All Commentary articles – Page 96
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White papers
Can Residential Fill the Retail Investment Gap?
Property investors and their lenders are shifting down the risk curve and becoming highly selective about sector exposures and asset quality.
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White papers
Value and multi-factor equity investing – When value spreads compress
With value spreads now at levels last seen at the peak of the tech bubble in 2000 [1], we expect spreads to narrow in the coming years. That bodes well for value and multi-factor equity strategies irrespectively of their level of sophistication.
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2021
With vaccination programs worldwide well underway, the spotlight has shifted now to the nature of the economic recovery.
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Up, Up, but Not (Run) Away Inflation
The latest round of euro area lockdowns caused less damage than initially feared. Earnings on both sides of the Atlantic continue to beat expectations amid the favorable economic backdrop. Meanwhile, in China, PMIs suggest that the growth driver may be shifting.
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White papers
Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints 2Q 2021: Investing through the pandemic
The first quarter launched 2021 on a positive note. Risk markets ignored short-term economic setbacks and outperformed in anticipation of additional fiscal stimulus and widespread vaccine distribution.
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White papers
“Principled Investing” What it means and why it matters?
“Principled Investing” broadens the definition of fiduciary. It encompasses the Principal Global Equities’ culture, team structure, investment beliefs and process disciplines, including our evolving approach to Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) investing. It is a fitting two-word summation of our purpose and mission to improve client outcomes.
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4 reasons why US debt may not spin out of control
Is surging US debt sustainable, or will it spin out of control?
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Market Scenarios and Risks - May 2021
We note progress on the vaccine front despite logistics and side effects issues. In our central scenario, equities outperform on the back of abundant liquidity, improving fundamentals and accommodative monetary policy.
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A deep dive into ECB stimulus and its support for Euro fixed-income markets
March saw ECB increasing its PEPP purchases and injecting higher than expected liquidity through a successful TLTRO tender.
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White papers
5 Growth Themes Shaping the Future
New technologies can unleash a cascade of growth across multiple industries, and we expect a number of growth themes to gain the attention of investors in the decade to come. Here are five of them.
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White papers
REITS and Rates
History suggests that real estate securities can be an attractive investment if you expect inflation and rates to go higher.
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White papers
Post-Crisis Investing for the Long Haul
After a series of unprecedented events in the global economy, triggered by the COVID-19 financial crisis, investors and economists alike may see themselves at quite an inflection point in the markets.
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Research Report
Think EQuilibrium - 2021 global institutional investor study
This new, annual global research explores the drivers of investor behavior and their impact on people, portfolios and problem-solving, with a particular focus on alternatives, responsible investing and the human side of asset management. We also look at the beliefs, mindsets and priorities that inform those drivers.
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White papers
Inflation: Preparing your portfolio for the surge
After falling to almost zero during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate of U.S. inflation is on the rise. To navigate the current market environment, today’s investor must understand how quickly the United States economic recovery will generate inflation, how long that inflation will be sustained, and what investment implications follow.
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White papers
2021 Recovery to continue and beat potential
We confirm the financial “recovery regime” as a central scenario (with a 70% probability) for the next 12 to 18 months, with growth and macro determinants remaining paramount.
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White papers
The end of the Great Moderation and the return of volatility
Since the mid-1980s, the macroeconomic volatility has declined to a postwar low.
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Research Report
Real Estate Convictions: Asset Manager’s view of the European real estate markets (May 2021)
While the pandemic has killed more than 3 million people worldwide, India has become the new epicentre of the epidemic where the situation is particularly worrying. The world’s largest economy, the United States, is outlining what the rebound of developed economies will look like in a vaccinated world that is being fuelled by a massive stimulus package to ensure recovery.
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White papers
Pausing for Breath on ‘Peak Growth’
Rates of change in economic data may be hitting their peaks, but that need not preclude more long-term upside for risky assets.
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White papers
Five key themes in energy credit
In credit markets, energy was one of the most volatile sectors in 2020, with oil futures trading in negative territory for some time.
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White papers
A Few Sparks & Lots of Smoke—But Still No Sign of a Fire
As investors search for signs of uncontrolled inflation, it’s hard to see anything more than you’d expect in a strong cyclical recovery.