All Commentary articles – Page 47
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Roving recession to staggered recovery?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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CIO views: a new era of finding alpha
Uncertainty from higher interest rates, mixed data and geopolitical risk is fuelling more volatility. How is active management even more relevant in the current context? Are the former winners gone? Is this a new era of finding alpha?
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Stagflation Haze
The world is grappling with a combination of once in a generation shocks, producing an uncertain and complex economic landscape.
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Equity-bond correlations: was 2022 an outlier?
Should we be shocked? Negative equity and bond returns in 2022 provided further evidence that annual performance by the asset classes is not as uncorrelated as commonly believed. How frequently do these so-called ‘outlier’ years occur, and how can investors with long-beta portfolios be better prepared?
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Video
Healthcare Stocks Can Help Lower Inflation’s Fever
”I think one of the benefits of investing in healthcare is that these companies have inelastic demand. If you need a new heart valve, inflation isn’t going to impact that decision.”
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Ahead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Read the latest views from our Chief Economist Silvia Dall’Angelo as she outlines three scenarios that could influence markets in the coming months.
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Time Series Forecasting with Transformer Models and application for Asset Management
Since its introduction in 2017 (Vaswani et al., 2017), the Transformer model has excelled in a wide range of tasks involving natural language processing and computer vision.
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Pensions Watch | Issue 24: What’s been happening and what’s on the Horizon in the world of pensions
With the inexorable rise of Defined Contribution (DC) schemes and the continued closure of Defined Benefit (DB) schemes to new members and future accrual, suggestions that DB is dead are ever present. However, with funded DB schemes accounting for around 80% of UK pension assets, most of which are not going to buyout just yet, DB is very much alive and kicking.
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COP 27: outcomes, opportunities and emerging markets
The expectations for COP 27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, were lower than for the landmark COP 26 in Glasgow in late 2021. And although world leaders at COP 27 reaffirmed their commitments to expanding clean energy deployment – despite the near-term energy crisis caused by the Ukraine conflict – they did not deliver much action on climate change.
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Monthly Research Report: February 2023
Average Quality Returns Not Consistenly Higher Than Prime
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Decarbonising the built environment - Aviva Investors
We assess the financial and environmental pros and cons of developing new buildings versus retrofitting old ones.
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Biodiversity: why investors should care
The past 30 years have seen a bigger improvement in human prosperity than all of the past centuries combined.
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Adding thematic equities to diversified portfolios
Once considered niche, thematic equities have in recent years evolved into mainstream investments. Their ability to transform broad, long-term macro-economic, technological and environmental trends into investments has struck a chord with a growing circle of investors. Even so, questions remain over how to incorporate such stocks within portfolios that use traditional asset allocation frameworks. We propose three broad approaches where investors can incorporate thematic equities in their diversified portfolios.
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Private credit – from niche to mainstream?
For more than a decade, both corporate and consumer borrowers benefited from low interest rates and a very low cost of capital. As the global economic backdrop continues to adjust to the activity of central banks and the uncertain geopolitical backdrop, investors are seeking ways to ensure that their portfolios are adequately positioned in order to meet their long-term risk and performance goals, write Jo Waldron and Karen Lam at M&G Investments.
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Joint interview with Markus Benzler and Jochen Mende on private equity and secondaries
Why consider investing in private equity (PE) now?
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Technology investment in the built environment and the path to net zero
The transition to net zero will almost certainly be one of the most significant capital outlays in history. A 2022 report from Goldman Sachs noted that Electrification ‘is poised to revolutionise European Economies and our everyday lives’ and that this effort would ‘need to mobilise €3.7 trillion of capital, most into green energy infrastructure, to develop renewables, upgrade power grids, refurbish buildings and to support the switch to electricity for mobility real estate and manufacturing.’
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Private debt: aligning investment needs with the means to deliver
An asset class that is now a core part of institutional portfolios, Mercer’s Private Debt offering combines expertise and opportunities to deliver amid a complex macro environment
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Greater possibilities together as responsible investors
Institutional investors are increasingly seeking investment strategies that produce positive environmental, social & governance (ESG) outcomes while also delivering sustainable returns.
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Secular tailwinds creating infrastructure debt opportunities
Infrastructure debt remains an attractive opportunity despite a challenging economic outlook that could bring with it an increase in credit market defaults, argue David Cooper, Head of EMEA and Australian Infrastructure Debt and Jacob Otto, Director, Debt Product Specialist of IFM Investors
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Global Investment Views - March 2023
“The dichotomy between the real economy and markets is increasing even as the earnings outlook is getting weak, leading us to be sceptical of the risk rally.”