
White papersPrognosis Negative Amid Trade Tension Remission
Further criticism of China’s initial virus response may threaten additional tariffs and trade deals going forward. The E.U. appears to be a step closer to a common-issue coronabond and, U.S. high frequency data is pointing to some improvement in May.
-
White papersCoronavirus – weekly update – 20 May 2020
Exists from lockdown proceed with no major mishaps, leading the stock markets to still trade sideways. Progress towards implementing budget support is slow, which constitutes a potential risk and a source of volatility.
-
White papersGemologist: can we adapt to the new climate normal?
Climate change will test our ability to avoid mortal danger more than ever before. Humanity’s ability to adapt, something we have excelled at, must again come to the fore.
-
White papersGlobal Emerging Markets: ESG Materiality, Q2 2020
Welcome to the Global Emerging Markets’ ESG Materiality commentary – a quarterly publication that demonstrates our engagement activity with portfolio companies and showcases holdings that are creating positive impact aligned to the Sustainable Development Goals. In addition, we explore an environmental, social and governance (ESG) theme and its implications for the asset class.
-
White papersMarket Risk Insights: portfolio triage
In the Q2 2020 issue of Market Risk Insights, we provide our latest analysis of six key risk factors – volatility, correlation, stretch, liquidity, event and environmental, social and governance (ESG) – in order to help investors navigate the coronavirus sell-off.
-
-
White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Market dislocation creating long-term opportunities
Two major drivers are shaping the landscape for EM countries: Covid-19 and oil dynamics. We are mindful that current events will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlook for EM this year, leading many countries into recession.
-
White papersECB QE Monitor - April 2020
ECB programs: €1,110bn of purchasing power in 2020, or around €110bn / month by the end of the year.
