All Commentary articles – Page 98
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Shoppers Are Back—Spending is the New Saving
Europe remains on track for a delayed recovery as consumers weathered winter lockdowns fairly well. In the U.S., retail sales and inflation data popped up in March. Elsewhere, credit growth in China slowed as policymakers remain confident in the economic recovery.
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From Rising Rates to Rising Stars: What’s Ahead for IG Credit?
Rising rates can bring challenges to IG corporate credit, but opportunities are emerging as well—particularly given the supportive fundamental and technical backdrop.
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The Rising Tide of Equity Duration
With concerns of inflation pressures anticipated in the months ahead, investors may be looking to adjust their asset allocation approaches. Though many would associate the concept of duration with Fixed Income, we explore the aspects of Equity Duration.
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“Hidden Quality” in International Equity Markets
Traditional “quality” companies are bunched in a few sectors and appear expensive—is there a more subtle definition that can uncover “hidden” quality?
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NB Votes: Increasing the Impact of our Proxies
This week’s guest writers are Jonathan Bailey and Caitlin McSherry from our ESG Investing team.
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Will the Sweet Spot for Smaller Value Stocks Persist?
US small-cap value stocks have enjoyed considerable success since value stocks began to outperform growth in October 2020.
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Asset Allocation Committee Outlook - 2Q 2021
Listen to Erik Knutzen and Ashok Bhatia discuss some of the key themes from this quarter’s outlook.
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Behind China’s disinflation
Inflation in China has bumped along in a narrow range for the last decade. What has happened and what is the outlook?
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Joana Setzer Q&A: On the climate litigation front line
Joana Setzer from the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at LSE discusses the implications on governments and companies of the growing wave of climate litigation.
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Taking a long-term view
Our private ownership and strong balance sheet afford us the ability to maintain a long-term focus
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Covid-19 Update: Is one in a million too high?
In an effort to bring timely insights during these uncertain times, we are pleased to share an update from Terri Towers, PhD, Senior Healthcare Analyst, who shares her views on the COVID-19 (“Coronavirus”) pandemic.
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Resilient Recovery Stocks Transcend the Growth-Value Divide
Investors are reassessing which types of companies will thrive in the next stage of the recovery amid the recent rebound of value stocks. But we think the distinguishing performance factor will be a company’s ability to generate sustainable earnings, regardless of its style classification.
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Real Yields, Inflation Breakevens and Risk Assets: The Changing Environment
The fixed income world is beginning to undergo a multiyear transition as aggressive monetary accommodation and government spending across key economies drive higher near-term economic growth rates.
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Japan Could Win a Medal in the Recovery Race
A strong manufacturing base and changing attitudes toward shareholder value could mean the world’s capital heads to Japan, even if the world’s sports fans cannot.
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Global Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2021
Vaccination progress and fiscal stimulus have advantaged the US economy, which we expect to grow about 6.5% in 2021. China, too, is rebounding, with output already topping pre-crisis levels. We’re still cautious, however, about Europe, where rising COVID-19 cases may further delay reopenings.
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Investment Outlook: You asked, we answered
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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Market Scenarios and Risks - April 2021
Significant progress in managing the pandemic, massive fiscal impulse in the US, and boosters in the RoW amidst accommodative monetary policies.
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Spring has Sprung from Seeds of Spending
In the U.S., fiscal stimulus and vaccine rollout are already leading to improvements in the service sector.
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Economic Outlook: can things ‘only get better’?
Looking at the rest of 2021 through a macro lens feels a bit like 2009: one would hope that ‘it can only improve on the year before’. Which, surely it must. Stimulus extensions, accelerating vaccine roll-out (notably in the UK), base-effect, and expectations of more are all raising confidence, supporting risk-assets and promising macro improvement.